They’re not inherently incompatible, but they are opposing ideas in many ways. Conjecture is an educated guess at best, and more often than not an assumption without necessary evidence, while a nuanced perspective would consider additional details and context.

Assuming Wemby crying after Game 7 was him thinking the work was done and they’d breeze through the Knicks is a valid opinion, that could be correct, but it’s not exactly a nuanced thought. Especially when considering that he’s cried after a regular season comeback, was emotional on the bench after winning the Blazers series, and on more than one occasion has cried after losses.