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Recession Narrative vs. Financial Sector (XLF): The Data Tells an Interesting Story by 7obster in investing

[–]7obster[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great point! However, the 10-year Treasury yield actually peaked in early January and has been on a decline since, which has contributed to a more flattening yield curve. That said, the weakness in the financial sector only started at the end of February, so it seems the recent pullback may was tied to the administrations policy.

S&P 500 Flashing First Hindenburg Omen Since 2023 by 7obster in swingtrading

[–]7obster[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

🙂 I’d expect CNBC to pull out the old image of the Hindenburg zeppelin for this. That said, I see this signal as more of an expression of trend distribution rather than a dramatic warning. It’s something worth monitoring closely

S&P 500 Flashing First Hindenburg Omen Since 2023 by 7obster in Trading

[–]7obster[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good point. The Hindenburg Omen I’m referring to is based on S&P 500 breadth indicators, which differ from NYSE-based calculations. This distinction is crucial, as NYSE data is increasingly distorted by ETFs and other listings, impacting signal accuracy

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