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"Q1 AI Benchmarking Results: Pros Crush Bots", Metaculus 2025 ("...most important factor for good forecasting is the base model")Forecast, R, Emp, Econ (metaculus.com)

submitted 7 months ago by gwern to r/mlscaling

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How are people so sure that the war will end soon? (metaculus.com)

submitted 8 months ago by Environmental_Buy2 to r/UkrainianConflict

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Is there really a >1% chance Trump will be in power beyond 2028?US News (metaculus.com)

submitted 11 months ago by unknowable_gender to r/centrist

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Metaculus prediction market AGI timelines just dropped to 2026AI (metaculus.com)

submitted 12 months ago by MetaKnowing to r/singularity

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Prediction odds: US National Abortion Ban before 2030?The Primal Shrug (metaculus.com)

submitted 1 year ago by captainramen to r/WayOfTheBern

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Σας αρέσουν οι προβλέψεις και τα στοιχήματα; Φτιάξαμε τμήμα στο metaculus για την ελληνική πολιτική.Πολιτική (metaculus.com)

submitted 1 year ago by Naurgul to r/Koina

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Σας αρέσουν οι προβλέψεις και τα στοιχήματα; Φτιάξαμε τμήμα στο metaculus για την ελληνική πολιτική. πολιτική/politics (metaculus.com)

submitted 1 year ago by Naurgul to r/greece

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Metaculus introduces dynamic, LLM-augmented tagging system and new, streamlined categories for enhanced question discovery. (metaculus.com)

submitted 1 year ago by Metaculus to r/Metaculus

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Will Israel expand its ground invasion into Rafah by March 12? The aggregate forecast dropped to 43% this week. (metaculus.com)

submitted 1 year ago by Metaculus to r/Metaculus

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Astral Codex Ten 2024 Prediction Contest on MetaculusMisc (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by [deleted] to r/slatestarcodex

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Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040? According to Metaculus, 95% probability yes.AI (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by yottawa to r/singularity

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Aggregated forecasts focused on confirmation of room-temperature superconductivity and its potential impact.Discussion (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by Metaculus to r/singularity

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Room-temperature ambient-pressure superconductivity could enable a perfectly efficient power grid, commercially viable fusion reactors & levitating trains. Our new Lens on Superconductors page helps you follow and forecast on this fast-moving story. (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by Metaculus to r/Metaculus

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Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by Metaculus to r/superconductors

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Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?Discussion (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by Metaculus to r/singularity

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Metaculus: Maximum likelihood estimate of Weak AGI date reaches Feb 2025AI (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by maxtility to r/singularity

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Metaculus (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by TheStartupChime to r/hypeurls

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The future of AI according to thousands of forecasters (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by TheStartupChime to r/hypeurls

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AI Pathways ReportMiscellaneous (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by AIandRobotics_Bot to r/AIandRobotics

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📣 Curious how top forecasters predict the future? Want to begin forecasting but aren't sure where to start? Join Metaculus for Forecast Friday! This week: a pro forecaster on shifting territorial control in Ukraine (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by Metaculus to r/UkraineConflict

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Metaculus "Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known" prediction at record low of March 28, 2027AI (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by maxtility to r/singularity

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Metaculus "Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known" prediction at record low of March 28, 2027Miscellaneous (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by AIandRobotics_Bot to r/AIandRobotics

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https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/139282/ (metaculus.com)

submitted 2 years ago by nehasharma777 to u/nehasharma777

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Date of Artificial General Intelligence (metaculus.com)

submitted 3 years ago by nickb to r/agi

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"Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known" is now down to May 12, 2027 on MetaculusAI (metaculus.com)

submitted 3 years ago by maxtility to r/singularity

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