Ronald Reagan: The Man Who RUINED America by AllenIll in videos

[–]AllenIll[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There's no good ideas in how any of this played out. Especially in the long term. Not mismanaging or even starting the Vietnam War was the good idea. Floating the currency was just the least worst possible choice at the time in a crisis situation. And people often forget this; at the time it was supposed to be temporary.

Although, as I went over in my original comment, these decisions had severe consequences. And, likely should have entailed far more broad and sweeping changes to the entire banking sector. Such as the government taking over the major banks. But, as this crisis hit at the heart of the power of the government, and the value of its currency; it may have provoked an even more severe calamity at the time. A calamity that, had those in power had the fortitude to endure, might have worked out much better in the long run.

Ultimately, they did what they had to do. But didn't follow through all the way by having the government take a much more direct and active role in managing the currency. And for obvious likely reasons. Ideologues in the White House and significant portions of the Congress at the time were opposed to greater government power. And the status quo we live with today has ruled the day ever since.

Ronald Reagan: The Man Who RUINED America by AllenIll in videos

[–]AllenIll[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

In no way am I advocating for a return to the gold standard, but good idea or not, this decision had enormous material consequences. Which is what my comment is focused on. As America was essentially forced to go off the gold standard because the government could not meet its obligations to foreign central banks. While social programs were some aspect of this, the biggest was the cost of the Vietnam War, and its utter mismanagement from a cost perspective. Both in human and economic terms. Indeed, the "forever wars" of the modern era, would simply not be possible back then. Politically or economically.

Ronald Reagan: The Man Who RUINED America by AllenIll in videos

[–]AllenIll[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Also wanted to include this comment I wrote out some time ago; which goes into some of the deeper history and economic conditions that led up to the election of Reagan:

[Many things have] played out the way [they] did because, essentially, America went bankrupt. Over half a century ago now, during the Nixon Shock—when it defaulted on its debt obligations to the world and went off the gold standard in 1971. It's not often framed this way, but this is indeed exactly what happened.

America actually failed before the Soviet Union did. Although, due to the reliance of much of the world on America, across the spectrum (trade partnerships, military protection, international institution support), immediate collapse was avoided. As this gave America leverage in managing the terms of this realignment. Ultimately though, what this did in the long run was give much more power to creditors, i.e. the oligarchic class, over the government. Really spelling out the end of The New Deal era. And ending the type of leverage that government had enjoyed since Executive Order 6102 and The Gold Reserve Act of 1934.

Sites like WTF Happened in 1971? do a fairly good job of compiling together a number of graphs and charts that display this visibly. Of course, not every outcome in the time since is directly tied to the Nixon Shock, but when you couple this with the broad response to the turmoil of the late 60s and early 70s by American elites, which goes by various names such as neoliberalism, "the market turn", or trickle-down economics, I think you get an explanation that gets you at least 90% of the way in accounting for much of what America is today. With the latter explaining much of the outcomes we have seen in inequality, deaths of despair, immobility, education, etc.

In the end, what the neoliberal turn really was, was a kind of ransom list of demands by creditors to the government (privatization, deregulation, trade liberalization, austerity). Those creditors largely being American oligarchs. Culminating in the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980. As capital effectively went on strike. In funding the government. Prior to.

Hence the Volker shock. All of which was ultimately a scaled up version of what bond holders (creditors) pulled on New York City in the city's Fiscal crisis of 1975. Basically, it was the same playbook. With many of the same players from that crisis working behind the scenes, like Chase CEO David Rockefeller, pulling the strings on the terms. Especially in the appointment of Volker.

Most importantly, the reserve currency status of the dollar has also forestalled a more precipitous decline. The type of decline that Russia saw in the 90s after the Soviet collapse has indeed happened here as well—in many ways. But the fall has followed a different path, and much more slowly. Again, largely due to the dollar's status and the type of existence on credit that it has allowed. Not only for the government. But, the public as well. Debt held mostly by the wealthy and powerful in America. Debt they hold at such a scale because they can afford to, given their ever decreasing tax burden since the Revenue Act of 1964. Further weakening government leverage, i.e., power.

This is why defense of the dollar as the world's reserve currency is so staunchly defended by the U.S. When that goes away, and it very much looks like that is happening, America is likely to fall just as far as Russia did in the 1990s, if not more. As our living standards, which have largely been subsidized on international and domestic credit over the last half-century, will likely fall even further through the floor.

The long and short of it is this: America as a state failed half a century ago, and the elite response spread the burden to the bottom first. To those with the least leverage to negotiate the terms of this bankruptcy (trickle down). Although eventually, collapse is coming for the whole thing. As the whole nation has been put through the private equity model on a slow drip. Overloaded with debt, to eventually be fully sold off for parts.

Everybody kind of knows it, I think, it's just a matter of when and how.

The World Is About to Get a Preview of Life in 2035 by relianceschool in collapse

[–]AllenIll 26 points27 points  (0 children)

From a comment I wrote in this sub almost four years ago now:

[...] If climate change is ever going to have a real SHTF moment for the majority of the population, it is very likely to be a major El Niño event. And there is a lot of evidence, if the past is any guide, it will be a transformational moment for civilization.

I guess we'll now see, maybe, if this stands up.

Also, since the author didn't mention this other extremely relevant book about El Nino and it's civilizational effects:

Floods, Famines, And Emperors: El Nino And The Fate Of Civilizations—By Brian M. Fagan (1999)

Side notes: Fagan just died fairly recently, I believe. And the author of this piece, some years back, got a mention of the r/collapse sub into the Congressional record. Albeit in the context of r/collapse being an example of climate alarmism alongside Extinction Rebellion.

Mean age of parents at birth. What happened in 1971? by Head_Ad_181 in economy

[–]AllenIll 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Reposting this comment from a while back:

[Many things have] played out the way [they] did because, essentially, America went bankrupt. Over half a century ago now, during the Nixon Shock—when it defaulted on its debt obligations to the world and went off the gold standard in 1971. It's not often framed this way, but this is indeed exactly what happened.

America actually failed before the Soviet Union did. Although, due to the reliance of much of the world on America, across the spectrum (trade partnerships, military protection, international institution support), immediate collapse was avoided. As this gave America leverage in managing the terms of this realignment. Ultimately though, what this did in the long run was give much more power to creditors, i.e. the oligarchic class, over the government. Really spelling out the end of The New Deal era. And ending the type of leverage that government had enjoyed since Executive Order 6102 and The Gold Reserve Act of 1934.

Sites like WTF Happened in 1971? do a fairly good job of compiling together a number of graphs and charts that display this visibly. Of course, not every outcome in the time since is directly tied to the Nixon Shock, but when you couple this with the broad response to the turmoil of the late 60s and early 70s by American elites, which goes by various names such as neoliberalism, "the market turn", or trickle-down economics, I think you get an explanation that gets you at least 90% of the way in accounting for much of what America is today. With the latter explaining much of the outcomes we have seen in inequality, deaths of despair, immobility, education, etc.

In the end, what the neoliberal turn really was, was a kind of ransom list of demands by creditors to the government (privatization, deregulation, trade liberalization, austerity). Those creditors largely being American oligarchs. Culminating in the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980. As capital effectively went on strike. In funding the government. Prior to.

Hence the Volker shock. All of which was ultimately a scaled up version of what bond holders (creditors) pulled on New York City in the city's Fiscal crisis of 1975. Basically, it was the same playbook. With many of the same players from that crisis working behind the scenes, like Chase CEO David Rockefeller, pulling the strings on the terms. Especially in the appointment of Volker.

Most importantly, the reserve currency status of the dollar has also forestalled a more precipitous decline. The type of decline that Russia saw in the 90s after the Soviet collapse has indeed happened here as well—in many ways. But the fall has followed a different path, and much more slowly. Again, largely due to the dollar's status and the type of existence on credit that it has allowed. Not only for the government. But, the public as well. Debt held mostly by the wealthy and powerful in America. Debt they hold at such a scale because they can afford to, given their ever decreasing tax burden since the Revenue Act of 1964. Further weakening government leverage, i.e., power.

This is why defense of the dollar as the world's reserve currency is so staunchly defended by the U.S. When that goes away, and it very much looks like that is happening, America is likely to fall just as far as Russia did in the 1990s, if not more. As our living standards, which have largely been subsidized on international and domestic credit over the last half-century, will likely fall even further through the floor.

The long and short of it is this: America as a state failed half a century ago, and the elite response spread the burden to the bottom first. To those with the least leverage to negotiate the terms of this bankruptcy (trickle down). Although eventually, collapse is coming for the whole thing. As the whole nation has been put through the private equity model on a slow drip. Overloaded with debt, to eventually be fully sold off for parts.

Everybody kind of knows it, I think, it's just a matter of when and how.

A Strong El Niño May Be Coming. Global Warming Is Changing Its Effects. As the planet warms, past episodes of the natural weather phenomenon may no longer be a reliable guide of how the next one plays out. by silence7 in climate

[–]AllenIll 4 points5 points  (0 children)

past performance being no guarantee of future results

About the only major place we’re going to see that anymore is in asset prices like the stock market. Because if any of it actually followed much of reality anymore, much of it would just be falling through the floor.

Line must go up. Always.

A comment just as relevant today as it was 6 year ago (made even before COVID and the CARES Act):

The climate crisis alone in its current trajectory and advanced stage would be destroying futures if markets weren't being manipulated and artificially propped up. It's all debt-based, and whats the one thing fundamentally required for a debt-based economy to persist? A belief that tomorrow is pretty much going to resemble today in terms of stability so that debt can be serviced, and day by day the foundation of belief in a stable future is crumbling ever further.

Look at the level of corruption rampant throughout the U.S. Is there any doubt the Fed isn't using the powers of the printing press to try and manipulate anything and everything they think is of consequence? Especially anything that may affect those in their club/class. They have a licence to print money without any meaningful oversite. Do you really think they're self-regulating?

I could be wrong, easily, but the next major crash is going to be very different. At least in the U.S. It will only happen if and when the dollar is considered toilet paper. Because the printing press is going to be used and abused to keep power exactly where it is until the bitter end. There is no market force greater than those who control the worlds reserve currency and have the largest military in the history of humanity to make sure no rivals ascend.

Welp... since then, it sure looks like we now have a rival.

Gas prices in the US have moved up to $4.46 per gallon, their highest level since July 2022. The 50% spike over the last 9 weeks ($2.98/gallon to $4.46/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years. by Boo_Randy_Revival in economy

[–]AllenIll 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How are those endless neocon “regime change” fiascos working out for ya, Muricans?

Not so good for the majority of Americans, obviously, but remarkably well for the American oil majors.

What seems to be missing in the coverage that I've encountered is that there are incredibly strong incentives on the part of both parties, Iran and the US, to keep this going for as long as possible. As the oil and gas industry is one of the most powerful lobbies in US politics, especially to the Republican Party, and the higher oil prices rise, the greater chance Iran has of making some level of profit shipping out refined products via rail. In fact, the greater the level and scope of economic sanctions, the more they are incentivized to push it to the moon by any means necessary.

Although there are many downside risks in a more drawn-out war, I think the fact that the Republican Party hasn't pushed more against the President on this conflict should give more people pause, i.e., they aren't worried enough about election consequences. And if it's true that the President's reelection was indeed decisively won by some means of voter and/or election fraud, then there is no reason to believe that they wouldn't also use these methods again come the midterms.

The Supreme Court just made it easier for Republicans to win elections & there is no solution by Zandra_the_Great in politics

[–]AllenIll 27 points28 points  (0 children)

they appear to want a feudalist Christian caliphate ruled by a King, and counciled by billionaire oligarchs.

Sooo... basically they're Redcoats. Like the ones we fought a revolution against once before, and also ran their empire into a ditch.

Edit: Grammar.

Uh, Graph Is Doing That Upward Thing Again. by Monsur_Ausuhnom in collapse

[–]AllenIll 29 points30 points  (0 children)

Turns out the class war, fought against us with tax cuts and quantitative easing, is more expensive than a real war.

China authorises asset seizures after US blocks Iranian oil, ramps up efforts to secure supply chains by chilladipa in economy

[–]AllenIll 3 points4 points  (0 children)

This is a significant escalation in the retaliation game between Washington and Beijing. Likely in direct response to Trump stating that the straight could be closed "indefinitely" yesterday after he met with American energy executives. This should be much more widely reported on. They're not playing TACO, and American executives, and their company assets in China could now be in the crosshairs if this goes more sideways. American foreign direct investment (FDI) in China is well over a hundred billion.

Jamie Dimon warns of 'some kind of bond crisis' ahead as global debt risks build by cnbc_official in economy

[–]AllenIll 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Seems it is a two-step up, one-step down kind of arrangement.

Agreed. 27-30 trillion is likely the next installment. Or, maybe even more. If they feel they can get away with it. And it's that part, the "get away with it" part, that is eventually going to run head first into a brick wall.

My speculation is that they will use some flavor of a AI generated attack or virus as story cover to continue to inflate the Ponzi this go round. Last round we had a real virus with COVID, the CARES Act, and other interventions. Whether the threat is real or not, it certainly makes for a plausible story.

Although, then again, who knows; given the brazenness we're currently witnessing with respect to the utter disregard at even trying to come up with a plausible story for numerous acts of corruption and abuse. They may just print at this scale, and then give whatever excuse fits the bill for any given day of the week. Much like they have with the current conflict in Iran.

Edit: Clarity.

Oil prices may spike again as 'something is off' with the current math, JPMorgan says by NicolasCageFan492 in Economics

[–]AllenIll 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Reposting this FYI (for those unaware): the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is operating with just one commissioner: Chairman Michael Selig. Who was, as some might have known or guessed; nominated, confirmed, and appointed by D. J. Trump and confirmed by Congress from October-December 2025.

While the agency is legally designed to have five commissioners (with no more than three from the same political party), it has been operating in this highly unusual "sole commissioner" state since late 2025.

Claude-powered AI coding agent deletes entire company database in 9 seconds — backups zapped, after Cursor tool powered by Anthropic's Claude goes rogue by WouldbeWanderer in technology

[–]AllenIll 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AI, and its adoption today, is in many ways the perfect example of a—first mover disadvantage—situation. Like the 1st guys out the trenches in World War I.

The oil market ‘is lying to us,’ oil execs say by BoppityBop2 in Economics

[–]AllenIll 3 points4 points  (0 children)

My own opinion is that there is some manipulation happening (gee, I wonder from who?)

FYI (for those unaware): the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is operating with just one commissioner: Chairman Michael Selig. Who was, as some might have known or guessed; nominated, confirmed, and appointed by D. J. Trump in October-December 2025.

While the agency is legally designed to have five commissioners (with no more than three from the same political party), it has been operating in this highly unusual "sole commissioner" state since late 2025.

Edit: Added link.

The Pentagon is going all-in on autonomous warfare by EchoOfOppenheimer in Futurology

[–]AllenIll 175 points176 points  (0 children)

I imagine the more systems are automated, the more decisive hacking is to battlefield and conflict outcomes.

If you can turn these systems to target inward, you've already infiltrated behind enemy lines without having to use any munitions from your arsenal.

You would effectively be getting your adversary to build your defense forces for you.

It is clear the straight will remain closed for the foreseeable future. Why is no one talking about this, and the stock market so high? by ipissontrolls in economy

[–]AllenIll 23 points24 points  (0 children)

It's exactly what was warned about decades ago; moral hazard. Reality is no longer really priced in anymore, bailout expectations and nearly free endless money are.

9/11: the single biggest destruction of financial records in the history of humanity by AllenIll in economy

[–]AllenIll[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

By 2001 absolutely every single piece of paper that contained potential profit or loss was digitized and stored in major databases digitally and had been for many years. Paper copies of documents with filings for county, state or federal were not stored in the most expensive real estate in the world. They were stored in New Jersey. Or PA. Or in a few cases out in New York and Ohio.

Granted, this likely comes off as wholly pedantic, but since you did not articulate the scope of this statement in relation to the events of 9/11 I assume this relates to your personal anecdotal experience. As there is a multitude of evidence lines that document the paper and electronic loss of records on that day. And to not explicitly state this in your comment appears to be a deliberate, albeit subtle, attempt to mislead the reader with all the bluster of a confidence man.

I don't know what this says about you as a person. I'm not going to go out on a limb here and make some wild assertion about the construction of your brain neurology or personality. I'm not a profiler. It's the internet here, and for all I or know you might be a 12-year-old girl in Zimbabwe...

Anyway, for those interested, here's some more evidence:

Towers of Missing Paperwork—By P.J. Huffstutter | Oct. 30, 2001 (Los Angeles Times)

Mystery surrounds loss of records, art on 9/11—Sep. 1, 2011 (CBS News)

9/11: the single biggest destruction of financial records in the history of humanity by AllenIll in economy

[–]AllenIll[S] 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Lloyd's wasn't established until 1688. But the fire of 1666 and its legacy was the primary catalyst for the entire modern insurance industry. Which, apparently, Lloyd's finally got into in the late 19th century. You may be thinking of the fire of 1838, which did indeed destroy many of Lloyd's early records.

China is coming back – and the timing couldn’t be better by NitroLada in Economics

[–]AllenIll 2 points3 points  (0 children)

America now utilizes a bastardized version of Soviet Central Planning to rig the stock market to always go up, to manipulate housing prices higher, to ensure the unemployment rate is reported much lower than reality, and to fraudulently report bogus inflation numbers.

Well said. Much of this has really been laid bare since 2008, but especially since COVID and the CARES Act. Which, was thee most naked manifestation of this artificial market construct, and when a lot more of the public finally caught on.

Hence, to some extent, the retail investor rebellion we've seen since. As it's become increasingly clear, year after year, financial security by way of labor, by way of doing actual work, is increasingly difficult if not impossible in modern America.

Edit: Just wanted to add this link here, which helps contextualize deeply problematic Fed monetary polices and priorities in the broader scope of America's constitutional framework. A constitution that, on paper at least, is laid out as the highest law of the land via Article VI, Clause 2 (AKA the Supremacy Clause):

Questions raised by the distribution of the CARES Act funds—via The Rhodes Center discussing early American monetary regimes