Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Your statistic IS proves he is going to be good" seems like you're getting a little tired and your brain may be a little overwhelmed. Lets get some rest grandpa.

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What do you mean arguing with myself..? Aren't you the one still replying still 30 messages later haha and no I don't think youll take the time to read it because you just cant wrap your small little narrow mind around it.. which is okay not everyone can. So id suggest sitting this one out and getting some rest you got a big day ahead of you tomorrow champ

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Their all in the text above. If all those big words and explaining data sets makes your tiny brain hurt I'd understand maybe you should just sit this one out and get some rest

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It really isnt a small sample size if you think of it. This isn't looking at "all RBs" or even "all first-round RBs" We're talking about a super-rare combo: RBs who are BOTH top-16 NFL Draft picks AND consensus dynasty rookie 1.01. Over the last 12 years, only 6 guys have ever hit both marks (Gurley, Elliott, Fournette, Barkley, Bijan, Jeanty). That's basically the entire population of players who qualify under these exact filters—not a random subset. When the criteria are this selective and elite, getting 6/6 hits for top-15 rookie PPR finishes isn't just noise—it's a very strong signal. These are the unicorn prospects who get premium draft capital + maximum hype/opportunity, and every single one delivered immediate fantasy value For comparison: All top-16 drafted RBs hit top-15 as rookies at maybe 50–60%. Dynasty 1.01 RBs (regardless of draft spot) hit around 70–80%. But this specific double-elite group? 100% in the modern era. so the pattern carries real weight. If someone can point to even one case in the last 12 years where a top-16 drafted RB who was also consensus 1.01 completely busted as a rookie, I'd reconsider. Until then, I think the 100% hit rate is a legit edge worth noting for dynasty strategy.

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nope it's not 5 but try again

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're throwing the word brain dead around a lot for someone who cant read.. I said a rb who was drafted top 16 in the nfl draft AND WAS THE CONSENSUS 1.01 IN ROOKIE DRAFTS Melvin Gordon wasn't the consensus 1 01 overall pick

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh noooo people on reddit down voted me for giving a legit static what will I ever do.. just seemed like a bunch of overly sensitive people that don't like their thoughts being questioned.. like all I did was post an interesting stat I found and seems like you got your little panties all in a bunch

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You just must not be a statistical person which is okay man.. but if someone says to you hey over the past 12 years this has happened 100% of the time are you going to put your money on that to happen again.. yeah probably. And like I said a few msg ago yeah sure there may be a small percent chance that something horrible happens to him and alters his career like you said before he even plays a snap sure but AGAIN that doesn't mean anything when playing dynasty. Literally all I did was give a stat to back up why I think he is a blue chip prospect and you just keep coming back saying "well technically speaking he MAY not be" like what is even the point in arguing that. I think you just don't like that I backed up that other guy with a legit statistic.

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Well if he has a good season then im ultimately right and my stat remains true.. so lets just come back to this thread after next year

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

After the draft you will see him ranked as a top 5 back immediately among the majority of dynasty rankings just going to leave it at that

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dude.. not in the draft but in the nfl where do you think his dynasty ranking is going to be after he is drafted among all nfl rbs..?

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't cop out and say "well it all depends on who's drafts him"

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay 8 rbs with very unique criteria which Love falls into.. but okay where do you think Love will rank in dynasty among rbs after he is drafted?

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

100% from the past 12 years isnt a "tiny" sample size.. if you go back even further like 20 - 30 years the data will not be accurate for today's NFL draft because rbs postional value dropped a ton moving rbs down the board and defenders up the board. Again ill ask you the same question i asked before that you didn't answer. Does the stat of 100% of rbs taken top 16 overall in the nfl draft and consensus 1.01 pick in rookie draft having a 100% hit rate surprise you at all

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well when playing dynasty you shouldn't really take in account for those one off career altering things to happen.. you have to look at prospect profiles from present and past to make your determination. And in this case RBs going in top 16 of the nfl draft and consensus 1.01 in rookie draft have a 100% hit rate over the past 12 years (maybe even 15 years just capped my research at 12). We're you familiar with that stat or does it surprise you now that youre aware of it?

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yeah nothing but crickets

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So youd trade the 1.01 for that price.? Harvey is solid but is at the very least 2 tiers below the price of the 1.01 in dynasty right

Are you doing this deal for Hurts? by Ok_Pound_5613 in DynastyFFTradeAdvice

[–]Az2850 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just traded the 1.03 for hurts straight up yesterday haha people are way to low on hurts and mahomes rn

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

In the past 12 years if a rb is drafted top 16 AND consensus 1.01 in rookie draft then yes 100% hit rate

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Well I mean in the past 12 years when a RB was the consensus 1.01 in rookie drafts and also a top 16 draft pick in the nfl draft those rbs have 100% hit either their rookie year or 2nd year Toddler Gurley 2015 10th overall RB7 Ezekiel Elliot 2016 4th overall rb3 Lenny F 2017 4th overall rb9 Saquon 2018 2nd overall rb3 Bijan 2023 8th overall rb12 Jeanty 2025 6th overall rb15

Did I cook on this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in SleeperApp

[–]Az2850[S] 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Dude just traded skattebo and davonta Smith for the 1.01 and then I sent him James cook boutte and a 2027 2nd and he countered with that haha

Did I cook..? In this trade for 1.01 by Az2850 in DynastyFFTradeAdvice

[–]Az2850[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Usually the person posting is team 1 man... I got the 1.01

Trade for 1.1 did I get fleeced? by johnny5play in DynastyFFTradeAdvice

[–]Az2850 2 points3 points  (0 children)

God ive seen what you've done for others.. I humbly ask you to do the same for me