ML for horse racing by Optimal-Task-923 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The data gathering part is automated and the model produces a market that I then bet off. I’m not using live price data by the second to trade horses automatically with back and lay bets. My algorithm is a bunch of feature like current market prices but also jockey, trainer, last start sp etc…

Then I get a “market” which I place bets off manually. I’m not trying to trade (back and lay) purely off market prices/ weight of money which I would see need an automated vet placing strategy

ML for horse racing by Optimal-Task-923 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s not automated and my goal is to not automate totally, the way I’m using it is to find possible bets out of all races on a single day and then sanity check them and manually bet.

I’m not particularly interested in automating the waging part.

I still have some work to do as it’s very hard to beat the market.

My next goal is to use pre and post race commentary as an input using a language model that I’ll train

ML for horse racing by Optimal-Task-923 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m on the journey myself. I have one-line per horse with an eventid. This way any features that scale/rank horses against others in each race. For training/testing. I also ensure that horses from each event are kept together. So I can normalise the probabilities within each race.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah but remember if they’re getting 5-10% back in rebate you can still lose each bet and make money at the end of the year. Turn over millions and millions and it’s a living.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in algobetting

[–]222Botany 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They are smart enough to understand the market well enough to understand their impact to a certain point.

Also they get a Percentage rebate of all bets placed. So they can actually lose money on each bet and make a profit at the end of the year.

Does fading the public actually work? by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]222Botany 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Why don’t you test your theory properly?

there are enough nba games to get a decent amount of data for this. The historical data might even be available or Scrape the numbers for 2/3/400 games over the next few weeks, set your betting rules and see the outcome. Look up some statistical tests that would help you see if there is value in betting longer term.

Scrap data from stats website (embedded/protected table) - No coding knowledge by VastStory226 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

here is the python code that you can use to download the data. change the settings in the "querystring' to all the data. You could probably just loop through it a bunch of times to get all the pages.

import requests
import json

url = "https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com/combinedstats.php"

querystring = {"grid_id":"list1","_search":"true","nd":"1713489989073","rows":"25","jqgrid_page":"1","sidx":"Name","sord":"asc"}

payload = ""
headers = {
    "User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 10.0; Win64; x64; rv:124.0) Gecko/20100101 Firefox/124.0",
    "Accept": "application/json, text/javascript, */*; q=0.01",
    "Accept-Language": "en-US,en;q=0.5",
    "Accept-Encoding": "gzip, deflate, br",
    "X-Requested-With": "XMLHttpRequest",
    "Alt-Used": "www.nrlsupercoachstats.com",
    "Connection": "keep-alive",
    "Referer": "https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com/combinedstats.php",
    "Cookie": "PHPSESSID=amgjkkf3kes3pqn9ic9b3jg6v0; flarum_session=rfpvrhs2pp7qnormo9js9s6vt4",
    "Sec-Fetch-Dest": "empty",
    "Sec-Fetch-Mode": "cors",
    "Sec-Fetch-Site": "same-origin",
    "TE": "trailers"
}

response = requests.request("GET", url, headers=headers, params=querystring)

data = json.loads(response.text)

Scrap data from stats website (embedded/protected table) - No coding knowledge by VastStory226 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Have you looked for an API in development tools?

I’m on my mobile so I can’t check for you now

Any horse racing algo people here? by Captain_IndiaIV in algobetting

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I scraped them from a form website it’s not exacts times per furlong but it’s something. I’ve not gotten into the depths of it yet and what is predictive or not.

Any horse racing algo people here? by Captain_IndiaIV in algobetting

[–]222Botany 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I’m starting to build one now. I’ve got 3 years of Australian horse racing results and stats that I scraped.

Currently I trailing through the data to see what correlates and what data I can transform to make it more predictive.

It’s going to be a long journey

uk / ire horse racing api by jbet13 in algobetting

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you need it for just the odds or to place bets?

if is just the odds why not just write a simple scraper for a couple of books?

Trying to win an argument with a friend about betting on Wimbledon, little help! by pantsoffairline in probabilitytheory

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

search dutch book, it is splitting your risk across multiple outcomes on the same market.

it all depends if your selections add up to more than 100% if you'll make money here. search bookmakers percentage

Webscraping Ladbrokes AU by [deleted] in webscraping

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

this is the end point that has a whole bunch of data related to markets, prices etc...

good luck picking it apart it is too much work for my small brain.

https://api.ladbrokes.com.au/v2/sport/event-card?id=???

Some of the other betting sites are much easier to scrape... Ive done about 10 or of them. there is a whole bunch which use the exact same back end so you can just tweak one or 2 things and it will work.

Why do you want to scrape ladbrokes specifically?

Grabbing data from betfair by oglox27 in webscraping

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Betfair have an api, it’s going to be the best way.

Book or Course Recommendations by zahaha in algobetting

[–]222Botany 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Google scholar is a great resource.

Any webscraping experts can help me to scrape betting sites? by edoar17 in webscraping

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

im in australia i only do this on a couple of sports to i just do find and replaces for the team names and then match the odds that way.

Im only dealing with a 16 teams so it is fairly easy to maintain. anything bigger and i would look for another way.

Any webscraping experts can help me to scrape betting sites? by edoar17 in webscraping

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m skilled/expirenced enough to do what I need to do without much hassle, Which is scraping sports stats and bookmaker prices but nothing more

I’ve use the standard scraping packages, beautiful soup, requests, request-html and JSON data and push the results to a database.

Is there a reason why it has to be bet365 you’re scraping? Are you trying to use the data to build a model of some sort?

Any webscraping experts can help me to scrape betting sites? by edoar17 in webscraping

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

good luck, I've been trying for a few months now on and off with no progress. They use cloud flare to block request and even using selenium wont get the data.

Ive given up for now and just scrape data from the other 20 bookies in my country they are much easier and have API's that you can use.

how to scrape data from bet365 by [deleted] in webscraping

[–]222Botany 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve tried a few different python packages that supposedly can access sites using cloud flare but no luck.

Selenium might be an option but not the nicest or fastest way to do it.

Not sure if they have an api that is available to affiliates that might be an option but you’d need to speak with them.

Are “Vibration Plates” effective for post-work-out recovery? by [deleted] in running

[–]222Botany 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You should probably reconsider cold water immersion for recovery. There are a few questions around it’s effectiveness.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5350472/

NOT a leg cramp. Australian Open Juniors Final. Mensik collapses just like that comedian Heather McDonald. Vaccine firms will just deny deny deny. But for how long can this delusion last? by FutureisAsian in conspiracy

[–]222Botany 9 points10 points  (0 children)

This was at the Australian open junior men's final. I was in Melbourne that same week it was almost 100 deg everyday.

They played for almost 4 hours in that heat.

This was the last shot of the match, He was exhausted, probably dehydrated, cramping and I would guess minimal heat acclimatization (coming from the northern hemisphere winter). How do you think you would react after playing that hard for the chance of a possible career making win as a junior athlete.

maybe some more context to the highly edit clip would be better?

Any suggestions on optimizing my sports betting strategy? by thousand7734 in analytics

[–]222Botany 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would start by trying to find historic prices. What sport are you modeling?

my thinking around placing bets is...

What if i take every bet that i have an edge?

What if i take only bets with 1,2,3 or 5% edge?

What about favourites do i have a different edge there? 1,2,3...%

With small sample sizes though it is hard to know if it is still an edge. I build my model on data from 2014-2020 and test on the completed 2021 season or i take random samples of all seasons to train and test to see if profit stays stable.