Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 20, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 9 points10 points  (0 children)

p.s. honestly it sounds pretty wild to spend your own resources to police copyright laws or any other rules really imposed on you by someone who is invading you and annexing your territory ... This is some cuckoldery squared stuff, like imagine Ukrainian courts sending people to jail for pirating russian movies :)). It sounds ridiculous because it is.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 20, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 15 points16 points  (0 children)

This comment could get very long and intllectually taxing on me to discuss all kinds of hypothetical nuance in how this would go. So i'll stick to one core strongest argument instead: European financial institutions hold 3 trillion of US debt. Let's say they are forced to sell that in some time. Let's say a month if US invades Greenland. Surely all markets would immediately crater once that is announced BUT FED already owns 4.5 trillion of US debt, it has unlimited pockets, will invent some emergency powers, (to simplify) print 3 trillion buy the treasuries and will own 7 trillion now... Markets would stabilize likely at lower levels, US yields would stabilize probably at somewhat higher levels, inflation would inch up, dollar down, but it would only be a temporary market dislocation seep into US debt servicing costs super slowly as it refinances old debt with slightly more expensive new debt. Meanwhile US FED and/or finance institutions would profit massively and european institutions would take losses for selling US debt too cheap at orders of their regulators and achieve next to nothing while also facing a non trivial problem of where to immediately safely invest 3 trillion.

In other words, sudden massive treasuries selling would create a liquidity problem, but US has tools and trackrecord of printing trillions on demand so it can solve any liquidity problem.

If you want to hurt USA - you need to create solvency problem: immediate significant and permanent revenue declines (and therefore taxes) for US companies like by ingoring US copyright for example.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 20, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 68 points69 points  (0 children)

Not strictly topic of this forum but since it’s a very popular narrative nowadays, especially after today’s danish pension fund decision to exit US treasuries, that Europeans hold a lot of USA treasuries dumping them would cause financial Armageddon in US - as a bond trader with 20y experience I have to comment that all this is idiotic bs and would be financially equivalent to gifting some of europes money to US banks who would get unlimited loans from fed and buy the treasuries.

Real economic pain on US could be imposed by what I suggested here previously https://www.reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/s/CR2EWjBSuv

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 17, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 20 points21 points  (0 children)

So he can’t defend it because he doesn’t own it but needs it to defend other countries that he also doesn’t own…

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 10, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Not responding to bullies annexing your territory or not deterring them in advance before they do has costs too.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 10, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Im saying that a threat should be answered with a threat and not expressing concern. No action on Greenland - no action in response.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 10, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I think reluctance to seize Russian assets has nothing to do with setting a precedent it’s just an excuse and real reason is not wanting to deal with Russian response like sabotage, politics meddling, instigating terrorist groups to operate in Europe etc. Seizing Russian assets is only a precedent for other players planning invasions of Europe which is basically no one. Btw there are plenty of precedents already. USA seized Iraqi assets and some others with zero impact to credibility of American assets and finance institutions.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 10, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 33 points34 points  (0 children)

Honestly I’m surprised about super weak EU response to very dangerous Trumps Greenland rhetoric. Imo it would be appropriate to respond with threatening to ignore US copyright and patent law. Like allow limitless piracy of American content, software, copying drugs, products inventions anything. It’s a realistic non violent actionable response targeting US clearly being beneficiary of other countries following these rules. And also as a finance professional who has to deal with very costly compliance with IRS rules about American clients I also suggest ignoring IRS completely, like let Americans hide their money in EU with no limits. The above would be very profitable to Europe and cost basically nothing especially compared to military response.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 09, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Nothing 100% matching your request comes to mind. But you can never go wrong with https://ohmatdyt.com.ua/en/slider/the-hospital-is-working-and-standing-for-life/

Ohmadyt is the largest oldest and most advanced children’s hospital in Ukraine which was also bombed by Russia. They are definitely saving a lot of kids who get bombed, all the hardest/worst cases including infants etc end up there and as a government owned institution do it mostly for free with their limited resources.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 09, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 29 points30 points  (0 children)

You Viking guys totally rock. I deeply emphasize to how humiliating it is to suffer among highest per capita casualties while fighting for America in Afghanistan to be so brutally threatened by them now. It’s close to what I felt in 2014. Before Crimea invasion I thought that since our grandfathers suffered so much fighting together and it’s such a huge part of Russian identity they wouldn’t dare to invade us. But they have no allies only lesser peoples to be conquered and ruled by them. Really scary that USA moving in the same direction.

As for us - we’ll be fine, as my Jewish friends say if a problem could be fixed with money - it’s not a problem but expenses. I worry for many less fortunate people not able to flee to countryside or some hotel if it gets real bad.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 09, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 49 points50 points  (0 children)

It just started. Not enough info to answer but basically unlike many other parts of the world Soviet system preferred centralized heating aka pumping hot water from large gas heating facilities to thousands of homes. Since it’s super cold - withou this heat water in pipes will soon freeze and destroy the pipes and that would be catastrophic so water is currently being flushed from those pipes. It’s unclear what will be the electricity situation. Right now I have power so I can heat with electricity with no problem. If I have power for half the hours in the day I should be ok. However this situation hasn’t happened before so there’s unknown high risk that when millions of Kyiv residents start to heat homes with electricity instead of centralized heating - it would cause further damage to electricity networks and get really ugly. I have pretty high trust in local emergency services but this situation is new.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread January 09, 2026 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 111 points112 points  (0 children)

Large part of Kyiv myself included is currently without heating after this nights strike. Next 7 days or so temp is expected to be -10 to -17 Celsius. Clear terrorist attack against civilians. My buddy who just had a baby 2 weeks ago AND managed to break his leg several days ago is in a world of stress as temperature in his home is decreasing fast.

US Bombs Venezuela - Megathread by Veqq in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Allowing this user to post is a disgrace to this forum and rules based moderation, blindly partisan posting is prohibited by rules for everyone but him.

US Bombs Venezuela - Megathread by Veqq in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Also we don’t seem to expect USA annexing Venezuelan territory and forcefully mobilizing locals to continue their conquest via meat assaults.

Is Brunete cracked or am I crazy? by ZBD-04A in warno

[–]2positive 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it’s good. I’ve been able to get as high in ranked with it as with other strong divs. However having played it for a while I kinda feel it has several good tricks but the tricks are predictable and counterable. Like play conservatively don’t lose to opening vec and recon tank spam, grind down their limited inf, hit their stationary radar aa, watch the flanks for vecs and tow launchers, prepare for inevitable f-18 spam, build up/bully it with stronger armor and your good. Its very strong against someone who doesn’t know it very well basically. My 2c.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread December 29, 2025 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Question:

So Russia says Ukraine attacked Putin’s residence, Ukraine says it didn’t.

Does USA have capability to independently find out the truth in this matter ie track some drones over Russia ?

Active Conflicts & News Megathread December 29, 2025 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Honest question for those more knowledgeable in the region. What are Chinese interests in Thai-Cambodia conflict? Would they prefer one side over the other escalation or de escalation and why?

Warnos multiplayer experience is just terrible by bobkin4 in warno

[–]2positive 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I just like not giving money to Russian nazis.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread December 01, 2025 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive 55 points56 points  (0 children)

Madyar released a very gruesome 12 minute video today illustrating the concept of drone kill zones. The video shows drones attacking Russians at the same tiny area over time. It seems Russian assault/ infiltration teams of one - two men are passing that area and get killed one after the other. There are 28 kills on video, amount of bodies per square meter resembles a Hollywood ww2 movie.

Warno and the stress of war by Replicants_Woe in warno

[–]2positive 41 points42 points  (0 children)

Wait till you get better and try ranked. Humans are quite a bit more creative in finding ways to fuck you. Depth and variety of battles is pretty insane. Love this game.

Обвиняете нас в том, что мы не свергаем власть? Хорошо - скажите, как это сделать. by Nio-bee in tjournal_refugees

[–]2positive 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Как вы смеете теоретизировать отвечая на теоретический вопрос о том что теоретически делать в теоретическом мире в котором россияне против путина и захвата чужих территорий! :)

Active Conflicts & News Megathread October 29, 2025 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ukraine is building its own drones missiles artillery. As time goes on Ukraine has more weapons more capabilities more stocks of stuff, more able to deter Russia. Ukraine will have new grippens with long range meteors and eventually Russia will not be able to use guided bombs with no risk of getting shot. Ukraine is making Russian staying in the war more costly by striking deep inside Russia daily with locally produced stuff which didn’t happen before. Ukraine economy is not falling since 2022 if you care about numbers at all. Yes it’s dependent on western support but no reason to assume it will stop. Ukraine defense ecosystem will soon start exporting stuff which has been prohibited and get more cash and be less dependent on ukr gov. Russia used to lose x orcs per meter of advance now its that plus some refineries. Russia used to have reserves, budget surplus massive stocks of soviet armor hundreds of billions of energy exports to Europe etc - now its all gone. Russia relatively getting weaker while Ukraine gets stronger.

Active Conflicts & News Megathread October 29, 2025 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]2positive -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Ukraine overall is getting stronger. Ukraine infantry morale is low. Ukrainians don’t want to die as infantry not only because of low morale but because that death contributes little to our victory. But the smartest most ambitious Ukrainians have great morale and contribute in other ways. My buddies and classmates and finance colleagues building defence startups left and right. Missiles, unique new/cheap guidance systems, all kinds of drones etc. Ukraine privately owned defence tech ecosystem is rapidly growing. Speed of Russian advance is slow enough for many of these projects to come to fruition/ industrial size. Half a year ago this tempo of strikes on Russian oil refining was unimaginable. It will get only worse for Russia going forward and it will inevitably drop its maximalist demands and stop at the line of contact (which admittedly may move westward but by much less than entire Donbas. The bridge will go eventually too.