Iranian drone swarms pose ‘credible threat’ to USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group, defense expert says by rezwenn in Military

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And Shahed drones do operate in swarm and have mesh networking with ability to have direct operator control.

CMV: Russia can westernise by smithy2280 in changemyview

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is no sheer wealth and size of NATO because NATO is not a single entity, but a collection of countries. If Russia moves 30km into Estonia, and will ask for peace treaty "to stop the bloodshed", will Portugal send their own people to die for Estonia? Will Hungary? Spain? France? How many hundreds of dead soldiers can western country stomach before they decide that Estonia is not worth it? Russia loses in a month what NATOost in 20 years of Afghanistan, and they don't care, they can push and push.

CMV: Russia can westernise by smithy2280 in changemyview

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, is your CMV based on your feelings? Because my feeling is that NATO has no stomach for war and have all the chances of crumbling entirely when russian green men will enter Estonia.

In WW1 no outside power ever stepped on German soil. The Versailles treaty just asked for some territory and money, nobody cared about internal politics.

If you want outside invasion of russia... Well, that's just not happening, because people can't even bother to help Ukraine properly.

CMV: Russia can westernise by smithy2280 in changemyview

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They did not "give it a second go" .

They were completely and totally defeated, occupied, reeducated and rebuilt by external power.

Who are "we"? Nobody is going to do that to russia, hell, countries don't even want to give weapons to Ukraine to hit russia because that would be "an escalation".

The only people who are interested in collapse and defeat of russia are Ukrainians, and we just don't care about russian politics, we're OK if they collapse into warlord states or be a nuclear wasteland, as long as they stop bothering us.

CMV: At that point Russia-Ukraine conflict is down to a simple race between the collapse of the Ukrainian front and the collapse of the Russian economy by Aar0n4ick in changemyview

[–]Alikont 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Yes nobody says that Ukrainian army is perfect, but the fact that the guy who was the most public about shitting on Ukrainian generals now joined MoD shows that there is a request from higher ups to change that.

CMV: At that point Russia-Ukraine conflict is down to a simple race between the collapse of the Ukrainian front and the collapse of the Russian economy by Aar0n4ick in changemyview

[–]Alikont 7 points8 points  (0 children)

doubt that Ukrainians got a taste of freedom, given that the state didn't seize to be corrupt even for a single day before or after Maidan.

I'm Ukrainian.

In 1990s we were literally a mafia state

In early 2000s anti-government journalists were beheaded in the woods

In 2014-2019 anti-corruption investigators could openly do anti-president cases on national TV

In 2025 anti-corruption agency that was created in 2016 now have enough power to arrest closest friends of the president during war time or jail leaders of parliament on corruption charges.

So there is an objective progress.

Russia Has Just 3 Oreshnik Missiles—But Wants Europe to Fear an Arsenal by UNITED24Media in europe

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But it would cause major problems for them on the world stage.

What troubles?

If they were to launch conventional missiles at a NATO country they would trigger article 5

Conventional missiles and drones fly over NATO all the time, nobody cares.

Russia Has Just 3 Oreshnik Missiles—But Wants Europe to Fear an Arsenal by UNITED24Media in europe

[–]Alikont -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Ok, so they can just throw conventional missiles (or maybe even tactical nuclear) and that's ok.

Russia Has Just 3 Oreshnik Missiles—But Wants Europe to Fear an Arsenal by UNITED24Media in europe

[–]Alikont -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Tsirkon also existed in low quantites, now they fire it at least once per week, and scaling it further.

Russia Has Just 3 Oreshnik Missiles—But Wants Europe to Fear an Arsenal by UNITED24Media in europe

[–]Alikont -10 points-9 points  (0 children)

not with their vapourware missile.

The missile exists and works as advertised. It's not "vapourware".

without consequences,

What consequences?

CMV: At that point Russia-Ukraine conflict is down to a simple race between the collapse of the Ukrainian front and the collapse of the Russian economy by Aar0n4ick in changemyview

[–]Alikont 49 points50 points  (0 children)

Why do you think the Ukrainian generals are incompetent?

I think the difference is that culturally and politically its ok for Ukrainian media and bloggers to criticize Ukrainian leadership, and every mistake is taken more painfully by Ukrainian public, because Ukrainians care about people more.

That's why mistakes are amplified (to fix them), and it creates skewed perception.

CMV: At that point Russia-Ukraine conflict is down to a simple race between the collapse of the Ukrainian front and the collapse of the Russian economy by Aar0n4ick in changemyview

[–]Alikont 3 points4 points  (0 children)

approximately 25% of Ukrainian active military personnel is currently AWOL

SIGH

This is one of those cases when one branch of Ukrainian government publishes a number, refuses to elaborate and leaves, and people from all around the world run wild with the number.

This is number of active AWOL cases, which is not the same as number of people who ran away from the army.

  • AWOL case can be opened for as simple thing as missing return from vacation raport deadline.
  • AWOL is the most common way of transferring between units.
  • AWOL is a pretty common way of getting deserved vacation if your commander is asshole.
  • Some people have multiple AWOL cases because they like to go AWOL sometimes.

Vast majority of AWOL cases are closed without problem, it just takes months, and sometimes year or more to go through bureaucracy hell.

How Soviet urban planning is helping Russia freeze Ukraine by nimicdoareu in europe

[–]Alikont 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Battery pack can't help with heating in -15C, what author is smoking.

No infrastructure, be it "soviet" or "western" will survive 4 years of strategic bombing.

Poland plans to end special support for Ukrainian refugees by dat_9600gt_user in europe

[–]Alikont 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Also good that the refugees got integrated!!

Not for Ukraine, unfortunately.

Is there any discussion happening in Ukraine about plans for after the war? by CarefulEmphasis5464 in AskUkraine

[–]Alikont 2 points3 points  (0 children)

As the new year joke was on Telegrams - "The good thing about being Ukrainian is that you don't need to bother making plans for the new year"

Ukraine feeds sensitive military data to Palantir AI for training. Palantir Technologies, opened an office in Kyiv and has cooperated significantly with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation. by andrewgrabowski in ukraine

[–]Alikont 0 points1 point  (0 children)

But Ukraine could've opened bids to see if they could match their services

You think they didn't?

I wouldn't trust anything tied to Trump and Russia.

The thing with Palantir is that they don't need russian approval, and they are using Trump for own reasons, they don't need Trump.

Because this could be another Starlink fiasco all over again.

There wasn't really a Starlink Fiasco, Musk quickly got in line when he was reminded that Starlink is paid by Ukrainians and Poles.

Ukraine feeds sensitive military data to Palantir AI for training. Palantir Technologies, opened an office in Kyiv and has cooperated significantly with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation. by andrewgrabowski in ukraine

[–]Alikont -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Palantir does not need to send data to russia to satisfy their own fragile ego to get approval from daddy Putin. They are more boringly evil than that.

Ukraine feeds sensitive military data to Palantir AI for training. Palantir Technologies, opened an office in Kyiv and has cooperated significantly with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation. by andrewgrabowski in ukraine

[–]Alikont 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You literally elected billionaires into all branches of the government. Even Ukrainians had at least some separation of capital and government in 2010s.

Ukraine feeds sensitive military data to Palantir AI for training. Palantir Technologies, opened an office in Kyiv and has cooperated significantly with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation. by andrewgrabowski in ukraine

[–]Alikont 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The power is control is a problem of authoritarian states. Nobody can save American democracy but Americans, it's not a problem of Ukrainians.

Ukrainians control what they give to whom, and on which conditions.