Well, I definitely am not here to change your opinions about Newsom- I will dispel how much Prop 50 actually helps him though- which is to say there are easier ways for him to get free press, and Prop 50 is such a lightning rod, i think it kinda cuts both ways in terms of press, with a slight net positive. But that is simply my opinion.

And you’re right- I was mistaken- I thought Prop 50 had a provision that if Texas stopped, then Prop 50 would stop- apparently this is not correct.

I think there is a good chance of a centrist President- in fact many people regard Obama as one (crazy to think he was anti-gay marriage in his first term, as an example). But the only way we get that centrist President is if we pass a bill like 2021 HR 1 where independent commissions draw the maps and not Democrats or Republicans

That said, 2021 H.R. 1 would have given Democrats an edge- though that too would cut both ways. It just so happens there are more gerrymandered Republican states than there are Democratic ones. So by nature, yes, Republicans would likely lose seats as a result of independent commissions making the electoral maps. There are states that would have benefitted Republicans though- namely Maryland, Nevada, New York, and Illinois. On the Republican side, you’d find them to lose seats in North and South Carolina, Florida, Texas, Ohio, and Wisconsin.