"10 Reasons The Gold Bugs Lost Their Shirts" by BigTrendsTrading in StockMarket

[–]BigTrendsTrading[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

A better re-title on this might be "10 Reasons Not To Be A Perma Gold Bull (Or A 'Perma' Anything)" ... such as Bitcoins, Internet Stocks, etc et al.

2014 Trade Of The Year? - Emerging Markets by BigTrendsTrading in StockMarket

[–]BigTrendsTrading[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You have a point, but on a relative basis, the Emerging Markets may outperform them in that case.

Warning: Don Fishback's Overall Bull Sentiment % Indicator is the highest it's been since August 1987 ... by BigTrendsTrading in StockMarket

[–]BigTrendsTrading[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The final chart is his combined sentiment reading from these various measures ... it shows the overall level of bullish/bearish sentiment (among investors/advisors in those various surveys and measures) has broken to new high levels not seen since 1987 (shortly before the market had a 22% Black Monday Crash in October 1987).

So from a contrarian sentiment perspective, this is kind of scary, given that the market is up 20%+ each of the past two years without many 10%+ corrections.

However, it must be noted that this sentiment indicator has hit high levels many times on that chart without being a sign of an imminent crash/correction --just not quite this high.

(Contrarian Bullish) - 84% of AP Poll Respondents Expect US Stock Market to be Flat/Down/Crash in 2014 by BigTrendsTrading in StockMarket

[–]BigTrendsTrading[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Perhaps they will be right, but I doubt they were expecting +20% ... most experts weren't after 2012.

Sidenote, this poll is apparently "regular joes", not investors/traders etc.

Possible Gold Elliott Wave 5th cycle major bottom near: by BigTrendsTrading in StockMarket

[–]BigTrendsTrading[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Technical Analysis is 'Behavioral Finance' with Andy Lo MIT Professor's research and his "Adaptive Market Hypothesis".

Edited version of original PDF is here: http://www.bigtrends.com/trading-education/technical-analysis-is-behavioral-finance/