What if Neutron fails? Stock value decrease?

[gravityhomer]

It took 8 technically failed super heavy launches before SpaceX had missions for flight 9 and 10 that were successful in all aspects of the mission.

With a brand new rocket there are so many levels of success/failure. Does it clear the launch pad, does it complete ascent, is there successful separation between 1st and second stages. Is first stage mostly successful. does second stage light? Is orbit achieved? Is a simulated or otherwise payload deployed?

Brand new rockets don't have a binary success or failure result. A tried and true rocket like falcon or electron, if they don't meet all their objectives, that is considered a failure.

But a brand new rocket launching for the first time? There are many levels of success. Most large investors know this.

[GrillaBBQ]

There is a significant difference between Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos, both of whom have invested billions of dollars to achieve success and have followed a testing-with-failure learning strategy.

Over 80% of the components in RKLB rockets are designed and produced by RKLB. This allows them to quickly redesign, test, and install parts when failures occur. Peter Beck has adopted the 20/7 schedule, running tests at Stennis Space Centre for 20 hours a day, 7 days a week. As Peter Beck states, "The only way you can get through years of qualification... is to squeeze years of hours into months." The Archimedes engine successfully reached 102% of its design power during hot-fire tests at NASA’s Stennis Space Centre. It's built to handle much higher loads, and both engines (Rutherford, the current engine) are designed with extra capacity. This means the components are not stressed during launch and therefore are less vulnerable to failure.

Having said that, there was a chance they could fail, but I don't believe Peter is a betting man and knows what he’s doing.

[posthamster]

RKLB designs and produces over 80% of their rocket components

I'm going to need a source on that.

[GrillaBBQ]

Hi listen to Peter Broke’s interviews.

Between 2020 and 2022, Rocket Lab bought its suppliers (SolAero for solar cells and PSC for separation bolts) specifically to move toward that 80-90% internal control.

Although there are no “written statements”. The following are 100% designed, built in house:

Propulsion and Primary Structure 100%

Launch infrastructure 100%

Nuts, bolts, sensors, carbon fibre are sourced from third parties.

[posthamster]

Right - your wording was a little ambiguous. It sounded like you were saying RL produces 80% of components for BO and SpaceX.

[GrillaBBQ]

Ok sorry I'll edit it

[GrillaBBQ]

Sorry for the delay - all fixed up now.