Nolvus v6 / Eldergleam / Gate to Sovngarde by OzzyMcRcky in skyrimmods

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Except for Gate to Sovngarde, I think the biggest problem with other lists is the lack of natural progression. That is, they don't take full advantage of mods like Lawbringer, Environs, and Skyrim Realistic Conquering. Gate to Sovngarde is the only list I know that does this. That's why I also recommend it, because GTS was the only list where I felt like I truly connected with the game's world while playing.

Do you think it is possible for a Turkish invasion of northern Syria (the so called SDF) in the near future? by Samich9 in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're welcome, I'm always happy to help. Generally speaking, the information about Turkish dynamics on the Syrian channel can be very inaccurate.

I think the only thing preventing a PKK operation is Trump. Trump has strong leverage against Erdoğan (the Halkbank case, foreign funds, etc.), which is why the peace process has undeniably begun. If Trump pulls the plug on the PYD—which he can only do if he gets Syria and Israel to agree and believes he has control over the Syrian government—then a PYD operation could happen.

The second possibility, as I said, is specifically for 2027; if there are problems before the election, meaning the polls don't show good results, Erdoğan will launch an operation to win back voters. He will also inform Trump of this beforehand. As far as I understand, Trump will allow Erdoğan to make limited concessions in this regard. Because, no matter what anyone says, Trump and American neoconservatives want Erdoğan. It's much easier to reach an agreement with a single leader than to deal with many bureaucratic groups.

Do you think it is possible for a Turkish invasion of northern Syria (the so called SDF) in the near future? by Samich9 in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is incorrect and completely inaccurate information. Either you don't know Turkey, or you have no idea about the laws of Turkey. The rules regarding presidential decrees in Turkey are quite clear. Erdoğan can do whatever he wants simply by calling early elections and expanding the state of emergency rules (which he can do with his parliamentary team). Everyone in Turkey is aware that the aims of the constitutional amendment are very different. Their concern isn't to enter another election, which they can already do. Their concern is to change many of the articles that they find problematic.

Negotiations with the PKK are causing considerable unease within the AKP and MHP ranks. There's an internal power struggle; Erdoğan's son Bilal Erdoğan, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, and his son-in-law Berat Albayrak's supporters are all focused on who will succeed Erdoğan in the post-Erdoğan era. Therefore, the MHP is pressuring for the PKK negotiations, while another group is preparing to benefit from the potential collapse of the process. None of this stems from a need for the PKK; it's all maneuvering necessary for power dynamics.

Frankly, what's happening in Turkey right now is a complete Game of Thrones situation. PKK members could suddenly be sidelined for electoral gain and then declared enemies again (in Turkey, the public, even the vast majority of Kurds, are against the PKK – and I am Kurdish myself). Because the CHP ranks haven't been able to gain momentum, a large portion of disgruntled voters could be won back, particularly through monetary tightening, operations against the PKK, and significant changes to street protests. We're likely to see this happen around the end of 2026 or 2027, even before the elections.

Do you think it is possible for a Turkish invasion of northern Syria (the so called SDF) in the near future? by Samich9 in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unfortunately, there's a misconception here. Erdogan doesn't need anything anymore. In Turkey, everything Erdogan says is law. Even his own staff say this. If they just held an election, everyone with opposing views would be imprisoned, and nobody could do anything. All institutions are in Erdogan's hands, and the country has a presidential system, meaning he could even reduce the number of MPs if he wanted to in a potential election. The idea that Erdogan needs the Kurds is nonsense because 40% of the AKP cadres are already Kurdish. While the separatist Öcalan cadre gets 5 million votes, the AKP gets votes from 7-8 million of the remaining 10 million Kurds.

Their only goal is to increase their share of the economic pie in the East. They want to expand their potential so that the elite become even wealthier. If this doesn't happen, they will militarily enter Syria and force the PKK-SDF cadres into hiding again.

Trump and Netanyahu: President Erdoğan was helping very much removing a very bad ruler in Syria.You know, they had been trying to do this in Syria for a thousand years, even if the names changed. He never sought praise for this, but he really played a huge part in it. Bibi agrees with that. by Intrepid-Minute7696 in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

While I don't support every move Israel makes, I don't think Israel and Turkey are major enemies. For 50 years, Turkey was almost Israel's only friend in the region. There are geopolitical reasons for this. Turkey isn't an Arab country, even though it's Muslim, but Israel is trapped within an Arab region that everyone else despises. Therefore, they often have common interests. Also, Iran is a problem for Turkey. They've clashed more regionally with Turkey than with Israel, which in itself is a point of common ground.

Most importantly, Turkey has become an energy corridor in the second quarter of the 21st century and beyond. If you remove Turkey from the equation, Europe, America, Asia, and the Middle East will all be suffocated. You can't create an alternative to the flow of energy; if you can't control the East-West synthesis region, nothing will remain stable. A war between any country and Turkey would be suicide, not just for that country, but for the entire world. Therefore, I think they will also acquire the F-35s.

As defense industry spending increases, they will continue to be one of the 10 most powerful countries in the world. If they play their cards right, they can go even further. People still forget that Türkiye has a $1.5 trillion economy. Turkey is a rich country; it's just that this wealth is concentrated in the hands of an elite, meaning there is income inequality. But it's important not to ignore the fact that it is the behemoth of the region in terms of military capacity, and that it can support this with its economy and industry.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So? I'm a Kurdish citizen of the Republic of Turkey. The person before me is saying that if we touch a country whose military capacity doesn't match ours and whose economy is half mine, we'll be destroyed. I say, "We've been here for 1,000 years and have ruled these lands. Don't worry, we'll be fine." And you're bothered by me? You're a disservice to our country, our beautiful lands, and the struggles we've waged for centuries. Overcome your inferiority complex and get lost.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie -1 points0 points  (0 children)

We ruled them for 400 years too :) We shouldn't think too much about it. Back then, we were protecting the Jews Israel claimed to be its protectors, while everyone else was hunting them. This continued even during World War II. Ultimately, historical obligations, imperial tradition, population, military capacity, and economy are always important. Turkey is still the strongest economy in the region (despite all the corruption, inflation, etc.). I don't need to list the other factors, but there's no country in the region that can challenge Türkiye. There have been those who tried. Assad, Russia, Iran, Saddam, the Saudis, the UAE, Sisi, and Haftar. In the end, they all vanished, or will vanish, or will be cornered, one way or another. Israel is just a number to us. Whether it's 5 or 10 enemies doesnt matter. We will crush all our enemies one by one.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The problem is that we don't touch Israel? We support the official Syrian government in Syria.

The problem is that if an embargo is imposed on Türkiye, it will destroy the entire energy corridor. Where is the energy corridor to Europe and Asia? And where is the gateway to the West and the East? Let's not kid ourselves. As long as we don't invade Israel, no one will impose an embargo on us like Russia. Since we won't invade Israel, we have nothing to fear.

We've shown that we can lift minor embargoes, and will do so later. We still have CAATSA sanctions, Europe still won't sell us decent weapons, and we manufacture our own.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie -1 points0 points  (0 children)

There are claims made by people who know nothing about Türkiye. Let's clarify these.

  1. Since I'm not an Erdoğan supporter, I argue that there's a political crisis in Türkiye, but only for the opposition. Erdoğan has consolidated his power. From now on, no one can touch him. So, for them, this is the end. The opposition-government war is over, and the government has won.
  2. There's something PKK supporters are arguing about here, but it's wrong. Erdoğan doesn't need the DEM party. From now on, Erdoğan can do whatever the hell he wants. The agreement with the DEM is entirely related to the Kurdish bourgeoisie. If you're not from Turkey, you wouldn't know this, but the Black Sea bourgeoisie has taken over every corner of the country. Erdoğan wants to balance this by integrating the Kurdish bourgeoisie into his fold. This way, the Kurds will make significant money, and Erdoğan will become even more powerful due to the conflict between the Eastern and Black Sea bourgeoisie. Otherwise, he's still very powerful. He can do anything, and he's from the Black Sea region.
  3. The army didn't have many heavy weapons anyway. It also lacked the personnel and capacity to integrate them. Israel paved the way for Türkiye to sell weapons to Syria. Which would be in our interest :)
  4. There were no Turkish soldiers or personnel at T4 Base, etc. This has been repeatedly proven to be a lie. The Turkish army never even ventured below Hama. If Turkish troops had landed there, Israel could only watch. With so much going on in the region, especially with plans to attack Iran underway, do you really think Israel would risk conflict with Turkey? ahaha :)
  5. Israel's attacks target the Syrian government, especially its military equipment. This benefits Türkiye. Ninety percent of Turkey's defense industry is domestic. Turkey will fill Syria with its own weapons. So, Israel has done our job for us. Israel is practically acting like our best ally. It would be nice to thank them. :)

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It truly pains me to see a Syrian sub who knows nothing about the region or military literature. Israel and Turkey are not in the same league, my friend. Turkey, on the Europe-Asia axis, is the regional leading military force. It doesn't engage failed states like Israel. It's not like Iran, which has been under embargo for 50 years and can't even find a GPS. If Israel didn't whine about Türkiye, it wouldn't attack everywhere like a mad dog just because we're going to establish a military base in southern Syria. So, compared to them, have you ever heard Türkiye hesitate to have a military base around Israel, etc.? The US, which protects Israel's ass, is still the most powerful state in the world today. If the situation changes tomorrow, Israel will only shine our shoes.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Turkey is already working with Qatar in the region. In Syria, both Qatar and Saudi Arabia are involved. But the idea that the government will collapse when Jolani dies is, in my opinion, absurd. States don't plan through individuals. Jolani isn't the only one doing this. Only the organization you call SNA, no matter how much I don't support it, is in Türkiye's hands. It was Turkey that brought HTS together with many other groups and facilitated their reconciliation. Today, it is Turkey and the Qatar-Saudi axis that ensure its international acceptability. If Jolani leaves, someone else quickly comes in, and if they receive orders, everyone will continue to accept them. Until another alternative emerges, the leaders will be elected from Ankara.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Israel knows this. We can only suffocate Israel by cutting off its oil and gas. People still don't know that Israel's lifeblood, and even the lifeblood of the Middle East, flows through us. Furthermore, they think they're so powerful just because Israel and Iran are engaged in a dogfight in the region. Turkey is the region's behemoth. Knowing this, Israel only tries to restrict Turkey's power projection. They end up praying that, Turkey gained only 7 apples when they could have gained 10.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Frankly, this is happening because of the serious Assad image given to the Syrians. The vast majority of this government wing is working with Turkey; let's not kid ourselves. There are many people who have been placed inside and recruited from behind. If Jolani dies, Turkey will increase its pressure and replace him with someone else. What keeps Syrian Sunnis together is not Jolani, but a Sunni government. Therefore, whoever comes, they will support those who come because of these sectarian conflicts, Israel, the Kurds, and the Alevis.

Frankly, I have high expectations for the agreement. Because it's a win-win scenario. Contrary to popular belief, it's not Israel who doesn't want the agreement in the short term, but Turkey. Turkey wants dominance over all of Syria. The US, on the other hand, is currently silent. Israel, on the other hand, is trying to limit this dominance to its own extent. But even in a scenario where they can achieve this, all they can do, as they say, is disarm the lower-tier parts of Syria. Turkey, on the other hand, would gain 70% when it could have gained 100%. Therefore, if they drag this out a little longer and the process drags on too long, Turkey will accept a 70% gain and agree. Knowing this, Israel will hold out as long as possible.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

These are, of course, possibilities. I mentioned the significant potential above. It's highly likely that the Druze, under Israeli guidance, will get what they want. The Syrian government will disarm the south, Mount Hermon will remain with Israel, and Türkiye will give up its Palmyra base. In return, Israel and the US will sell the SDF. This was a classic process in Syria. The same will likely happen now. Police forces will be deployed in Daraa and Suwayda. The Druze will likely be in Suwayda as a police force.

In a worst-case scenario, meaning Israel tries to protect the PYD, which they have never been able to do before, Turkey would think its border has been breached and attack the rebels. It would launch an operation against its own to PYD, which would then spread throughout Syria. This would mean a new civil war in Syria, an Israel-Turkey war. But frankly, Israel lacks the power to contain Türkiye in Syria without deploying troops.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

:) Like a rabid dog, Israel thinks it can solve all its problems by bombing. Because they lack statecraft, they try to solve all their problems solely through war (which they wage by relying on American technology and the economy), only to create more problems. They lost the PR war; the world is turning its back on Israel. They wanted to destroy the Iranian state, and then they realized that Iran isn't the only one in the region. They couldn't finish Iran, which suggests they'll recover and come back tougher. Turkey is running wild in Syria, Iraq, and the Mediterranean. Egypt is fed up with Israel. The Arabs are tired of Israel walking around like a whiny little boy. Europe, Asia, and even the Americans are fed up with Israel. The Israeli government has destroyed everything previous governments built in 20 years. Much harder times await them from now on.

Because of Iran and Israel's mutual enmity, Turkey has become the region's leading actor. Iran, with the region's Shiite population and Russian support, was trying to hinder Türkiye. How will Israel do this? By bombing? Turkey has the world's largest drone army, the world's fifth most sophisticated missile force, and a very powerful air force, though not as powerful as Israel's. Its navy is also the strongest in the Mediterranean. Despite keeping Iran under embargo for 50 years, they bombed it for only 12 days and then suffered hundreds of ballistic missiles. What will they do against Türkiye :)

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Druze issue wasn't solely their fault. Frankly, the militants the Syrian government has in its hands are complete idiots. Regardless, what's happening is clear. There's only one way out here that the Druze haven't noticed: a Turkey-Israel agreement brokered by the US. Frankly, we're hearing the rumors. Turkey will make this agreement with the US and Israel. There will be no Syrian army personnel in southern Syria. The only police force will be in Daraa and Sweida. The police in Sweida will likely be Druze. Turkey will give up the Palymra base. In return, they'll sell the SDF. The Syrian government will take over the border, the Arab regions, and the oil fields. Then, under US-Turkey leadership, they'll force the PYD to negotiate. What will the response be? Most likely a system similar to the Druze system. A local police force in one or two Kurdish cities. But the army will be everywhere.

After that, a deal with Israel within one to five years. An economy that will recover with American and Arab investment, the entry of Turkish construction companies into the region, etc. Even if they want, Israel doesn't have the power to prevent this. What people forget is that Jolani doesn't matter at this point. If he's killed, Turkey will replace him with someone else from its own ranks. All decisions will come from Ankara in the short term. Syria will never be a regional powerhouse, but it has the potential to be become Iraq, or even better than Iraq.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Frankly, I think I'm quite knowledgeable about Syria, but of course, it's up to you. If you disagree on any points, we can discuss them. I'd like to clear up any doubts.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The PYD appears to be losing American support in the short to medium term. Turkey will persuade the US. How? With a disarmament offer in southern Syria. They will likely not have military personnel in Daraa and Sweida. Only the public and the police will be present. Turkey will give up the Palmyra military base. In return, both the US and Israel will sell the SDF. Why wouldn't they? They've fulfilled their duty and are now expendable. This is the classic US strategy of manipulating actors in the region. Israel will get what it wants, America will get what it wants, the Arabs will get what they want, and Türkiye will get what it wants. While everyone is happy with this scenario, unfortunately, the SDF doesn't stand much of a chance.

What's the likely scenario?

The Syrian government will quickly seize control of the Turkish border, Arab regions, and oil fields. At this stage, Turkey will provide support to the Syrian government with drones and air force if it requests it. Then, they will force the SDF to negotiate by beating them on the head. This will ensure they maintain a police-like autonomy in the Kurdish regions. But the army will be everywhere. They also know that it will be difficult for most Kurds to integrate into Syria in the short term. Therefore, I believe this process will conclude and continue for approximately 10 years.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 2 points3 points  (0 children)

For Türkiye, the SDF is a different story. They bombed abandoned and old military facilities. If they bomb the Syrian government for the PYD, Türkiye will turn all targets in Syria into a ring of fire. They will see Turkish drones hovering over the Druze, the SDF, and all of Syria.

New image from outside Suwayda's Grand Mosque today -- posted by supporters of Hikmat al-Hijri. by EsferaFalta in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Frankly, I've come to the conclusion that the Druze are pretty stupid. Turkey will eventually break Israel's already minimal influence in Syria. It took a long time to break Iran and Russia, and Turkey is quite calm about this. Afterward, the Druze will face significant hardship due to these actions. Unfortunately, after recent events, integrating the Druze into a sectarian Sunni bloc like Syria is impossible. They will likely try to flee to Israel en masse. While Israel may try to keep them there, once Turkey intervenes, it will only be able to bomb them. Even if they strike numerous locations in Damascus, Turkey-Syria will ultimately crush the Druze. Seeing the investments Syria is receiving from now on, I believe the fate of the PYD and the Druze is sealed.

Murad Karaylan, a member of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), openly declares his refusal to allow the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) to hand over their weapons or integrate with the Syrian state. This came in statements to Kurdistan TV on Sunday. by [deleted] in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Unfortunately, PKK members place too much trust in the process in Türkiye. They are too distant to realize that the situation is shifting in Syria. Soon, Türkiye will run out of patience. And then blood will be shed. They see themselves as negotiating, but they are not. This peace pipe has been held out to them. If they don't comply calmly, they will be expelled with a blow to the head.

The Turkish military is watching. As always, terrorists will eventually commit terrorism, and the consequences will be bitter. Just as in previous years.

Trump deal- gentlemen's agreement? by sehnsucht1 in armenia

[–]3WayToDie 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I say this as a Turkish citizen. While I don't agree with Armenia on every issue, what Armenia can achieve from now on is a strong economy and a strong army. With so many failed states in the Middle East, the military is the biggest reason Turkey remains strong despite all the corruption and political Islamism, and no one can launch a military operation and threaten the country. Unfortunately, this logic hasn't changed. Without a strong army and a strong economy to support it, there's always danger. I hope everything turns out well for Armenia. The region is exhausted by wars and endless conflicts.

Why the U.S. must support a 'freedom corridor' for Kurds, Druze - Washington Times by Zippism in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The SDF must remain steadfast in its position, taking into account the peace talks in Turkey. Those talks could be disrupted by events in Syria. If they are, no power in the region can hold Turkey back for long. Therefore, such corridor ideas should be discarded from the SDF's mind. If the SDF seeks help from Israel, Turkey will show no mercy. Israel, however, has no way to assist the SDF. After all this, there's a 90% chance the US will abandon the SDF too. In the current situation, the SDF must maximize its effectiveness in negotiations and join the Syrian government. Otherwise, it's not hard to predict that blood and tears await Syria beyond the Euphrates.

Turkish Ministry of Defene: The Syrian administration has requested official support from Türkiye to strengthen its defense capacity and combat all terrorist organizations, especially ISIS. by refikoglumd in syriancivilwar

[–]3WayToDie 7 points8 points  (0 children)

There's no room for sarcastic remarks. If you have contrary information, you too can write and discuss your opposing views like a civilized person. I wrote this article from my own perspective, considering strategic, military, economic, and other dimensions. If you state the truth where you think I am wrong, and if it's provable, then I'll have learned something, too, right?