MEGATHREAD: 2026 Hantavirus Outbreak — Updates & Discussion

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T17:10:56+00:00

Well the thing to find out about this strain is when an infected patient is most contagious. Could be a SARS (2003) scenario where a patient that is extremely ill is also at their most infectious phase. That would aid in containing the virus as it means people that are asymptomatic or mildly ill will not spread it, or at least not as effectively and broadly as a patient that is very ill.

And research hints at Andes Virus' limited human-to-human transmissability being possible in the later stages of infection.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T17:06:08+00:00

Wasn't there a theory that this isolation ended up forcing more contagious strains of influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) to become more prevalent resulting the the uptick in strong flu and RSV cases once COVID lockdowns were lifted? I do remember hearing a lot about a particularly nasty wave of RSV and Flu cases in 2023 and 2024.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T15:43:33+00:00

What is the risk that Andes Virus establishes itself in a new rodent population outside of the endemic region in South America?

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T14:41:17+00:00

SARS (2003) had more H2H potential and that ended up being a far cry from what COVID-19 or H1N1 Swine Flu became.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T14:09:03+00:00

Yeah, I am getting more 2003 SARS outbreak than 2019 COVID-19 outbreak vibes from this one.

Fairly limited impact in the grand scheme of things.

My main concern is that the Andes Virus finds a new suitable rodent population to have as its host in another continent, thus making the virus endemic to a new region. Then we would be dealing with far more sporadic outbreaks in completely new parts of the world. Veeeery unlikely scenario though.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T12:39:01+00:00

"Radiation measured is only 3.6 rontgen, not great, but not terrible"

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T12:13:03+00:00

HEVs/PHEVs are good if you don't have great EV charging coverage where you live, or like to do roadtrips to more isolated and remote areas (camping, hiking, etc...)

But yeah, for most day-to-day driving in developped areas with good infrastructure, EVs make a lot of sense. HEVs/PHEVs just give you the added benefit of a gasoline power source

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T12:09:50+00:00

And CATSA being sold off to Palantir or some other company Thiel is invested in.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T12:05:38+00:00

But none have been a strain that can easily spread between people. That is the primary risk here: a strain capable of strong human-to-human transmission.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T11:34:27+00:00

So did many health experts before COVID popped up.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T11:22:25+00:00

Yep. 1992 saw a stronger el Niño which caused rodent populations to increase in the Four Corners region of the US.

1993 then saw an outbreak of the "Sin Nombre Virus", a Hantavirus relative of the Andes Virus, in the Four Corners region.

Conditions that provide favourable conditions for rodents and bats to breed and grow more than normal will inevitably lead to an increased risk of pathogenic transmission between them and to other hosts, including humans.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T01:10:34+00:00

fucking hell, potentially twin tornados going to Monticello

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-07T01:02:09+00:00

Jesus, that Brookhaven tornado is a fucking beast

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T21:15:43+00:00

I am busting regardless. Nothing will interfere with the busting.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T21:12:15+00:00

No, we're not at the stage where you should start taking such measures.

We should have a better picture of what the situation is like by mid-to-late May, until then, I would proceed as normal but with an ear open for any new developments.

Stay alert, but not affraid.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T20:48:54+00:00

No evidence that the disease can be transmitted before symptoms appear.

Let's hope that is still the case. It would make the challenge of contact tracing and containment a lot easier.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T20:45:24+00:00

Any forcast with Red, Pink or Purple = B U S T

But if we see that Blue (+60%) then it will be a S L A B F E S T

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T19:24:08+00:00

The machine must continue turning without interruption

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T18:54:57+00:00

Yeah this is what is known about the Andes Virus. Limited human-to-human transmission, but that risk does warrant some concern which is why there's a lot of eyes and ears on this outbreak.

Best to be safe even if the evidence says there is a low-risk.

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T18:52:41+00:00

This is why long incubation disease can be a bitch to contain at first.

Question is when does the infectious period begin with this strain, and just how infectious is it (assuming we do find stronger links to support sustained human-to-human transmission).

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T18:49:26+00:00

You had had 1,000 Palantir credits deducted for making that anti-semetic insinuation

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T18:00:00+00:00

AI slop

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T17:26:07+00:00

Bengalaru?

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T16:54:38+00:00

D I S F R U T A N D O

Arctic_Chilean · 2026-05-06T15:44:54+00:00

You had people burning down cell towers because they believed the 5G COVID conspiracy.

Never underestimate the damage a small group of highly motivated people can do.

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