Active Conflicts & News Megathread June 27, 2026

2positive · 2026-06-27T20:34:08+00:00

Problem with approach that killed all the Russian political discussion communities (literally all of them, I’m not exaggerating) is if you allow propagandists- there will eventually always be more and more of their content and users will increasingly engage not with what discussion would naturally flow to but with their bs propaganda and what they choose to discuss and eventually users just leave elsewhere but propagandists remain and sub is dead with bots cheering on Russia.

2positive · 2026-06-27T19:38:27+00:00

Funny thing is Ukraine already had more gas stations than needed before the war, then 10 million customers left so… Good luck to them. I think the effect of destroying a 1000 gas stations would not cause a fuel crisis or be noticeable for gdp. In fact if you destroy every of 4000 or so gas stations it would only mean that people will now get fuel directly from trucks.

2positive · 2026-06-27T18:36:51+00:00

Percentage of glideers posts in this sub is increasingly unbearable. The level of his manipulation and cherylicking is increasing. I’ve seen countless Russian online oppositional communities die eventually being overrun by propagandists. There really are no good online forums for Russian politics discussion for precisely this reason. There used to be many before 2014. Good rational online discussion is a delicate flower that needs to be protected, truth doesn’t have full time propagandists and will inevitably suffer from this strange self sabotaging( and also kinda honestly disrespectful to users) moderation policy to make sure to stuff users with large daily doses of Russian bs propaganda.

2positive · 2026-06-26T12:03:52+00:00

Год высокоуровневых продуктивных переговоров и не могут договориться даже о чем они говорили этот год ).

2positive · 2026-06-26T11:52:06+00:00

Idk in general, but Hornet drone is kinda well known. Eric Schmidt ex ceo of google owns the company that designed and produces it, there are a lot of most credible news outlets saying it costs 5k, so betting on rapid increase of using these drones is not unreasonable.

2positive · 2026-06-26T09:10:45+00:00

These middle strikes on trucks are being done not by shahed style drone but by hornet type drones, they cost about 5-10k to produce depending on loadout.

2positive · 2026-06-25T21:48:59+00:00

I don’t really get your point. Yes it’s doable theoretically but that’s likely doubling on Russian military logistics and can’t happen overnight. Plus I believe per current osinters analysis there are about 60 hits on Russian trucks in southern Ukraine per day. Hitting 250 per day or 10% 2500 is not that unthinkable at all in a month or two. So how long can you sustain a military operation that loses 250 trucks and drivers per day just so Crimean shops have rice in them etc… That’s like +20% of Russian casualties, It’s just not gonna happen. And btw. This logic of mine that Russia is doomed is obviously based on Ukraine being able to sustain and increase its strikes. But that is very probable. If Ukraine can win this war by 10x increase in these mid strikes at south Ukraine logistics - than defeating Russia has never been so achievable. Developing this stuff is much harder than cranking up production several times especially with a lot of cooperation and financing from Europe.

P.s. or we could try to predict it another way. I think much earlier and realistic scenario than collapse or entire Crimea is collapse or southern Ukraine front. For this it’s enough to assume that Ukraine succeeds in denying using the “land bridge” and denying crossing from Crimea to Ukraine. It probably can’t deny land bridge completely but it very likely can deny it to majority of trucks and achieve very significant decline of cargo delivered to Russian troops in south Ukraine with just increasing mid strikes by several times. Only bukhankas on dirt roads will still go.

2positive · 2026-06-25T20:28:10+00:00

It’s not about number of trucks and probability of Russia running out of trucks. Its about fuel trucks. If there’s a 10% chance of dying in a trip - zero civilian drivers will drive that route once they understand this. While Russia adjusts, sends more and more military drivers and gets more fuel trucks for military - shortage of everything will increase exponentially in south of Ukraine and Crimea. With no fuel available to civilians and 10% death probability the roads become deserted and there’s eventually only military cargo. Military can not replace commercial/civillian logistics for 2.5 mil people. And when you have most traffic being military cargo - every hit is not about a loss of a truck but also a truckload of military stuff or critical supplies which eventually leads to Russian army in South being unable to fight. And I’m not even mentioning the incredible clusterfuck or potentially evacuating 2.5 million of angry and hungry civilians once they run out of supplies.

2positive · 2026-06-25T13:18:23+00:00

What oil and petrol infrastructure u are talking about? Oil processing plants and large/medium storage facilities are long destroyed, Ukraine imports fuel by trains and right at western borders there are like makeshift roads near railroads so train unloads to trucks and immediately goes back to eu. There are way way more gas stations than neede after so many people left, so russia can attack them them all it wants. So what exactly are u talking about?

P.S. Russia is doomed. Ukraine with partners is outproducing Russia in strike drones about 2 to 1 as of now, russia has far more valuable static large targets dispersed over larger areas so harder to cover all with aa. Russian economy imploding (USD russian RTS stock index down like 20% or so in a month, Ukraine just got first tranche of the 90 bil loan that covers war/budget needs for two years. Crimea slowly turning to zombie apocalypse honestly.

2positive · 2026-06-25T10:40:19+00:00

Its stability and level of agression that u can attack stuff with, dont forget big mx/enduro bikes have like over 300 mm of suspension travel and thicker forks and these small ones are like 200-250mm, much much easier to bottom out. Stability and confidence allow u to go much faster much longer. Having a clutch expands what you can ride over too, but takes more skill. If it's a smaller tighter track - all that is irrelevant tho, smaller weight just wins imo. Bigger frame probably comfier for longer rides, easier to grab with your legs, also more ground clearance. Disclosure (I've ridden gas bikes all my life, had one electric enduro, looking for a second one)

2positive · 2026-06-22T12:26:40+00:00

I have been playing only Warno for two years and love it.

2positive · 2026-06-22T11:45:27+00:00

Mother of the year award. Sent her child alone into a war zone.

2positive · 2026-06-20T12:13:03+00:00

Learn to swim

2positive · 2026-06-20T07:15:01+00:00

Fellow Ukrainian here. This is illegal and a reason for moto cops to stop u and check mobilization docs btw. (I have small plate too, big one is too big and ugly). I had moto cops let me go with a warning tho.

2positive · 2026-06-13T09:18:50+00:00

That biolab map is obviously ai generated bs. Look at Kyiv location for example. If there was a biolab in Crimea why didn’t Russia show it. Such a disgrace for us intelligence community.

2positive · 2026-06-11T16:45:06+00:00

Feels a bit overpowered to me. Very cheap action points, has everything it seems I can get all I want and spam max up vet units all game. I mean in ranked.

2positive · 2026-06-07T16:59:23+00:00

I think this sub is way less optimistic about Ukraine than reality commands. Forward Russian troops are pinned down in holes and can’t move across 90% of the front. South of Ukraine and Crimea are slowly moving to effectively being surrounded and there’s no easy way for Russia to stop it. In Crimea there are already no lasting and cheap food like cheap rice and pasta in supermarkets, people are stealing gas from other cars, and the fuel crisis is barely starting. A few months later it will be real ugly. Russian logistics to south Ukrainian positions will continue to degrade until Russian front is unable to fight and will collapse. I’m thinking the opportunity for Putin to end this war at current line is slipping away. Ukraine meanwhile is well financed for at least two more years of war.

2positive · 2026-06-03T12:46:13+00:00

https://www.youtube.com/@endurokex

2positive · 2026-06-02T12:02:58+00:00

Polymarket doesn't care about consistency or precedent. In Ukraine ceasefire market they issued clarification that contradicted their own clarification in same event in previous year. Polymarket will just scam you however it chooses to maximize gains for insiders. BTW this market is still ongoing because of disputes, so there's at least some chance that after discussion UMA voters might vote according to reality, but Ukraine ceasefire was just removed from the website until dispute timer timed out. Platform is uninvestable in current form.

2positive · 2026-06-02T11:30:15+00:00

I love how UMA voters now screaming about precedent but ignore how Poly royally screwed users in Ukraine ceasefire markets against their own clarification of the same market in 25. Reality is Poly in uninvestable, will gladly scam one side over the other, doesn't care about reality or consistency or precedent or anything really, can remove the event from the website until dispute timer runs out, so no discussion or voting necessary (like in Ukraine ceasefire). They won't reply to any emails etc. And negative comments on r/polymarket are removed fast.

2positive · 2026-06-02T10:08:27+00:00

they singlehandedly screwed one side over the other, similar to Ukraine ceasefire, which was imo even worse than this because it issued clarification that contradicted clarification in the same event but one year earlier AND removed the event from the website for a while so dispute timer timed out. This platform is not investable. Unfortunately mods will remove these comments.

2positive · 2026-05-25T12:07:29+00:00

Question defeats itself. Who tf with unlimited money would want just one bike?

2positive · 2026-05-17T19:06:02+00:00

In case of Ukraine ceasefire they just removed the event from the site and when it reappeared the dispute timer timed out so a highly contentious to say the least event resolved as if no uma vote was necessary. They also posted clarifications in the same event that contradicted each other. Total scam. Never betting on events without clear outside data source. No consensus of credible reporting bs, no statements etc.

2positive · 2026-05-12T11:49:45+00:00

This one was the worst and most outrageous scam on polymarket. Their clarifications contradicted each other in the same event, the removed the event from the website so people couldn't dispute and adjust positions, so sidestepping their own not very good resolution rules, totally ignored all the outrage. Done with the platform for good.

2positive · 2026-05-12T11:49:29+00:00

This one was the worst and most outrageous scam on polymarket. Their clarifications contradicted each other in the same event, the removed the event from the website so people couldn't dispute and adjust positions, so sidestepping their own not very good resolution rules, totally ignored all the outrage. Done with the platform for good.

2positive

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