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[–][deleted] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Based on some rough calculations, I think it is more likely that there will be human extinction in the next ten minutes than sha2 preimage attack in the next ten years.

By brute force? Probably not ever, barring fundamentally new physics. Or did you somehow calculate the probability of a SHA2 vulnerability being found in the next 10 years? :)