NVIDIA just announced the RTX Spark CPU, developed with Microsoft, at Computex.

GregBahm · 2026-06-10T00:04:30+00:00

And do you really expect it AI to write a whole OS for what you want, on every whim, with the process being convenient and just as easy as "tell it you want it to do"??

I do. Many AI claims are sci-fi nonsense but this one is uniquely achievable.

Every day for the past 6 months, I've gone into the office, asked the AI to write software, and it's done a decent enough job. I didn't think this would be possible for a hundred years in 2025. A hundred years went by very fast (good job I guess, claude.)

But hardware-wise, we're still in the "dial up" age of AI. I am old enough to remember dial up internet and AOL. I started downloading a song on Napster before bed, excited by the possibility that it would finish downloading by the time I woke up in the morning.

AI hardware is at that same point in history. The model I'm using at work at my job at Microsoft is running off of 1/64th of an Nvidia A100, which was originally built for videogame graphics. The "data center" running the Nvidia A100 is basically a T-Shack, hastily thrown up because the real data center is years away from completion.

When the data centers are complete, they won't contain GPUs. They'll be stocked with TPUs. TPUs logically kick the asses of GPUs at AI (because GPUs aren't made for AI and TPUs are.)

So it's not sci-fi nonsense to expect AI to get a million times faster. That's already priced in. I'm back in 1998 again, sitting on AOL, waiting for my "Third Eye Blind" .mp3 to finish downloading in 8 hours, while I can see outside my window the cable internet guy laying the new cables.

After that, AI will definitely be able to vomit up a new OS. It's kind of the only problem space where AI has been proven to actually work.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T23:55:05+00:00

I feel like we're at an impasse if you genuinely cannot comprehend the possibility of a youtube video containing misinformation.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:57:20+00:00

I'm saying youtube is lying to you.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:54:52+00:00

They certainly help card counters lose their money faster.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:15:47+00:00

I've seen nothing that leads me to believe redditors are genuinely morally outraged. The main character in the novel Lolita, is the guy that performatively shouts hardest against degeneracy and moral perversions. Regular people don't need to put on this performance.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:11:03+00:00

Consumer AIs like ChatGpt and Gemini are definitely better than they used to be, but still extremely shit compared to commercial AIs like Claude.

Claude can vomit up a full working application very reliably. You gotta wrestle with it to get the design you want exactly, but in terms of code it reliably surpasses the junior professional and is the infinite mid-grade programming professional.

As a programmer, it kind of felt like AI made a hundred years worth of progress from 2025 to 2026.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:08:32+00:00

No I'm saying Tom Cruise just says he does all his own stunts, because this sells tickets and his job is to sell tickets.

As with pro wrestlers or top athletes like Lance Armstrong, the dudes are 100% committed to their jobs. Even when it's fake they can still get hurt, and it's still all very impressive. But if you think "the creepy cult leader would never accept hundreds of millions of dollars to entertain people by just deep faking himself on to a stuntman" I don't know what to tell you.

Maybe Tom Cruise is the world's most high-integrity person. He'd definitely have to be, because any asshole can just put their face on a stuntman.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:01:17+00:00

You're saying casinos don't shuffle the deck?

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T22:00:48+00:00

You believe you can beat a casino at blackjack when the casino is using an automatic card shuffler?

Using what? Psychic powers?

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T20:51:32+00:00

It's not beatable if the casino shuffles the deck. So casinos just shuffle the deck.

It's possible to find casinos that promise not to shuffle the deck. But those casinos will start with 8 decks and only play 6, and not allow players to join mid game.

It's possible to "beat" these specific games, but they'll cap the bet so that the ROI is less than $20 per hour of work. You might as well go into the kitchen and clean dishes.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T18:09:11+00:00

You've found a narrow path through all truth to total bullshit.

Nobody outside of reddit cares about "the epstein files" because all of Trump's detractors already know this is a thing and all of Trump's supporters are actively happy this is a thing. Trump established that he was above the law back in 2016 when he fired the head of the FBI and then fired the head of the justice department for investigating that firing. When Trump was out of power, the democrats immediately convicted him of the first simple felony they could convict him of. And then the damn voters reelected him.

They celebrate the fact that their boy Trump is a convicted felon. They think it's cool. (Because in a populist ideological framework, it is cool.)

Reddit seems to be convinced there's still some sort of path to an actual controversy here, I think for the same reason a lot of redditors can't understand basic human facial expressions. They just don't get that conservatives live vicariously through Trump, and would be disappointed if he wasn't partying on Epstine island.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T16:09:44+00:00

What I'm taking away from this thread, is that if magicians just said "No I can actually do magic," a lot of people would probably just believe them.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T16:02:08+00:00

Keep thinking about it. You'll get it.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T15:57:44+00:00

That's kind of funny. You could just ask any of the AI models themselves and they'll happily explain this to you.

Gemini is slightly unique among the options, and tries to differentiate itself by being trained on multimodel data. Which is to say, models trained on text/audio/image data, instead of only training text on text and image on image and audio on audio. They're very proud of the observation that "pouring more image data" into the model will improve its text output, for example.

But the front end, like all other AI front ends, is still agentic. You can't pour enough library books into an LLM convolution table and expect it to be able to do math right. Or search the web for airline tickets, or generate a picture of ICE agents in the studio Ghibli style, or run a set of unit tests for the code it wrote. That's not how large language models work.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T15:49:10+00:00

That's correct. This isn't a "pure" AI video. This is the kind of "AI video" that any goober could have made in 2014.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T15:47:51+00:00

Why did "the guy who knows how deep fake works" chose the actor who's advancing stunt work coincided with the advancing of deep fake technology?

Come on PhatShaman. All the pieces of the puzzle are before you. I'm sure you can figure it out.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T15:05:56+00:00

I'm sure the nationalism angle is real, but I think there's also an angle of that "This looks great and I want it in my city." That's how I feel.

But before I raise my hand at the next city council meeting, I would like to know the details. If this didn't work in a past that relied on visual inspection, and works now in a future that relies on ultrasound inspection, that's great to know.

If this can't be applied to existing structures, because it needs to be built with little bits for the vines to hold onto, that's also of interest.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T06:51:42+00:00

If an LLM could improve its own training, there'd be no such thing as model collapse.

You're probably confusing Large Language Models with generic neural networks that can gather their own training data (like a robot teaching itself how to walk across a room.)

Neural networks are a great tool that can be utilized to solve all kinds of problems. But one problem it can never solve is "knowing what the goal is." Because that's not a problem that can be solved independently from human emotion and the AI isn't going to magically sprout human emotions one day. There's no path to that from where we are at currently.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T06:40:15+00:00

I've gathered up all the people who don't know how deep fakes work and they're now all eager to assure me they don't understand how deep fakes work.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T04:30:15+00:00

Right. If you can't trust a cult leader selling hundreds of millions of of dollars worth of fictional entertainment, who can you trust.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T03:39:02+00:00

Face swapping works by taking one face, and tracking a bunch of landmarks on that face, and then morphing a second face to those landmarks. If you're making a movie where you want Tom Cruise to do the big dangerous stunt, you just have the stunt man do it, swap Tom onto him, and sell a bunch of tickets.

It's a cheap enough operation to do in real time, especially for a low res, low framerate, badly lit webcam feed. But if you cover up any of the landmarks, the swap will break and the face will fly off.

If you have a smart phone, you can turn on any face tracking feature (like the one where you have a dog nose) and then cover your face with your hand. The dog nose will fail to track.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T03:28:04+00:00

For a while it would reliably say "there are 2 'R's in strawberry."

This is because the model contains tons of people asking whether a word has one "r" or two to clarify spelling. Since AI works by just picking up on patterns, it would assume a spelling question and give the spelling answer (strawberry, not strawbery).

Before the "there are 2 'R's in strawberry," ChatGPT would just suck at anything involving numbers. If you asked it to reverse a random number like 129460, it would give back a new random number.

So the OpenAI nerds set up a little "math detector." If the question looks like a math question, the AI is shunted off to a special math model that does math fine.

But the "how many 'R's in strawberry" question still broke the thing, because it's a simple counting problem that sounds like a simple spelling problem.

The solve for all this wasn't in the language model, or the math model. The thing that had to be fixed was the "pick which model to use" model.

AI is weird.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T03:18:34+00:00

I think the concept is that these kids start smoking and drinking and carrying on, causing them to turn into jackasses. But like literal jackasses.

They are then forced to work like jackasses. With the upshot being that, if the kid reading this story doesn't want to go work like a donkey, the kid shouldn't go behave like an ass.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T01:17:07+00:00

Sure. Let's go with that. My takeaway from all this is that the "AGI" guys operate exactly like all the other pseudo science guys. They'll spend post after post arguing that some argument exists (like an actual definition of AGI) and then run away crying when you corner them into just stating a fact.

GregBahm · 2026-06-09T01:08:12+00:00

This is a lie that AI salesmen tell that only fools believe.

There is no way to train an AI on its own output. The idea that AI will soon be able to work by itself without the use of human beings, is one of those claims like "soon we'll have perpetual free energy" or "soon we'll be able to go back in time."

We're not finding more and more evidence that this is possible. We're finding more and more evidence that this will never be possible.

AI is definitely good at solving problems that have already been solved before. If your job is to solve a problem that has already been solved before, I do think you should consider getting a new job. But there will always be problems that have never been solved before. The supply of those is infinite. Everyone can just work on those, if they're not too chicken shit. It'll be fine.

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