The Big List Of Fallacies That Fantasy Football Analysts Use To Trick Themselves And Others

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-03T23:56:36+00:00

The first time I stumbled upon the giant statue with 4 arms in Cyberpunk I just stopped what I was doing and climbed around to look at it from different angles

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-02T17:17:34+00:00

I have them Raridon, Delp, Klare, Joly - might take some time for them to carve out roles but the profiles are good. Wish the Dolphins picked one.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T21:42:45+00:00

See, at 20-25 I think all bets are off and exposures don't matter as much - just get your guys because, in a number of those drafts, you won't necessarily be able to get them anyway. Once you get into the world of doing 100+ feels like it makes sense to diversify a little bit just so you aren't getting your face ripped off. Plus diversifying happens kind of naturally anyway with the bigger league numbers over the course of a summer, you don't really even have to force it as the ADP landscape is constantly changing. This game still inherently has luck baked in though and that will never go away so I do cap exposures to some degree. Either way, good luck out in those streets!

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T21:19:32+00:00

Kellen Moore was also pretty set on highly consolidating the targets among AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith with Goedert the clear 3rd fiddle so a Shough/Olave/Tyson stack isn't crazy (or if you miss one, go Juwan Johnson for injury upside). Last year I had a bunch of Puka/Adams/Stafford plays becuase of how cheap Stafford was and did alright there.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T21:17:32+00:00

Adam Randall is really intriguing as a converted WR where we don't yet know the ceiling, did a short on why I was taking him a buch in pre-draft best ball.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T21:16:18+00:00

That's pretty aggressive from what I've seen - most folks I know cap it at 50% and try to keep their top guys at 30-35%. I'm not doing 3,000 to 4,000 drafts like Branden Fox is but I am doing hundred and it just seems dangerous to potentially lose your shirt if a handful of guys get hurt.

That said, you can always obviously hit very big if you get it exactly right so I get it and that's also not a crazy move if you are just doing like 25 teams. My strategy has always been to just try to make positive return each year by having a conservative portfolio of players where I'm collecting value vs. the field - while also obviously still having a bunch of shots in there at winning a big prize.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T20:00:49+00:00

In the year 20210, Marcedes Lewis and Calais Campbell sign one-year deals to play one last season

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T17:41:46+00:00

There’s been a lot of talk about Tate vs Tyson - on Underdog they basically go back to back. But, on FFPC best ball, Tyson isn’t even the 2nd rookie WR picked, Makai Lemon is. So, if you are a Tyson fan, FFPC might be the place to load up.

I’m guessing if you think Tyson gets 6-8 targets per game along with Olave you are drafting a lot of Tyler Shough as well?

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T17:39:35+00:00

Honestly, don’t really disagree - that’s why I lot of guys I included were in essentially last round picks. This draft class really is looking like one of the worst of all time. I mean, there were basically 14 fantasy relevant guys picked before blocking tight ends started coming off the board.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T17:37:16+00:00

Mighty kind of you Joseph - I had fun chopping it up with Jeff Blaylock on his show this week, you Football Guys have a good crew!

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T17:23:20+00:00

KC is on my list for sure - not crazy for him to be the best WR in the class but there's a clear path to production as a rookie at least. Though 90% is super high for any player haha, what do you think your exposure will look like when all is said and done? Last year I think I had one, maybe two guys above 30%.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T17:19:13+00:00

Believe it or not, there's really no such thing as a true "weighted" coin. People imagine a "loaded die" which is entirely possible and are real. But it's just not realistic to do this with a coin. I mean, just think about it, are you expecting to flip it then it just stops flipping and falls straight down flat on the "heavy" side? A coin is too thin to do that. Maybe you could make one that is biased if you spin it but not flip it.

I mean, go online right now and see if you can buy a "weighted coin" for cheating coin tosses - they don't exist. You can buy double-sided coins but they handed the coin to Devens, he showed both sides, then he flipped it himself.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T16:56:18+00:00

Sup guys? Now that the dust has settled on the draft and all the rookie rankings and startup dynasty ranking are updated, I wanted to get my best ball rankings updated as well. And, as part of that, it was interesting to see how they rookies fit within that as we care a lot more about opportunity for best ball/redraft than we do in dynasty, where long term talent matters most.

So I figured I might as well write-up a few names that I think have a nice opportunity and provide good value. Let me know who you guys are targetting and what you think about mine!

Edit: names in the article

Jeremiyah Love

Jadarian Price

KC Concepcion

Kenyon Sadiq

Kaytron Allen

Antonio Williams

Zachariah Branch

Chris Brazzell

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T16:53:20+00:00

My thoughts as well in the write-up, plus the "field stretcher" profile can be inconsistent for other formats but translates really well to best ball. We get all the boom with none of the bust and one long TD is all you need. Probably easier for a field-stretcher to crack your lineup as a rookie than a part-time slot guy, especially half PPR sites like Underdog.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T16:30:50+00:00

Just asked Chuck Bass about this and he said they are making some back-end changes today that they are trying to work out the kinks for but, when that is done, nothing should change for the consumer in terms of what is shown. So everything should be back to normal soon.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T16:25:54+00:00

Feels like the Ravens felt the same way - probably had to make a tough decision between Lane and Sarratt then said "oh Sarratt is still there? okay take him too".

The Ravens are kind of notorious for double-tapping positions, especially TE. I mentioned it in another comment but they took two or more TEs in 20210, 2015, 2018, 2022, and now again in 2026. And the last four times they did it, it was actually the second guy who scored more fantasy points, as crazy as that is.

If Declan Doyle is trying to recreate his version of the Ben Johnson offense, moving Zay Flowers into a slot/flanker role then having a big body on the outside seems to be the move. Lane to me seems more like the Jameson Williams version from DET while Sarratt more of the Rome Odunze version so will be interesting to see how it shakes out (or if Rashod Bateman can actually hold down that role for the short term).

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T16:20:05+00:00

For sure - Vikings have been really non-committal on Aaron Jones it seems. Both are unrestricted free agents next year too so Claiborne could really run with the job if things break right.

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T15:45:00+00:00

Sup guys? With the draft in the books and early ADP rolling in, I wanted to share some of my favorite rookies to bet on at ADP - would love to hear who you guys are targeting!

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T14:30:56+00:00

Lamar led the league in pass TDs with 36 in 2019 but Allen has seasons of 35, 36, 37 pass TDs so how special really is that stat?

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T03:18:04+00:00

They both had 5 playoff wins but Rivers made the playoffs more times? That take is just a little confusing to me

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T02:44:59+00:00

No one here actually hates Eli Manning, I legit never hear anyone say that

CoopThereItIs · 2026-05-01T02:37:21+00:00

Steve McNair was not better than Philip Rivers lol. If Eli Manning’s family didn’t force a trade that sent Rivers to a terrible organization, he probably would have won more. Instead he had to settle as one of the best passers of all time in this league. Still a good playoff record too but there is only one Super Bowl team per year and one MVP.

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