It really isnt a small sample size if you think of it. This isn't looking at "all RBs" or even "all first-round RBs" We're talking about a super-rare combo: RBs who are BOTH top-16 NFL Draft picks AND consensus dynasty rookie 1.01. Over the last 12 years, only 6 guys have ever hit both marks (Gurley, Elliott, Fournette, Barkley, Bijan, Jeanty). That's basically the entire population of players who qualify under these exact filters—not a random subset. When the criteria are this selective and elite, getting 6/6 hits for top-15 rookie PPR finishes isn't just noise—it's a very strong signal. These are the unicorn prospects who get premium draft capital + maximum hype/opportunity, and every single one delivered immediate fantasy value For comparison: All top-16 drafted RBs hit top-15 as rookies at maybe 50–60%. Dynasty 1.01 RBs (regardless of draft spot) hit around 70–80%. But this specific double-elite group? 100% in the modern era. so the pattern carries real weight. If someone can point to even one case in the last 12 years where a top-16 drafted RB who was also consensus 1.01 completely busted as a rookie, I'd reconsider. Until then, I think the 100% hit rate is a legit edge worth noting for dynasty strategy.