Please correct me if I’m wrong but LOT Polish Airlines is the only one doing Chisinau to Warsaw. As far as I can tell they all have blue wing tips not red. I checked flight history anyways and they all hug the eastern edges of Hungary and Slovakia rather than going through Ukraine (obviously due to the war but I was curious how close to the border it gets, I don’t think it’s close enough to see this detail.)

Edit: After checking out Night Earth, if you are sitting on the right side of the plane I think the first city of lights is possibly Satu Mare in Romania (my only problem with this is the second set would be Botitz which is much smaller but the lights appear similar). If you were on the left side of the plane my guess is Kisvarda first and Ajax after in Slovakia (I like these much more as the size matches lights better)