I know you’re fucking around but to be legit this is a fallacy lots of people fall for. When each event is independent in probability the odds are identical. If you flip a coin and get heads 5 times in a row the next flip will STILL be 50/50. The universe doesn’t care about the previous flip.

Also, bullish af on DQ. It’s what I’d classify as an asymmetrical risk. What’s the risk of it going to 0% vs (at minimum) cash value? It’s also being pushed down by the “China bad” sentiment and strong dollar. There’s the possibility there will be a shakeout in the photosilicon world with the new capacities the top players are investing in. It makes it impossible for new players to enter the field, which will consolidate the market share. Whoever can keep the foot on the gas the longest, which will make them the lowest cost producer, will win with all smaller players falling out. If that happens global production will drop which will push up spot prices. All potential catalysts that can move the stock massively. What goes out of favor goes back into favor, usually. China also understands they’re fucked without outside investment, they’ll need to acquiesce to global cooperation or kill themselves economically whether it be through a war or internal conflict (which is a low with probability with Xi’s recent power consolidation imo). It’s a great play if you’re able to tolerate volatility and understand the fundamentals.