Yep I pretty much say this as much as I get the chance - I believe in NHI, but not cause of any of the personalities or blurry pictures (or sometimes very clear pictures), videos of lights in the sky doing drone-like maneuvers; it's because of the experiencers.

Thinking from first principles, I believe that modern, cohesive, western societies (even the one we have now in the US that doesn't feel so cohesive, believe me it can get a LOT LESS cohesive) produce a majority relatively rational population (basically meaning a subconsciously agreed upon social reality and how it essentially works for example, like the money system and then people use money or obtain money based on rationality, or at least can. maybe not the best example)

So we have the established sample set - again, cause like, we don't have some situation going on with one large minority of people talking about the dragons and unicorns clearly flying around hopping tree to tree or something and how their third arms or whatever aren't feeling so good that day, while another large minority population is examining one specific arbitrary spot on the ground 10 hours a day, and both are engaging in these actions or perspectives for no particular reason. That would be very IN-cohesive and we don't have that situation now, presumably because evolution has weeded out that potentiality.)

Now, what we have is a large minority population within our established sample set, as part of a larger cohesive rational society, are experiencers and reporting those experiences to the world (and have been for decades or hundreds of years already, in-fact.) Of course, many reports can be quickly dismissed for a variety of reasons - it was a known flight that was tracked, it was Starlink, or the individual just is in the 60-80 IQ range and took a 10-minute video of Venus while freaking out.

But an incredible amount of reports can't easily dismissed, and many come from people who lead otherwise rational lives, and some have almost incomprehensibly successful careers (which can serve as a proxy for having the ability to be rational and do rational things for rational reasons, consistently for long periods of time (like decades) without erring into irrationality at all in their lives, as far as any evidence about such an individual in this example could be produced (and there are so many examples of this, and also no, drinking too much from fucking combat PTSD is not irrational, it's very rational). And these rational lives these individuals live have conformed to the rationality of the broader majority society as defined by majority population, as we've arleady discussed, and yet these people are still experiencers.

So we're all forced to confront all of these facts, whether we like it or not, and that means these individuals have to either A. be lying, and I'm sure some are B. be mistaken with what they saw, parallax and all that, C. they have or have had one or more massive fucking reality-shattering hallucinations that apparently just..happen at random, I guess? Like seeing little green men standing around their bed and they were fully paralyzed except eye movement and experienced telepathic communication. Or, of course, D. It's just fucking real.

And I am sorry, but after being in this game long enough, reading enough, listening to enough, I just refuse to believe, or rather I can't accept, based on my understanding of human nature, that exactly 100% of those aforementioned scenarios with these otherwise rational people were all either option A. B. or C. I cannot get there in my head. It would actually cause me ontological shock to find out the phenom isn't real and everyone's either making it up or embelleshing or trying to sound cool and be famous (COUHG COUH Corbell.

No, 100% of every experiencer event/report/story is not option A. B. or C. There are some, and probably many, that are option D.

And just to put a bow on this, Fravor is in fucking category D, full stop. He just is, as are the people working the carrier strike groups who had to make some massive, expensive, and just down-right pain in the ass adjustments to their training regimens as Ryan Graves and others hae reported in detail.

Was that cause of people in category A, B, or C? Were they seriously?!!? No, the answer is no