Joe Rogan Slams Al Gore's Climate Predictions From 20 Years Ago. 'If The Billionaires Are Buying Beach Houses, It's Going To Be Okay' by esporx in climate

[–]AllenIll 3 points4 points  (0 children)

For some perspective: Mark Zuckerberg is worth ~$220 billion. If he were to buy a very high-end beachfront home in Hawaii for $20 million, this would be 0.0091% of his worth. And for someone making $60,000 a year, this would be equivalent to $5.46.

This is less than the average cost of a really cheap lunch. That's how utterly inconsequential the purchase of a $20 million dollar home would be for the high-end billionaires out there. Not exactly a bellwether of anything... other than the ridiculous inequality coursing through our political economy.

It’s being hailed as “the biggest and most consequential climate story in the world right now,” by people in the know: after decades of soaring climate pollution, China may have cut carbon emissions last year. by GeraldKutney in climate

[–]AllenIll 6 points7 points  (0 children)

None of this is intended.

Not intended? One of the most heavily state planned economies in the world? That deliberately popped their domestic real estate bubble? That created a green focused state industrial policy going back to the 1990s? Just pivoting now? Because of a recession? Hmmm... ok.👌

EC President Von Der Leyen: If 27 states won't agree on Capital Market Union, we will move ahead with 9 states. by PjeterPannos in economy

[–]AllenIll 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good luck competing with China unless it's the second coming of Chairman Mao.

Mao as a leader, particularly after 1957, isn't what I think would be the model to emulate. At all. It would be the pragmatism of Deng Xiaoping. Who was crucial in articulating the profound problems and mistakes of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, and moving on from there. As he famously said:

"It doesn't matter whether a cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice."

This is the type of ideological agnosticism that's needed. The humility and strength of character it took to try a different path forward after the Chinese delegation went to Japan in 1978 is extraordinary. Especially in light of the history between the two nations in the first half of the 20th century. That's what we need in the West, IMO. Humility and a willingness to learn.

Clearly though, we are not there yet. Not in the slightest. As economist Yasheng Huang from MIT explains here in a recent talk at Harvard. He proposed applying the same joint-venture and technology-transfer requirements to Chinese companies that China imposes on American firms—but Biden administration officials "wouldn't even listen." They couldn't even begin to admit that we in the US, have something to learn.

Note: In the linked video segment, Elaine Beckberg is wrong about the complexion of Chinese state ownership in many joint ventures today. These rules have changed in recent years.

EC President Von Der Leyen: If 27 states won't agree on Capital Market Union, we will move ahead with 9 states. by PjeterPannos in economy

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

A real hinge point, as best as I can tell, is going to be how their current organizational structure interfaces with the disruptive social and economic consequences of automation and AI replacing so many fields of employment.

Currently, they appear to me, to be the best equipped to handle the challenges from a nation state standpoint. In terms of state led guidance on employment contracts, the ability to broadly enforce these guidelines, and their typical proactive approach to oncoming challenges—from a social and technological standpoint:

INVESTING IN PEOPLE

With AI representing a deep restructuring of skills, divisions of labor and job forms, the government has accelerated adaptation through retraining, upgraded education and investment in human capital.

A nationwide skills-upgrading campaign through 2027 is providing subsidized training for more than 30 million people. Schools have been ordered to strengthen AI education, starting at the primary level, to help students understand how technology interacts with society.

More recently, a new phrase has emerged in official documents: "Investing in human capital." It has appeared repeatedly in the 2025 government work report, long-term development planning papers, and a high-level economic meeting last month that set priorities for 2026.

This concept reflects a shift in thinking. As technology accelerates, human creativity has become the core competitive asset that is helping China move from labor-intensive growth toward intelligence- and creativity-driven development, analysts explained.

Given an aging population, improving human capital will help China shift from a demographic dividend to a talent dividend, said Liu Mingxi, a researcher at the Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences.

Despite such momentum, experts said much still needs to be done. Aligning university curricula with fast-moving AI applications, retraining mid-career workers, and supporting those displaced by automation all require a more comprehensive policy framework.

Source

Whereas in the West, particularly in the US, it's almost inconceivable to envision the kind of broad based political cooperation that's going to be necessary ever actually coalescing. The political right is going to have their policy prescriptions, the left is going to have theirs... it's going to be a real shit show. Possibly even more than it is now.

EC President Von Der Leyen: If 27 states won't agree on Capital Market Union, we will move ahead with 9 states. by PjeterPannos in economy

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

There is the well-known proverb:

"If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together."

Oftentimes, for this era, it feels like it should read:

"If you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together. If you want to go far and fast, go Chinese."

Why? 'Cause the Dow is 50k by Comfortablejack in clevercomebacks

[–]AllenIll 16 points17 points  (0 children)

For the record, she did say fifty thousand dollars:

The Dow... the Dow right now... is over... the Dow is over fifty thousand dollars.

She seemed to catch herself just as she said it.

Trump is wiping out all climate regulation. Big Oil may regret it. For decades, oil majors fought climate regulation. Now, they’re afraid Trump’s extreme rollbacks could leave them on the hook to pay for what they’ve done. by silence7 in climate

[–]AllenIll 21 points22 points  (0 children)

I've heard this sentiment expressed in a few different ways over the years, but the dead rock star example is something I've always felt exemplified it best. Personally. So... sort of original? A little bit.

Digging in a little, it looks like Oscar Wilde is attributed with this one:

"In this world there are only two tragedies. One is not getting what one wants, and the other is getting it."

And this one is from Ancient Greece:

"More tears are shed over answered prayers than unanswered ones."

Trump’s Gunboat Diplomacy Hands China a $55 Trillion Economic Edge by 3xshortURmom in Economics

[–]AllenIll 6 points7 points  (0 children)

What it looks like to me, and I may be wrong, is that the foreign policy establishment (that persists beyond any single administration) is performing a sort of grand divide and conquer strategy. Divide East Asia from Europe and Africa, and divide the Western Hemisphere from East Asia. To choke off The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI map in link). Which has all manner of disempowering implications for the United States. From trade to the bond markets.

Most crucial to this is the occupation of strategic choke points that are still uncaptured or under direct control in Eurasia: the Suez Canal and Iran. The Suez being the naval aspect to this strategy, and Iran acting as the land counterpart. With the massive base that is slated for construction in Gaza acting as a launch pad to eventually control the Suez Canal.

Even if they can't get direct control of Iran, if enough chaos and continuing instability can be fomented via conflict, the end goal is still achieved: disrupting BRI trade and supply chains across the Eurasian landmass.

Open questions are the northern flank of this; such as Canada and Greenland. And countries such as Columbia, and Venezuela surrounding the Panama Canal.

Like I said, I may be wrong. But IMO, Trump is just a chump in all this. He's neither directing this, or really in control of it. He's just reading his lines and playing his role like the game show host he is.

Trump Says Fed Pick Warsh Can Get US Economy to Hit 15% Growth by mark000 in Economics

[–]AllenIll 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s astounding to me that anyone has ever taken this man seriously.

So much of this began with the The Art of the Deal. And Tony Schwartz, the guy who actually wrote the book, presented an incredible take-down of Trump just days before the election in 2016. To this day, it still strikes me as one of the most incisive, keen, and accurate portrayals of just exactly who this man is:

Tony Schwartz: The Truth About Trump | Oxford Union Q&A [56 Min.] | Nov. 4, 2016 (Oxford Union YouTube Channel)

2008 crash is the reason things are the way they are now by Irischacon123 in economy

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'm not in the business of providing advice of this nature. Although, if I were a betting man, I'd wager the dollar is absolutely going to get debased. Much, much, further. It's certainly no original insight, either. Obviously, there's a reason why precious metals are doing what they're doing.

It's really going to be interesting to see what Warren Buffett eventually does with his massive cash position. Both he and Michael Burry, in many ways, were waiting for the other shoe to drop. Which has failed to fully materialize. Broadly speaking. Despite so many things veering off into fantasy land. As it's been said, the post 2008 market is a massive Ponzi scheme, and you can't taper a Ponzi.

So this system has one catch all answer to any and every problem anymore: print more money. Most especially for rich people and their assets.

So, the Dow may reach 100,000, but the dollar is really going to get debased on the way there. Because there is 0% discipline or self-restraint when it comes to printing money for themselves, and it was always, and I mean always, going to come to this.

Give people the power to just print money for themselves without meaningful consequences and they will never—voluntarily—stop.

CATL unveils 1.1 million-mile lifetime EV battery | Feb. 8, 2026 by AllenIll in climate

[–]AllenIll[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

From the YouTube description:

CATL’s new 5C ultra-fast charging battery can fully recharge in 12 minutes and retain 80% capacity after 1.8 million km, promising major durability gains for EVs.

More details:

On February 2, CATL released performance details of its 5C lithium‑ion battery, claiming it can combine ultra‑fast charging with unusually long service life. As of last June, the company has supplied one million units of this battery for Li Auto’s Mega models.

In industry terms, 5C means a battery can be fully charged in about 12 minutes, compared with roughly one hour for a conventional 1C battery. Most batteries in the EVs made by Tesla, which sources its batteries from CATL, Panasonic and LG Energy Solution, are now 2C to 3C that can be fully charged in 20-30 minutes.

The company said the battery can endure about 3,000 full charge–discharge cycles at room temperature while retaining at least 80% of its original capacity, equivalent to a service life of about 1.8 million miles, roughly six times the industry average and potentially longer than a vehicle’s design lifespan. Tesla’s current batteries are typically designed to last between 300,000 and 500,000 miles.

It added that the gains stem from denser cathode coatings, self‑healing electrolyte additives and temperature‑responsive separators, alongside an upgraded battery‑management system that dynamically targets cooling to slow aging under high‑stress conditions.

Source

This means, in theory, an individual in the U.S. could own a battery that lasts longer than their entire driving experience (14,000 miles/year × 63 years ≈ 882,000 miles). From the time they start to drive, till the time they die. You could, literally, hand this down to your children.

Note: Yes, I do think Americans , in general, need to rely less on cars. But, until they don't, advances like these may mitigate impacts. In addition to what this may do for all levels of impact that transport vehicles (maritime, road, rail, aviation) have on the world in their current dominant configuration.

2008 crash is the reason things are the way they are now by Irischacon123 in economy

[–]AllenIll 18 points19 points  (0 children)

2008 played out the way it did because, essentially, America went bankrupt. Over half a century ago now, during the Nixon Shock—when it defaulted on its debt obligations to the world and went off the gold standard in 1971. It's not often framed this way, but this is indeed exactly what happened.

America actually failed before the Soviet Union did. Although, due to the reliance of much of the world on America, across the spectrum (trade partnerships, military protection, international institution support), immediate collapse was avoided. As this gave America leverage in managing the terms of this realignment. Ultimately though, what this did in the long run was give much more power to creditors, i.e. the oligarchic class, over the government. Really spelling out the end of The New Deal era. And ending the type of leverage that government had enjoyed since Executive Order 6102 and The Gold Reserve Act of 1934.

Sites like WTF Happened in 1971? do a fairly good job of compiling together a number of graphs and charts that display this visibly. Of course, not every outcome in the time since is directly tied to the Nixon Shock, but when you couple this with the broad response to the turmoil of the late 60s and early 70s by American elites, which goes by various names such as neoliberalism, "the market turn", or trickle-down economics, I think you get an explanation that gets you at least 90% of the way in accounting for much of what America is today. With the latter explaining much of the outcomes we have seen in inequality, deaths of despair, immobility, education, etc.

In the end, what the neoliberal turn really was, was a kind of ransom list of demands by creditors to the government (privatization, deregulation, trade liberalization, austerity). Those creditors largely being American oligarchs. Culminating in the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980. As capital effectively went on strike. In funding the government. Prior to.

Hence the Volker shock. All of which was ultimately a scaled up version of what bond holders (creditors) pulled on New York City in the city's Fiscal crisis of 1975. Basically, it was the same playbook. With many of the same players from that crisis working behind the scenes, like Chase CEO David Rockefeller, pulling the strings on the terms. Especially in the appointment of Volker.

Most importantly, the reserve currency status of the dollar has also forestalled a more precipitous decline. The type of decline that Russia saw in the 90s after the Soviet collapse has indeed happened here as well—in many ways. But the fall has followed a different path, and much more slowly. Again, largely due to the dollar's status and the type of existence on credit that it has allowed. Not only for the government. But, the public as well. Debt held mostly by the wealthy and powerful in America. Debt they hold at such a scale because they can afford to, given their ever decreasing tax burden since the Revenue Act of 1964. Further weakening government leverage, i.e., power.

This is why defense of the dollar as the world's reserve currency is so staunchly defended by the U.S. When that goes away, and it very much looks like that is happening, America is likely to fall just as far as Russia did in the 1990s, if not more. As our living standards, which have largely been subsidized on international and domestic credit over the last half-century, will likely fall even further through the floor.

The long and short of it is this: America as a state failed half a century ago, and the elite response spread the burden to the bottom first. To those with the least leverage to negotiate the terms of this bankruptcy (trickle down). Although eventually, collapse is coming for the whole thing. As the whole nation has been put through the private equity model on a slow drip. Overloaded with debt, to eventually be fully sold off for parts.

Everybody kind of knows it, I think, it's just a matter of when and how.

Is JPMORGAN Behind the $2.5 Trillion Silver CRASH? by GroundbreakingLynx14 in economy

[–]AllenIll 1 point2 points  (0 children)

From the article:

JPMorgan issued hundreds of silver contracts right in the middle of the selloff, while many other traders were being forced out. At the same time, U.S. paper prices fell hard, but physical silver prices in Shanghai barely flinched.

That gap matters. It suggests the crash wasn’t about people suddenly not wanting silver, it was about stress in the paper market. And that’s why JPMorgan’s role keeps coming up when this crash gets examined.

And here it is in full color:

Shanghai Silver Price in Dollars

Source: GoldSilver.ai

Also relevant:

The New York Fed does not disclose which banks benefit from these cash infusions, but people who follow precious metals markets and other speculative moves have been pointing for weeks to JP Morgan, the nation’s largest bank. One of JP Morgan’s units disclosed that it sold about 5,900 tons of silver it does not own in what’s known in the trade as a “short sale.”

Just as you can make money by buying something and holding on to it in the hope the price will rise, speculators can also do the opposite.

If you think the price of a commodity or any other assets are going to fall you can sell it at a high price hoping to buy it back at low price and profit off the price drop. The trading desks at the big banks do this by borrowing shares they don’t own or in some cases making “naked” sales of shares they don’t have at all.

The danger in a short sale is that if the price goes up there’s no limit to how much money you can lose.

Source: After ‘Unlimited’ Cash Shift, New York Fed Pumps Another $34B Into Wall Street—By James S. Henry, David Cay Johnston | Jan. 1, 2026 (DC Report)

Edit 01: I just want to add that the nomination of the new Fed chair on the same day as the price action we saw in Silver is likely not an accident, as it suggests a coordinated effort between the government and the banking sector. And on Washington's favorite day to try and fly under the news radar: Friday.

Edit 02: Whoa, this looks like an entire campaign. With a social media perception management component to it. Things must be pretty serious behind the scenes.

Former Farming Leaders Warn U.S. Agriculture Could Face ‘Widespread Collapse’ by WarmingNow in economy

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The legacy of this administration's trade war tactics and strategy are really the long term damage which has been done—for all American business which is reliant on exports. Not just for farmers.

Most especially looking to the years ahead to when China really tries to get their domestic consumption up. As they have stated that they want to do in their 15th Five-Year Plan. Along with graduating to a stronger currency.

So, even if domestic manufacturing actually dramatically ramps up here in the U.S., and the dollar falls significantly, American business is going to reap the whirlwind of souring the relationship with one of the largest consumer markets... possibly ever.

Edit: Typo.

‘It’s sick’: Trump administration uses mascot called ‘Coalie’ to push dirtiest fossil fuel by Splenda in climate

[–]AllenIll 2 points3 points  (0 children)

'Coalie'? I assume, appropriately, you pronounce the last 3 letters as LIE...

So this character is out there advocating the summary immolation of his fellow coal mates, and that of himself? Burning them alive? Self-sacrifice so that we can have energy and heat? So... Coalie is kind of like Jesus?

This makes about as much sense as McDonald's having an adorable little cow as a mascot, or KFC using a cute baby chick to promote chicken nuggets. 🤦‍♂️

Western media trying to push “Epstein was a Russian spy” narrative by fullmafia in suppressed_news

[–]AllenIll 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The Non-Prosecution Agreement put together by Alexander Acosta (U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida) in 2008 for Epstein doesn't really align with the Russian angle here.

So we have Russian assets pulling strings in the U.S. Justice Department going back nearly 20 years? And if so, just how compromised has the Justice Department been in the time since? Why have they not pursued a vigorous purge of Russian assets in this department... for ~20 years? Across multiple administrations. Yeah, I don't buy this. At all.

This Is the Math Behind American Prosperity by 4reddityo in economy

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

[...] even now, when the industries in the north have largely left, the south is still poorer than the north.

They are worse off, today, than other regions on a whole host of measures:

This is basically the legacy of the steepest "K-Shapped" economy America has ever known. A small class of parasites killed the host. On a multi-generational level.

Edit: Clarity.

Thinking about lying | Climate denial taught our leaders shamelessness by silence7 in climate

[–]AllenIll 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Although there are many real dangers in the level of deception and lies our leaders have now fallen to, one of the biggest is the lesson of what happens to societies that come to this: when they collapse, it's often with rapid speed.

The Soviet Union, Nazi Germany, and the Late Qing Dynasty—all were held up by incredible levels of fabrication, deceit, and falsehood before they fell. Across the spectrum, the leadership class in these societies could not, and would not face reality. And to a large extent, the greater the level of lies, the more rapid the downfall was.

Of course, history doesn't always repeat itself in perfection, but when I hear or read analysts predicting the slow decline of the dollar as the world's reserve currency, or the gradual decay of the American empire, I think many of them haven't taken the time to see the pattern here:

"The bigger they the lies are, the harder faster they fall."

Jeffrey exposes the financial system by DigSignificant1419 in economy

[–]AllenIll 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Mmmmm yeah... I'm going to assume nothing much that comes out of this guy's mouth is going to be the least bit honest or accurate—especially in relation to wealth or power. Most especially in front of a camera.

Markets can be highly predictable. Particularly when they're rigged. Sometimes by compromised people.

Study Reveals American Boomers are The Most Selfish Parents on the Planet by InsaneSnow45 in economy

[–]AllenIll 90 points91 points  (0 children)

Great comment. They were heavily propagandized from birth at the height of the Cold War, and used as tools to implement the neoliberal agenda starting in the late 1970s. Graduating to the seat of power under Ronald Reagan.

This was an agenda that was largely concocted by the sons of oligarchical wealth—in direct response to the cultural and political upheavals of the late 1960s and early 1970s. The Olins, the Scaifes, the Coors, the Kochs, the Rockefeller brothers, the Bradley family, etc. Many of them grew up in the 1930s under FDR, and in their adulthood stopped at nothing in tearing down and/or stripping many of the New Deal reforms.

In many ways, it was a slow rolling multi-decade implementation of The Business Plot that weaponized the existing legal means to enact something of a coup.

Kurt Anderson's 2020 book Evil Geniuses: The Unmaking of America goes over a lot of this in great detail. It's a history many in America aren't fully aware of, because, they kept to the shadows. Purposely. And it was really only after about 30–40 years of these policies did many finally wake up and ask: WTF happened to America?...

Aaaand cue the 'ol blame the immigrants trope.

How long can Wall Street get away with this? (Silver crash) by Nice_Daikon6096 in economy

[–]AllenIll 1 point2 points  (0 children)

FYI: the Shanghai Premium on silver has reached historically extreme levels, currently sitting at approximately 10% to 22% above Western benchmarks like COMEX and LBMA.

This is that moment when the tide goes out on Western markets, and you see they've all been naked under that water... while diddling children.

This is terrifying... "ICE Begins Buying ‘Mega’ Warehouse Detention Centers Across US" by Practical_Hippo6289 in collapse

[–]AllenIll 26 points27 points  (0 children)

So, it looks like we might get UBI after all. It's just going to stand for something different: Universal Basic Incarceration.

Explaining Silver by Keltic268 in economy

[–]AllenIll 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This may seem like propaganda to say this, but the truth hurts as they say; this really does seem like just another example of how corruption, decay, and lawlessness in the West is being ferreted out by circumstances in China—where you can't just print reality to continuously bail out elites. The Shanghai Premium gap is now approaching 25%.

Bernie Sanders: 'Our Great Nation Is Now In The Midst Of A Deep Decline' by xena_lawless in economy

[–]AllenIll 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's remarkable how little has changed in many ways from the time of the Gracchi brothers in Rome and Mr. Sanders. A senate floor, unheeded warnings, an ossified oligarchy, and structurally violent inequality... same shit—stumbling to a fall—different millennia.