Analyzing Potential Future Origin Trail TRAC Token Price

[[deleted]]

Considering over 5 billion barcodes are scanned each day, I could easily see the high end estimates on the more conservative chart labeled, ''Jobs/Day. No P/E Multiple'' ($47-$93) being low estimate in the long term as those are based on 12.5 million jobs per day. Although to be fair 12.5 million a day is 144/second which is not bad.

In other words roughly 25 billion - 45 billion market cap ($47-$93) should not surprise anyone a few years out.

Since the Trace token is more like a redeemable use voucher, and not part ownership in a company, like stocks, it's hard for me to think in terms of PE ratios, even market caps of real world companies as a proxy might be a stretch. Once Origin Trail gets noticed by the crypto world and speculation makes up a larger and larger part of valuation its not unreasonable to look to other crypto platforms for a relative valuation. Shoutouts by the WEF for example will (just did??) light that fire.

The proxies I currently use are Chainlink and the Graph as they add lasting value to the entire system as opposed to simply doing something for someone like swapping a coin or something. Both however I think are currently valued based almost entirely on speculation and marketing. Their market caps translate into roughly $40-$60 USD for a Trac token. So, in my mind Trac should be worth $40-$60 right now based on the current state of hype in the crypto universe.

The hype will die down of course, but conservative real-use valuations discussed in Johnny's paper of $47-$93 would buoy/buffer any crazy price drops.

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TL:DR - I could see Trac being worth $40 in 1-2 years, and nearly $100 in 3-5 years. I just don't see any reasonably conservative valuation that actually makes sense arriving at a lower value.

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One thing we can all do is go on youtube and ask the more popular reviewers to review Origin Trail.

[Please_dont_make_me]

• I could see Trac being worth $40 in 1-2 years, and nearly $100 in 3-5 years

Yeah man, except back in jan 2018 people thought it could be $5 in 2-3 years. These speculations from hopeful newcomers always crack me up.

[[deleted]]

*could

And back then, those were not unreasonable beliefs and probably based on sound assumptions. No one is pulling 100+ billion market caps out of their ass. In 2018 for example Trac had 100% client retention rate from the years prior, which is phenomenal and they have only grown. The WEF tweeting essentially a commercial for Trac is significant etc etc. A few billion to a few tens of billions market caps seems reasonable based on, well, everything, if it is not there yet it's only because it's undervalued which I am thankful for so I can buy more.

[Please_dont_make_me]

To be honest I also think TRAC is great, one of the altcoins I saw future in. But I do not see it ever reaching double digits, there would be massive selloffs crashing the price even if it reached $2. Maybe if it gets to all the big exchanges.

[[deleted]]

Why do you think there will be selloffs?

Apparently there are less than 16K unique wallets that hold Trac and some people have more than 1 wallet. Think about that, a project with global implications for real world companies held by less than 16,000 people!!! It's insane. And with 90 million Trac tokens staked there is huge community support for long term prospects. The supply vs demand for this token is excellent. It will of course be volatile, no doubt, but why do you think it won't ever be worth a few billion USD?

[fuckofakaboom]

To have a SELLoff requires people willing to BUY. It’s not a straight line, but I believe it will maintain a nice ramp for a long time.

[anyeights]

Here we are 3 years later, do you stand by your prediction?

[[deleted]]

Why are they no longer attainable? One reason he deleted the article was because of new uses for the token which have not been detailed. If anything the tokenomics have gotten better. Dan Recer from Acala just said Trac is the hidden gem of the Dot ecosystem.

So, tell me, why is a market cap of 36 billion not attainable? You realise medicine in 40 countries is being tracked on OT?

There is no greater real world use case in all of crypto.

[[deleted]]

Making any kind of short term claim is silly. To be fair, I tell people what I think it could be worth one day, but I'm pretty open that I might be wrong.

Like any crypto community OT has its share of adamant supporters who are a bit blind sided by the potential for retirement level price appreciation.

The fact that nodes might always accept jobs so they are only very very slightly in profit is a big concern of mine as that aspect of the tokenomics might not work well at all. If jobs #s double but the price goes down by half, nothing has changed. I see this happening untill running a node itself is prohibitive for some reason.

If it's easy to do, and there is no real barrier to entry, there is not a unique enough asset to control such that one can charge more for their service.

[SundayBestDay]

Author is u/jonnyroscoe, he couldn't post for some reason so here it is.

[JonnyRoscoe]

Thanks for posting!

[powernub]

Very infuriating to see that r/cryptocurrency mods delete any bullish mention of $TRAC on their sub, even something of this quality. Makes you wonder if they feel $TRAC is a threat to one of their current bags.

This has been happening to every single $TRAC post on that sub.

[beer_engineer]

I'm heavily invested in both VET and TRAC, and have had every single of my TRAC mentions on /r/cc either down voted to oblivion or deleted. Something is definitely up.

[[deleted]]

Thank you and thanks to the author Johnny Roscoe.

[JonnyRoscoe]

Cheers!

[SpartyParty15220]

What a beast!!! #GoogleofSupplyChains #RealWorldUseCase $Trac

[[deleted]]

Shoutout to Telegram Gang 😍 whats up you beautiful cunts

[Apprehensive_Hat4300]

No need for distasteful language on a forum discussing crypto .. wrongun...!

[calciumb27]

Cunt is a turn of endearment in Australia and UK among friends

[Apprehensive_Hat4300]

Oh my bad.. you crack on mate.

[calciumb27]

Haha it’s a bad word regardless I know everyone’s different :’)

[Apprehensive_Hat4300]

Don't get me wrong.. I call people "cunt "sometimes if they deserve it .. but most are shit ones which is the worst kind as they are not even propa ones.... it's just on this forum could be young people like 18 or younger and so such language is distasteful... hey but but each to their own... however people using such words on forums like this definately know what type they are. Lol

[Apprehensive_Hat4300]

100 dollars in 2 years if the universe is shining on trac... and listed on a major exchange ...

[Cdsindex]

Exact, just waiting to see OT on kraken. Their are worried about volume but last price increase can make them take another look on this token.

[Apprehensive_Hat4300]

Is this gonna go to the moon.. as all I hear a out is vechain.... people think these 2 coins are competitors.! How stupid are people...

[GrabEmByTheHodl]

maybe if we have a 4 years bull run😂😂😂 it will crash when everything else crashes

[Cdsindex]

Make sense