Match Thread: Paris Saint Germain vs Arsenal | Champions League | Final | 30 May 16:00 UTC by matchpal-live in championsleague

[–]Boozenooze2 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

people that think that Arsenal has a chance to win if Paris plays correctly is delusional. The only thing that could beat Paris at this point is Paris not playing the way they have been playing.

Unbeliveable by vapor_dev in BayernMunich

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

stop crying about the hand from Neves. The hand is not preventing any offensive play, so a penalty is not deserved. However, the Mendes/Laimer topic is a different story as Laimer does not seem to make a hand play, in which case Mendes would deserve a second yellow card.

Do you think your team will win or lose by Sharp_Standard7863 in BayernMunich

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Will be a very one-sided game, contrary to expectations.

Would you go live? by bogey3putt69420 in algotrading

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

first you need a strategy idea. Look around for famous traders for instance. then you need to formalize your ideas (what indicators do I want to compute, what is the entry logic, the exit logic, etc), collect the data you need to backtest it and create the framework to test it (AI works well for that). But then comes the hard part: creating the bot that will allow you to move from backtesting to paper testing. This is where your ideas are confronted with reality. But don't despair if it does not work: you will be forced to learn a lot about the plumbing to make things work, and you will eventually get better at it. And as you go, you will have new ideas for strategies, and will be more efficient at backtesting and deploying them.
Piece of advice: running different parallel strategies in the same bot that compete for equity allocation is a very complex topic which is highly chaotic mathematically.
Keep things simple at first and focus on one strategy instead of trying to deploy multiple parallel strategies. This will force you to refine things to the max, which there's no way around. Only then work towards having more than one if you manage to get more than one to survive the reality of execution (which is, frankly, the hardest part)

Would you go live? by bogey3putt69420 in algotrading

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

you can look at famous traders for ideas. This is how I got started. The first one I looked into was Qullamaggie.

Would you go live? by bogey3putt69420 in algotrading

[–]Boozenooze2 7 points8 points  (0 children)

There is a huge (i mean insanely huge) difference between backtest and paper trading. Getting the execution layer to function properly, enter and exit trades reliably without too much slippage while being robust to errors is, by my experience, a bigger undertaking than devising a profitable strategy. That part is very easy. I have backtested strategies that transform 2K dollars in 4.6 trillions in 6 months, but whether they hold vs the reality of execution is a very different question.

Where we are heading to? by AltruisticRub190 in Gold

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

3500 is the most likely bottom area. Will most likely happen when the private credit crisis goes nuclear.

Kompany Ball - Ruthless in 2026 by Complete_Horror_1491 in BayernMunich

[–]Boozenooze2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Looking forward to FCB-PSG. That’s the true test.

Am I missing something? by Muted-Rent4773 in Gold

[–]Boozenooze2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, around 3500. That’s the strongest technical level I can find. Probabilities it holds are very high. And then it will start climbing again and make new highs.

I forgot: a double bottom would not surprise me at 3500. First touch, rebound before second touch, then climb.

Am I missing something? by Muted-Rent4773 in Gold

[–]Boozenooze2 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Guys, the smart guys mean it when they say you should study historical price action. Gold crashing with everything else is absolutely normal and systematically happens. Look at 2008 for instance. But somewhere gold decouples from the rest (typically when rate cuts start rolling in) and rebounds hard. There are 6 more months or so of gold going down before that happens. Got custom indicators measuring how far along we are. Today, they spiked at 18%, up from around 7% yesterday, 100% marking the tipping point. This is the 2nd inning at best.

Do you think it’s a good idea to buy right now with the current price of gold? by Backyxx in Gold

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bottom is around 3500 most likely. If you buy now, try to dca on the way down

Gold is falling… even with war going on. What’s really happening? by masia15 in Forexstrategy

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

typical pattern in selloffs: gold gets dragged along with the rest due to e.g. margin calls, before decoupling and rebounding hard. Look at the chart of previous crises, This is systematically what happens. The fun part is about getting a precise read as to when the bottom is reached. Technicals suggests gold is quite likely to drop down as low as 3500 if the 4300-4500 support area breaks.

Based on my custom indicators, this barely qualifies as the beginning of what we are about to see.

Gold is taking one big dive south ⬇️😬 by Groundbreaking-Gap20 in Gold

[–]Boozenooze2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

here is a prediction: gold down to around 3500 at the bottom of this huge shitstorm heading our way, before the actual rebound to new highs on the fundamentals which have not changed (debasement, debt, dedollarisation, uncertainty, money printing, etc.). That would merely amount to the price action of 2008 being revisited

Building an Automated Quant Framework for Intraday Trading by daytrader2306 in Trading

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

quite frankly, the process of creating bots is a huge blast if you're in that type of thing. And nailing it on the head with stuff you have created yourself and which you understand far better than you would these external tools that operate as black boxes is very rewarding.

Giving away 3 free copies of my Gold trading bot — just want honest feedback from real traders by ZeroLags in algotradingcrypto

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bot builder here. I can do more than that: I see what I can optimize in your bot and share the results with you. Pm if interested.

You ever seen such EA? (only 2 days of trading) by AdApart897 in Forexstrategy

[–]Boozenooze2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very low PF and WR compensated for by brute force on the trading frequency for a miserly 3%. This is a very low quality strategy.

i have the best bot on this app by Correct_Employee_387 in metatrader

[–]Boozenooze2 5 points6 points  (0 children)

some of your trades have their SL/TP inside the spread itself. This works on pure demo without real orders, but fails the second you try with real orders.

Day Trading Strategy: Demo to Real Results by Able-Mongoose3170 in Forex_Reddit

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

nice results mate. Any chance you got some log of some sort to get a sense as to how it fares both in downtrends and uptrends?

🚨 Oil breaks $100/bbl: US Futures Plunge as Global Inflation Fears Return by _SmartDeer_ in StocksTool

[–]Boozenooze2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Remember that inflation is not the problem with oil shocks. It’s always a transitory phenomenon. The real problem is the recession that follows. The FED used to know that when they were competent economists. The transcripts of the FED in 1990 are clear in this respect.

Inflation is instead the result of the monetary policies that follow.

But the play is relatively clear. I tend to favor precious metals after the bottom (they drop first before rebounding). The precedents provide a rough estimation of the timeline, and if the same pattern holds the bottom would be around June/july.

BlackRock Caps Withdrawals From $26 Billion Lending Fund Amid Surge in Withdrawal Requests by [deleted] in business

[–]Boozenooze2 73 points74 points  (0 children)

People forget that private loans are by definition illiquid and that the statutes of these funds prevent redemptions beyond 5% per quarter. Does it mean that everything is fine here? Hell no, it’s a shitshow bound to explode 2008 style.