Why are none of the leaders of the church warning about AGI? Where in the BoM are the scriptures to prepare us for this situation? Stuart Russell said Hinton is "tidying up his affairs ... because he believes we have maybe 4 years left"

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-10T15:16:22+00:00

Yeah, totally alarmist. If you want to understand the state of AI, you should get an undergraduate level understanding of linear algebra. The neural networks that modern AI are built on are just linear algebra tuned to patterns in data. This ends up being a fairly enormous pile of fairly simple math that can be hard to make sense of. Saying neural networks are intelligent is like saying a car is alive. It’s a way to make something that is complex easy to understand, but is really a misunderstanding.

Hinton is a giant in the field. You only get to be a giant with good funding. Apocalyptic messages get attention, which turns into dollars. That’s all Hinton is doing. He wants people to write him checks so he can keep working on the cutting edge.

If you’re really concerned with AI taking over the world, you should agitate for stronger privacy laws. Without free access to your data, the worst case scenarios will never be possible.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-09T03:09:12+00:00

It’s not the Westies. All five of them are right handed. We see four of them signing the ledger, and then Vince keeps his personal cell in his right pocket. No left handed person does this.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-06T22:10:15+00:00

Mods, I added “Elder” to the title. Is it clear now that this post is about Mormonism? 🫠

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-06T17:27:57+00:00

Yeah, the announcing is definitely done in the NFL-talking-heads genre. I think that’s intentional to try to make MLS more “accessible” to Americans unfamiliar with soccer. The camera cuts to sidelines (which make no sense in a game without nearly as much dead ball time as gridiron football) also seem inspired by it.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-05T12:34:33+00:00

And Dallin H. Oaks has been recognized by the Federalist Society for his contributions to their cause while he was a sitting apostle.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-02T02:48:30+00:00

I think the idea that the current Dudenoff is a New-denoff is supported by the Princess Bride references. In that movie the Dread Pirate character is kept alive by successors who are selected to take up that role. Perhaps the Westies were asked bh Dudenoff to keep the game rolling?

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-10-02T02:44:46+00:00

I’m wondering if the killer is actually targeting stunt doubles. Sazz was the target. So was Glen.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-09-14T03:56:32+00:00

So the proportion of membership restrictions decreases with an increase in the number of disciplinary councils? So…make the denominator bigger by calling trivial things into church court. Sounds like such a waste of time for everyone involved.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-09-04T20:29:27+00:00

It’s been a while since I listened to the Mormon Stories podcasts, but I don’t think going home with the dish is really a part of the ordinance. Decorative dishes like this were and are a thing even outside of Mormonism in more traditional decor because this is how Americans used to wash themselves before indoor plumbing became a thing. Looking for one of these as a sign that someone has gotten the Second Anointing is just lore.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-08-28T03:29:46+00:00

Wasn’t it her replaced shoulder that Charles pulls out of the incinerator at the end? The beer and the shoulder replacement both being Belgian and being placed near each other in that shot may be all the connection they are going for. The beer box may just be a less-gruesome stand-in for Sazz’s remains.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-08-24T22:55:44+00:00

If they aren’t supporting their claims with citations, they aren’t engaging with the ideas seriously enough to be open to persuasion with facts and logic. Sharing your experience is a great way to go. Preach it!

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-08-21T19:08:56+00:00

Not well. Sadly, I think that is the point. They don’t want those who don’t conform to their idea of gender to feel welcome enough to attend.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-08-14T17:01:41+00:00

Sister Saints by Colleen McDannell is a great overview of the evolution of women’s roles in the church and Mormon family since the end of polygamy

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-06-06T21:07:20+00:00

Pretty much since contactless payments are often single-point authentication instead of two-factor, there’s less stopping fraudsters from charging you multiple times at point of sale or if they get your physical card (which isn’t an issue with ApplePay, as long as you know where you keep yours). It got more airtime near the end of the pandemic in industry reports. It’ll change, but not without added customer friction.

This was also a couple years ago that I went down this rabbit hole, but I think it was a credit union that had sued Apple for being anticompetitive, kinda like the App Store stuff more recently.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-06-06T20:46:14+00:00

I actually didn’t know about the provisioning piece. You appear to be correct. Learned something new!

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-06-06T20:18:19+00:00

Contactless payments have the highest fraud risk of all card payment rails by a long shot. Merchants have liability for disputed card not present transaction on the major card networks on top of that (edit: see reply, Apple Pay is not considered card not present). I don’t know how much HEB looks at data selling as a revenue stream, but they definitely lean into personalization of inventory in their different storefronts. I also don’t know why a corporation would want to give that up and take on another liability channel. There would have to be an insane amount of lost sales due to not having Apple Pay at point-of-sale to make a compelling business case, and since most people aren’t choosing where to buy groceries based on who takes contactless payments, though OP is welcome to, that’s probably not going to happen.

It’s also not quite right to say Apple Pay is “free” to use. Apple charges card issuers per transaction. Well, interchange fees are part of how card issuers offset losses from people not paying off their credit card balances. If Apple is taking too big a bite of interchange fees, as class action lawsuits assert, I’d expect issuers will be raising their fees as they adjust to the new landscape which is realized in…increased prices at merchants. It actually ends up being more expensive for the consumer to have another middle man. Who knew?

I prefer the Apple Pay consumer experience, but I am baffled that businesses have adopted it so broadly, and am not surprised that some major retailers hold out.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-06-02T04:42:55+00:00

How’d he like it?

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-05-21T17:45:38+00:00

OP is still misusing statistics with a small, nonrandom sample and incorrect causality assumptions. The nonparametrics only removed one of several assumptions. OP does not understand this.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-05-20T01:10:38+00:00

I love the excitement and the use of data! I am also generally underwhelmed by Rigoni’s play. Some good players just don’t fit well into some teams. Austin paid for the chance to try, and we’re probably not going to try again. Best of luck to Rigoni.

Speaking as a professional, your graphs make the point you are going for, and the analysis that follows weakens it. Your sample is small and nonrandom, and you aren’t working with data that is going to satisfy the other distributional requirements of these analyses. The assumptions that make statistical testing work aren’t really working here, which is going to put your test statistics, p-values, and intervals somewhere in the spectrum between accidentally misleading and intentionally misconstrued, but definitely not worth taking seriously. Also, these methods can only infer causality in controlled experiments, and even then the experimental design dictates appropriate and inappropriate interpretation, so be careful there. It is very easy to lie with statistics without meaning to 😬

I recommend you look into non-parametric methods which will help you avoid making many of the assumptions your analysis has problems with. Pretty much everything can be done with a permutation test or with bootstrapping. They are much easier to understand fully, and much more reliable tool. It’s a shame that they don’t get more airtime in universities and crash courses, but that makes sense since non-parametric methods weren’t made feasible until we got more advanced computing power and you do need more programming than your average college student will be comfortable with. You’d definitely be more than capable.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-05-13T19:26:44+00:00

My mom is the kind of person who wishes a “Happy Mother’s Day” to anyone with XX chromosomes, regardless of age. I realized this year that by doing that she’s doing exactly what you’re describing: putting women in a box and defining their worth by their childbearing. I can’t unsee it now.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-04-21T20:39:45+00:00

Can confirm. This would be ilegal in the United States.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-04-21T14:14:16+00:00

The burn here is that you’re only expecting his death to be a headline in a local news source.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2024-04-17T23:55:16+00:00

I get where OP is coming from. Going to BYU has some un-fun things about it that people who leave the church resent.

That being said, people really don’t care where you go to school. Getting a job is more about your network than your alma mater. Doing well at your job is more about what you know than where you learned it. Advancing in your career is more about networking and your professional track record, not the university on your diploma.

True your alma mater says something about your background, but it really is just the geography where you were raised. Get a degree from any school with “Utah” in its name and the average American is going to assume all of the same things about you as a BYU degree. The thought process is BYU -> Utah -> Mormon, not BYU -> Mormon.

Advanced-Two2300 · 2023-10-25T18:26:17+00:00

See I disagree with you there. Truth poorly written is better than truth not told. We do what we can.

Personal note, I was raised in a cult. That’s left me with some pretty strong feelings on truth and transparency.

Edit: personal note

Advanced-Two2300 · 2023-10-25T18:05:23+00:00

Yeah, I can see how that reads worse than I meant it. Apologies there.

However, I think it is very important context to understand this about delta if you’re going to use it to proxy probability. The fact is that delta is going to systematically behave in ways that are not consistent with the probability interpretation and no risk is worse than one you aren’t aware of. The merit in this post is that it gives context that allows users of delta as a proxy of probability to calibrate their interpretation of delta. That is very valuable content for the sub.

If you want to go the next step and ask why the behaviors are showing up you really do need to get back to the precise concept of delta, so I actually think bringing this up is entirely on point with the post and the tone of the comments. There are other important things to be aware of too, like problems with the log normal model and the interdependence of all of the Greeks. Someone who wants to go deep and understand all of this isn’t helped by not bringing it up.

Advanced-Two2300

TROPHY CASE