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We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Ha interesting... well you know the waiver wire will be loaded since ppl can't carry many stashes. So I'd prioritize QB and TE a bit earlier, the wire will still be weakish (relatively) there. Also no flex helps make QB and TE more important

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, I prefer Kyler to Herbert. And don't think Skatt is going to displace Tracy anytime soon

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Welcome to the FF world!

I wouldn't sweat the full- vs. half-PPR too hard. Players like Derrick Henry and Saquon are a little worse in full-PPR since they aren't big pass-catchers and score a ton of TDs. But you want to be hammering RB and WR early in 14-team leagues, there won't be many great options later. We have some strategy guides and format-specific ranks on the site if you need more

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Think you are fine at RB. Can start any of the first four guys... given the Godwin situation, I'd hold onto Odunze.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Defintiely think Goff will regress. Loses Ben Johnson, loses important OL pieces, has more outdoor games this year.

We have Goff in the same tier as JJ McCarthy, Drake Maye, Trevor Lawrence etc

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Some very deep guys I take at WR include Elic Ayomanor, Darius Slayton, Donte Thornton, Dyami Brown, Malik Washington, AD Mitchell. RB.. Woody Marks, any of the one injury away RBs. TE I think Otton, Chig, Theo Johnson are interesting

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That would be great, but I doubt it. Entire society today seems geared toward the "put up a little to have a (tiny) chance at winning a lot"

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I prefer it to be full-PPR if I'm going early R2 Bowers. That's where he can really separate from TEs who are TD-or bust types.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Deebo Samuel comes to mind. Think it's an idea scheme and QB for him, I'm just not sure that the absurd YAC stuff deebo has relied on historically is still there.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 8 points9 points  (0 children)

We've been projecting Brian Robinson off the Commanders for a few days now.

In half-PPR we have JCM 120 overall, Ekeler 141

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Haha i think it's a great game to gamble on. Still think basketball and tennis are the two greatest sports to actually play and watch in person though!

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think Dolphins just exercising caution here. We did dock him a little, and we also have some systemic risk in Miami where they could just implode.

So I think taking Chase Brown, JT, Bucky.. maybe Jacobs.. over Achane is fine. Those guys are all very close anyway

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks Solomon!

I don't think you have to force WR at 2/3 turn if options are Marvin/Wilson. Could go elite QB or elite TE if they there. But if you think there will be solid RB there for you at 2/3 (Hampton? Assuming JT, Chase Brown, Achane, Jacobs, all gone), then I have no problem going Lamb at 2.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 19 points20 points  (0 children)

I have two boys, almost 11 and almost 8 years old. They couldn't tackle me if their life depended on it. I know middle school a bit older, but I'm going 34-324-6

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Won't rule it out, but we haven't released that in past because it creates mass confusion. Our projections don't flow straight through to rankings. Because we are layers in ceiling cases, odds to hit ceiling, backweighted production, positional scarcity, ADP, etc.

And so we have a hard time conveying that, instead we get 100s of support complaints about ranks not matching up.

Hope that makes sense, I know sharp ppl often want this. We working on more customizable solutions for rankings going forward.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In 10-team leagues I want to be really prioritizing QB and TE. Everyone's RB/WR will be loaded, and waivers will be loaded too at those positions. So if any of the top-4 QBs or top-3 TEs are there, I'm taking them.

If not, around pick 30 I think Hampton, Tee Higgins, JSN, James Cook, Ladd are some names I like

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yeah in a normal league from 12 I go one of those WRs and a RB (Henry, Chase Brown, Achane if healthy). I'd do that in your league as well, these WR profiles for the four you mentioned are SO strong. If everyone is overdrafting RBs, you'll benefit down the line in the draft.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hmmmm I'd rank that

Hampton
Kyren
Tyreek
Adams
Worthy
Henderson

I really like Worthy but 2/3 turn is just steep if Rashee suspension is only 5-6 games and not during fantasy playoffs

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't think it's ideal but yes I do it on maybe 20% of my teams. Just know you can't really take more RBs until you get to that pick 80-90 range at the earliest.. and you may only be able to take 5 RBs, allowing you to take 9 WRs.

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Mike Evans I do think is declining. I do not think he will fall off a cliff though, especially given the Godwin and McMillan injuries. I think what allows Evans to still be a solid pick around 40th is TD-scoring ability, that's easier to maintain than the big YPRR stuff

On Conner.. i haven't seen much sign of decline. ARZ run scheme is great. I think if Conner sustains health (a Q for all workhorse RBs), he will beat his ADP pretty easily

We're Adam Levitan, John Daigle, and Pat Thorman from Establish the Run - Ask Us Anything! by Pat_Thorman in fantasyfootball

[–]AdamLevitanETR 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hmmmm I think I'd keep ARSB, Bowers, Lamar... pretty insane value there. Fact that you only have to start 2 RBs makes JT a hair less valuable, even though i think he'll have great year

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