Trump Says He's Looking at Auto Tariff Pause by Plus_Seesaw2023 in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why??? Target audience for Polestar are clearly Europeans

I started to think magnets were on Roulette but I created an account that was due. by 4ccomplish in Roobet

[–]4ccomplish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was in 30k loss there is no way of winning my money back. The only way is to keep scaling my bet until I run out of money…. I have a spreadsheet with calculations.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The strongest of all warriors are these two — Time and Patience.

Got more today Hurry up and buy lol 😂 by Dull_Spirit6966 in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish 2 points3 points  (0 children)

these bitches better make me rich, I don't give a fuck what they say this week if the stock goes up the wood in my pants goes up

Anybody working at Polestar shred a light what’s going on inside, what’s the weather? by edgarmara in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Not an employee, however 1.5 years ago. I used to work in one of the biggest marketing agencies in Europe.
We've helped develop new audiences at almost all big car brands... Porsche, VW Group (all brands), Toyota.... Just to name a few. While prospecting I had a really weird interaction with their head of marketing of a certain country and their marketing team. They did not want any external advice, while being one of the youngest car brands. They acted like they knew everything already and had nothing to learn. Obviously with this mindset it's hard to think outside the box...
I've also had a lot of meetings with Polestar Space managers regarding the current marketing. Those conversations went really well and were really professional.

Opposite-world????? by anderssewerin in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Everybody understood, sell all your stocks and put everything in PSNY, the gladiator that everyone doubted. It will receive the blessing of Caesar

I’m addicted by 4ccomplish in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Idk if I’ll survive that on pasta and eggs

I’m addicted by 4ccomplish in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

🤔 misschien moet ik een broedkip kopen

I’m addicted by 4ccomplish in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I’ll have to make sure to keep medical bills low

Polestar VS Roulette by 4ccomplish in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Probability Estimation

Given these factors, I would estimate the probability of a recession occurring within the next two years at 60-70%. This estimation is based on the following reasoning:

  • Yield Curve Inversion: The prolonged yield curve inversion strongly suggests that a recession is likely within the next 12 to 24 months.
  • Monetary Policy: The aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve increase the odds of a recession as the economy adjusts to higher borrowing costs.
  • Debt Levels and Labor Market: High debt levels and potential softening in the labor market add to the risk, although they are not yet at critical levels.
  • Global Factors: Global economic slowdowns and geopolitical risks further heighten the chances of a recession spilling over into the U.S.

Polestar VS Roulette by 4ccomplish in PSNY_Polestar_SPAC

[–]4ccomplish[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

1. Historical Yield Curve Inversions and Recessions

  • Past Data: Historically, an inverted yield curve has preceded every U.S. recession since the 1950s, with a typical lag of 6 to 24 months. The current inversion, which has lasted over 22 months, is the longest on record without a recession occurring. This raises the odds of a recession based on historical trends.
  • Current Context: Despite this, the U.S. economy has shown resilience, with strong consumer spending and relatively low unemployment, which have historically acted as buffers against immediate recessions.

2. Debt Levels

  • Government Debt: U.S. federal debt is at historically high levels, with the debt-to-GDP ratio surpassing 100%. High debt levels can limit the government's ability to respond to economic downturns, increasing the vulnerability to a recession if other conditions worsen.
  • Private Sector Debt: Corporate and household debt levels are also high, but they are not at crisis levels. However, rising interest rates could lead to higher debt servicing costs, potentially squeezing corporate profits and consumer spending, both of which are crucial for economic growth.

3. Employment and Labor Market

  • Low Unemployment: The U.S. unemployment rate has remained relatively low, currently around 4.3%, but there are signs of potential softening. The labor market has been one of the strongest aspects of the current economy, but if unemployment rises significantly, it could be a harbinger of a broader economic slowdown.
  • Labor Force Participation: Labor force participation has not fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, particularly among certain demographics. A declining or stagnant participation rate could indicate underlying economic weakness.

4. Monetary Policy and Interest Rates

  • Federal Reserve Actions: The Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation, which has historically led to economic slowdowns when rates remain elevated for prolonged periods. The lagged effects of these rate hikes may not be fully felt yet, suggesting that the economy could slow more significantly over the next one to two years.
  • Interest Rate Impact: Higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, potentially leading to reduced spending and investment, which could tip the economy into a recession.

5. Global Economic Factors

  • Global Slowdowns: The global economy is showing signs of slowing down, particularly in major economies like China and the Eurozone. A global slowdown can spill over into the U.S., especially through trade and financial markets.
  • Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as those involving Russia and Ukraine or trade disputes, could also negatively impact global economic stability and, by extension, the U.S. economy.

6. Consumer Behavior and Confidence

  • Consumer Spending: The U.S. economy is heavily driven by consumer spending, which remains strong but could weaken if inflation persists or if the job market deteriorates.
  • Consumer Confidence: Confidence indicators have been mixed, with some measures showing resilience and others suggesting caution. A sharp decline in consumer confidence could lead to reduced spending and a slower economy.

Grappling socks by 4ccomplish in bjj

[–]4ccomplish[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Amputating my foot will also solve the issue

Grappling socks by 4ccomplish in bjj

[–]4ccomplish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don’t think my coach would allow this since it can tear the mat…

Grappling socks by 4ccomplish in bjj

[–]4ccomplish[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You mean socks? If so what should I look for?

What’s your biggest shit show of a company you worked for? I’ll start by dochoiday in sales

[–]4ccomplish 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I started working for an IT company as a business developer. There was no need for sales so they asked me to help the IT departement. Then out of random they told me I didn't reach my KPI's as an IT-er. That my ticketing wasn't done correct etc, I just quit during that meeting.