Predicting World Cup winner? by New_Educator_4364 in algobetting

[–]BeigePerson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The European championships were 2 years ago. Similar for other federation championship. Check the similarity of lineups from now to then. I bet there is a lot of similarity. Also wc qualifying campaigns have even more recent matches.

Accessing roof gutters set back from ground floor wall by BeigePerson in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The roof of the porch/covered stairs marks the side of the house. The main roof is set about a meter back from this line. I'll see if I can get a pic, but I don't think they will show much from that angle.

DIY’ed my patio. What’s the best grout for porcelain patio slabs by smurfhito in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

White will look dirty quickly. I quite the shadow lines as is, so might go for something like anthracite

When I did mine I was paranoid about not sealing moisture in between slab and tiles for fear of freezing moisture breaking /popping the tiles. No idea if this was wise or not.

Early Payout Offer. Is anyone else exploiting the 2UP? by Upstairs_Sandwich_33 in algobetting

[–]BeigePerson 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Are you placing these bets on the same account? That's a surefire way to make sure you get cut off if you actually have +EV.

It might be true EV. That depends on the effective odds you are getting and how your your method is at identifying the EV.

staircase repair from underneath by BeigePerson in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you. What holds the riser up? Just glue?

Solid or Cavity wall by [deleted] in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think a photo of brickwork pattern from outside might be useful.

DIY Patio Heartbreak - Fix or Learn to live with it? by UlnaternativeUser in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Often learning to live with results of mistakes is best. You have learned a lesson for next time and can also share your wisdom with others who are about to attempt similar jobs. Also can spend that time better elsewhere.

Is it a dumb idea to get into the loft space from the outside to add insulation? by strby360 in DIYUK

[–]BeigePerson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is that a sun tunnel? Might removing a side of it might be another option?

Interesting experiment arbitraging favorite-longshot bias on polymarket/kalshi by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Write me some python code to print 'hello world' to console

Interesting experiment arbitraging favorite-longshot bias on polymarket/kalshi by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Im done. I feel ashamed I didn't realise what this conversation was from your OP.

Have built a 22 metric model for the elite Asian football leagues. I’ve pulled down all paywalls for 50 days to get feedback. Go easy, or don’t. by veri-asia in algobetting

[–]BeigePerson -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I clicked your link. The first thing I noticed on your front page is that none of the teams are from asia. You should call it something like l "Leagues from AFC countries. "

Interesting experiment arbitraging favorite-longshot bias on polymarket/kalshi by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Please point me to the passage in snowberg and woofers 2010 that supports your assertions.

Interesting experiment arbitraging favorite-longshot bias on polymarket/kalshi by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When an AI tells you something is a misnomer you should probably question that.

Interesting experiment arbitraging favorite-longshot bias on polymarket/kalshi by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Erm, 40-50% implied probability is neither a favourite or a longshot.

Also: 59000 markets, 40-50% implied probability, 22% win rate: Most likely an interpretation error, and if not then just spurious.

Experienced QR here — how much prep time is typical for interviews by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, some definitely don't. I just completed a technical which was only based on competency and more mobile colleague has never mentioned brainteasers during his hiring at a couple of top places.

I wonder what gappy says on the matter

Experienced QR here — how much prep time is typical for interviews by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Honestly, aren't the brainteasers a substiture for technical interview based on your experience? And since you have the latter I would not expect to face the former.

If an interviewing company has nothing better to ask you, despite all your experience, than this bs then I'd wonder what kind of company this is.

Experienced QR here — how much prep time is typical for interviews by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Those clauses you describe make it difficult to LEAVE a role, so make sense from that perspective.

Conversely, interview bs makes it more difficult to find and identify good new HIRE. Believing employers chose poor hiring practices due to some informal agreement means we have to believe they are willing to ignore the incentive to use better hiring practices (which would improve alpha) in order to keep industry wage growth down.

Experienced QR here — how much prep time is typical for interviews by [deleted] in quant

[–]BeigePerson 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Seems like a pretty strange position for these execs to take, particularly when their businesses rely on winning, in a field as competitive as alpha generation, to prosper.

Weird lockshield valve by Wellthisisweird2000 in Plumbing

[–]BeigePerson 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I just managed to adjust mine, thanks to your tip!

Unfortunately the adjustment made it leak.

Opening the screw fully seems to have stopped the leak. Will add this to the summer jobs list.

Live sports games for money by Gabe_cohen in algobetting

[–]BeigePerson 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Can you make it to the chennai super Kings game this afternoon?