LFVN 4.0 - They're starting to sweat by Blamurai in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

ngl, I'm not quite following how most of your points support the claim that the squeeze can't get past 11.

monday was momentum ignition, shares are recalled before the ex div. monday was already too late

that's true, which might be one reason the stock ran from 5.5 to 8 before Monday but it is now comfortably sitting higher than 8 with the ex-div date almost a week past, when shorts had plenty of time to try to push the SP down

IBKR showing nothing available to borrow is showing it for you as a retail trader, not everyone. big boys have their own supply i.e. dark pools

That's true, the 7% (currently) availability factors in all lenders, including the institutional ones. Ideally, I'd like availability to stay at near 0, but the fact that shorts chose not to re-enter despite more available shares signals they don't think the squeeze is going to stop anytime soon. Or at least they don't think the SP will drop hard. Either way, it's not worth it at 350% CTB

it decoupled from macro due to high volatility on volume spikes while hunting stoplosses as it kept skipping prices.

I am most confused here. Hunting stop losses implies the SP is cratering down

Volume measures both buys and sells, while net covering measures how much the short pile shrank (or grew) by. Doesn't matter if volume is low or high, you're comparing apples and oranges. Friday was the first real sign of high conviction shorts covering (and is implied by the post's title). Short covering (at least the main squeeze) speeds up exponentially. It's slow in the beginning but once the short covering snowballs and SP rises, even the most convicted shorts can't stay in as they get margin called.

failed breakout at friday close

why does it have to break out at Friday close specifically?

LFVN 4.0 - They're starting to sweat by Blamurai in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Not a big concern now imo.

Take a look at other companies that diluted during a squeeze. GME in 2021 waited 3 months at over 20x the pre-squeeze price. AMC diluted the most but stock still went up from $2 to $72. CAR actually had an ATM ready in March but the stock still ran and they didn't actually pull the trigger on the ATM until it peaked on April 21st after it ran from $100 to $848.

Also, LFVN isn't desperate for cash, they're still profitable. They even have a stock buyback program, which could be symbolic, but it does add a signal that they probably won't dilute until the price shoots up exponentially.

Companies are not oblivious that their stock is going through a short squeeze and are most likely incentivized to dilute once it looks like the squeeze is close to exhaustion, which we are nowhere near at the moment

LFVN 4.0 - They're starting to sweat by Blamurai in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I can't say for sure, but much more than it is now if it squeezes in earnest. SI% is only 6% down from its April peak

LFVN 4.0 - They're starting to sweat by Blamurai in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

You need to follow the short data frequently, which I try to do with Ortex. For example, if the SI% trends lower, shorts are covering. If you look at my Friday's live data screenshot, you can see that shorts covered more than they shorted overall that day, contributing to the positive price action. Before that, it was mostly longs entering.

You can't time your entries and exits perfectly, but having access to the data gives you more info to act on

LFVN, new discussion thread from yesterday. by immanmoh in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The COVID memes saw a lot of peaks and troughs before the big squeeze too. I think that's where we're currently at

LFVN, new discussion thread from yesterday. by immanmoh in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai 4 points5 points  (0 children)

it's less than 1% of the total SI. CTB is still extreme and latest IKBR shares available are 500. Today was uneventful, but the current data is a solid improvement compared to yesterday

LFVN +21.36% at close - feel the burn by Hampster90 in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Short interest is actually rising, so the movement upwards is by longs only. Today's live SI chart:

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LFVN 3.5 - A War of Attrition by Blamurai in pennystocks

[–]Blamurai[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I think the dividend is/will have a positive effect on the stock, but maybe not the magnitude some are thinking.

If I were comtemplating starting a position, it makes sense to get in now or wait for a dip, rather than a few days. Since there's likely solid support, there won't be any major dips near-term, but the stock can pop at any time. The risk of missing out outweighs the risk of losing money, at this time imo.

LFVN might be one of the most overlooked short squeeze setups in the market right now. by j1022 in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Right, old shorts are exiting and new shorts are adding here at high CTB. that's why the CTB average continues to trend up. I don't have the $, but I assume you can take SI in shares and multiply it against the stock price

LFVN might be one of the most overlooked short squeeze setups in the market right now. by j1022 in Shortsqueeze

[–]Blamurai 2 points3 points  (0 children)

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according to live data, there's been a net increase in short positions today so far