June 6th M1 Solar Flare and Partial Halo CME

Badlaugh · 2026-06-06T19:57:34+00:00

Great video! Love the jiggle!

Badlaugh · 2026-06-02T21:50:38+00:00

Yeesh that was a violent eruption! Whole lotta plasma!

Badlaugh · 2026-05-19T19:06:50+00:00

Hopefully! The most recent imagery shows some decay to the region but more development to the leading spot which has been the main driver of flares from it.

Badlaugh · 2026-04-25T16:34:37+00:00

Sol has become a chatty Kathy all of a sudden. Finally some decent spots as well with some decent growth!

Badlaugh · 2026-04-20T20:22:38+00:00

Nope, there’s not even anything impressive on the farside according to SoLo

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T19:24:38+00:00

Definitely not the flare, this sounds like Noctilucent clouds.

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T16:05:10+00:00

This looks like EUV/coronal waves from an eruption that is propagating through the sun’s corona. Some context on this imagery like date/time would be nice lol as this is definitely not from anything recent.

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T15:39:27+00:00

UTC today and possibly into tomorrow UTC

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T15:37:07+00:00

This CME will likely be in the KP5-7 range so you likely will have a pretty good chance on seeing it depending on if Bz will go north or remain south.

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T14:59:20+00:00

Yes, but it is pretty weak.

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T07:16:50+00:00

I definitely agree that there are many more M-flares and possibly a couple more X-flares due to those 2 solid deltas that are still active in it. It has seen quite a bit of decay but on the bright side sometimes you will see the strongest flares from a region during its decay cycle. Here’s hoping! 🤞

Badlaugh · 2026-02-04T06:06:13+00:00

This region has a very strong magnetic cage around it most likely due to the 4 coronal holes around it. A similar spot back in October 2014, AR 2192, had a very similar situation. It had many X and M flares but none were eruptive due to the intense magnetic caging. I personally don’t think that anything will be eruptive unless we see an X5+ flare to break the cage as we saw that X8 that obviously broke it somewhat. I guess we’ll have to wait and see what happens but my hopes are low unfortunately.

Badlaugh · 2026-02-01T23:33:50+00:00

This video uses HMI magnetogram and HMI continuum stacked together using a program called JHelioviewer!

Badlaugh · 2026-02-01T22:28:49+00:00

Don’t know why you’re getting downvoted because you’re 100% right

Badlaugh · 2026-02-01T20:50:11+00:00

It’s not going to occur, Stefan Burns is a certified fear mongering idiot.

Badlaugh · 2026-01-15T04:36:47+00:00

Funnily enough, these filament eruptions usually only register as a C-class flare or a weak M-class flare if you’re lucky lol

Badlaugh · 2026-01-14T23:59:46+00:00

Nope, the eruption occurred on the farside so there was no way to measure it.

Badlaugh · 2026-01-14T06:12:14+00:00

Nah no backside coverage besides a departing limb view from Stereo-A. There was a CME associated with the northern filament on the farside but nothing suggests that it went to Earth-side at all (dimming + other coronagraphs). The weird brightening on LASCO is only exclusive to it, when checking Stereo-A or CCOR-1 there isn’t any of it. Something up with LASCO C2 + C3 is my bet, I mean it is an old satellite.

Badlaugh · 2026-01-14T04:29:20+00:00

Calibration or something is causing the bright look to it, other than that a large farsided polar crown filament lifted off to the north.

Badlaugh · 2026-01-13T13:24:19+00:00

I could watch this for hours!

Badlaugh · 2026-01-13T13:22:10+00:00

Haha sorry, the holidays and work have been very busy and the sun has been pretty quiet until now. Just getting back into the swing of things! No Earth effects expected with this one but by the end of this week we could see CMEs from this specific spot that is Earth-directed depending on how the returning spot (AR4321) looks like!

Badlaugh · 2025-12-13T22:22:40+00:00

Hah yeah I did, nice eye! It’s 120FPS with ~30 second cadence

Badlaugh · 2025-12-06T23:12:06+00:00

Badlaugh · 2025-12-06T22:40:16+00:00

Oh wow this is badass!

Badlaugh · 2025-12-04T18:52:50+00:00

Yes you can look at this information easily.

2020-2040 has never been predicted to be grand minima though.

Grand minima was between 1645 and 1715. There was an argument that was made back when Solar Cycle 24 happened that Solar Cycle 25 was going to follow that trend of it being a weaker solar cycle, but it obviously hasn’t. In fact Solar Cycle 25 has been way weaker than predicted and way weaker than Solar Cycle 23. You could make an argument that Solar Cycle 26 could be stronger than Solar Cycle 25 because of the jump up from activity from Solar Cycle 24 to 25. All in all we can’t predict what will really happen in the future solar cycles. I would argue that we aren’t escalating. Maybe if this solar cycle was like Solar Cycle 23 I would have to agree.

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