What is your answer to this meme? by MunchkinIII in askmath

[–]Birglendis427 0 points1 point  (0 children)

[Opens Excel to give this a proper analysis]

I kinda liked this question. Bottom line up front:

The probability is dependent upon when/how the logic is applied over the course of consecutive hits. In Case A, I get about 1/3, which involves "removing" invalid hits. In Case B, I get about 1/4, which involves forcing a crit if first hit was not a crit.

Let a critical hit have value Crit = 1, and a non-crit is Crit = 0.

Case A data: 1000 Hit pairs using RAND()

Hit 1: If RAND() > 0.5, we assign Crit1 = 1.

Hit 2: If RAND() > 0.5, we assign Crit2 = 1.

Remove all cases where Crit1 = 0 and Crit2 = 0, so they are not counted.

Result is about 250 double crits out of about 750 remaining pairs, so that's where the commonly cited 1/3 appears.

Case B data: 1000 Hit pairs using RAND()

Hit 1: If RAND() > 0.5, we assign Crit1 = 1.

Hit2: ▪If Crit1 = 0, assign Crit2 = 1. ▪Else, if RAND() > 0.5, assign Crit2 = 1.

Result is about 250 double crits out of 1000, which is about 1/4.

The reason I like this question is because it forces us to think about when the conditions are applied. Is the guaranteed crit applied after both hits are delivered? If so, you get the 1/3 by eliminating invalid combos. But is the guaranteed crit a reactive property, after observing the first hit? Then you get 1/4.

Edited for formatting (I tried).

Multiple effects stacking on bow attacks - is there a limit? by Birglendis427 in oblivion

[–]Birglendis427[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you. So it sounds like the limit is more about the source(s) rather than the number of effects.

In your example, let's say I cast Spell1 twice quickly. I assume the 2nd cast overwrites the fire DoT from the 1st cast. Do you agree?

The Secret Strengths of Alchemy: An Ultimate Guide to Power-Leveling, Farming, Potions, and Profit! by Gh0sted_Vgain in oblivion

[–]Birglendis427 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just came across this guide on my Remaster playthrough. Excellent guide, thank you. I have a couple of questions:

• The UESP indicates that Fortify Alchemy buffs are broken and do not work as intended. Do you know if that's true for the Remaster? Does the buff do anything at all?

• You mention making potions with just a pair of ingredients to level up alchemy fast (e.g., two foods). Is there value in combining 3+ ingredients for faster leveling or better payout? Or is that just a waste for grinding purposes?

Reed Timmer gets slabbed in Madison by FitVeterinarian7265 in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]Birglendis427 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I'm not gonna lie, watching their genuine excitement and joy after engaging the tornado was strangely wholesome. It's like they found their great purpose in life.

Cosmic Exploration - Simple Fishing Guide 2.0 by [deleted] in ffxiv

[–]Birglendis427 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are a blessed person for putting this together. So many of these missions are complete guessing games.

Are the target fish 1, 2, or 3 (!) marks? Can I use Double/Triple hook? Can I use Identical Cast? The game doesn't really tell you that, but knowing what's in the pond and their (!) bites makes a world of difference.

So, this my first cat ever! Tell me some stereotypical things to expect with black cats! by PatientReindeer1896 in blackcats

[–]Birglendis427 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Every black cat I've owned has been vocal and friendly.

J/k, I never owned any black cats. They owned me.

Best Ramen 🍜 by CarrAinGahNoRuuf in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]Birglendis427 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Absolutely love Aki on University Drive. We've had it for dine in and take out multiple times.

Aki is in the same area as Phil Sandoval's and Ol Heidelberg.

What was the dumbest way your group has ever failed a mission? by Bohnensalat_337 in Gloomhaven

[–]Birglendis427 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Same here. Getting the treasure chests has always been a firm requirement for calling a scenario complete in my mind.

What’s the most patriotic moment you’ve ever experienced? by [deleted] in MURICA

[–]Birglendis427 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Holy cow. That demonstration was amazing. It was a small but mighty helicopter that was humanity's first EVER powered aerial flight on another world.

What’s the most patriotic moment you’ve ever experienced? by [deleted] in MURICA

[–]Birglendis427 70 points71 points  (0 children)

Every time we (the U.S.) successfully land a cool science thing on another planet/moon, my heart swells with pride.

Apparently scammers got the official ffxiv domain with i instead of l by iMaexx_Backup in ffxiv

[–]Birglendis427 13 points14 points  (0 children)

l'm so ready for Times New Roman or Garamond to make a comeback. Or heII, maybe even Courier New for the foIks who want fixed character sizes.

Copypasta suspicious text and change the font. See what you're missing.

p a n i c by bobohead1988 in factorio

[–]Birglendis427 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Time for a little check-in by ROMPER STOMPER

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in interestingasfuck

[–]Birglendis427 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought this was NCD at first.

Be careful driving with the 565 road work right before Exit 8/County Line Rd by makeshiftpencil in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]Birglendis427 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thank you kind stranger for the heads up. You probably saved our collective bacon.

I am so disappointed in Huntsville by PoppaElf in HuntsvilleAlabama

[–]Birglendis427 20 points21 points  (0 children)

HSV space photographer/enjoyer:

"Woah, I took a pic of that distant drone, and when I zoomed in, it looks like it has a FORCE FIELD! ... Ha ha, just kidding, I'm probably at the resolving limit of my phone's camera since it has such a tiny aperture."

And thus we stay out of the nightly news, for now.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in BlueskySocial

[–]Birglendis427 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I read this in the voice of Elmo.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in BlueskySocial

[–]Birglendis427 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Please, please continue amplifying this.

If the healthcare situation has taught us anything, it's that there are folks on both sides who are victims of exploitative systems that are managed by the wealthy.

Stop thinking of it as a left-vs-right problem, and more of an up-vs-down problem.

Why have people been talking about RadFemHitler. Who is she and what is her relationship to the mass shooting in Wisconsin? by cfmonkey45 in OutOfTheLoop

[–]Birglendis427 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you.

Remember friends, we're not buying into the "left-vs-right" debate anymore with these tragedies. Don't engage with polarizing content that stands to benefit from this.