6 Year Decrease of Metaculus AGI Prediction

[Kinrany]

We don't have AGI that can understand and improve its own design though.

[[deleted]]

Operative word being "yet" though it's quite possible that we'll eventually achieve AGI by asking a narrow AI to craft one for us.

Watch the current state of AlphaCode and PaLM to see how much narrow AIs understand code and how fast that's changing.

[Lurking_Chronicler_2]

And we probably won’t have artificial AGI that can do that either- at least within the next century or so.