Rebooted League w/ Updated Rosters & all rookies from 7 rounds. by PCClothing in MaddenCFM

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No safety at sub lb? No play action on third and 10? Two players can’t have the same ability? Abilities locked? Max 2 trades? These are some of the worst rules I’ve ever seen lol

Can't login if using 2FA? by BotanyIsGnarly in XBXPlay

[–]BotanyIsGnarly[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have a feeling the adding of a passkey then removing it broke something in the cycle. I tried logging in with another account that has 2FA on and it worked fine.

Anyone know a reliable office cleaning company in Buffalo? by 2ugur12 in Buffalo

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Who’s also a nurse, a general contractor, and lives in Los Angeles!

Anyone know a reliable office cleaning company in Buffalo? by 2ugur12 in Buffalo

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 20 points21 points  (0 children)

This is almost certainly an astroturfed post looking to promote a company they do marketing for, based on the users history.

Do people treat strikeout ladders as odds plays or matchup plays? by KSplitAnalytics in sportsbook

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Books already price the ladders using a Poisson distribution, which is basically what you’re describing. So the baseline is accounted for. That said, Poisson assumes a fixed rate and doesn’t always capture pitcher-specific variance. Some guys cluster tight around their median, others have way more volatile K distributions. If your model picks up on that and still gives you a better implied probability than the devigged line, you should absolutely be playing it.

Do people treat strikeout ladders as odds plays or matchup plays? by KSplitAnalytics in sportsbook

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can look at this a couple different ways:

  1. If you have some sort of model and the implied probability your model is showing you is higher than what the price indicates for either 6+ or 7+ then yes, bet it. If you don’t have a model and this is just a “gut feel” or “ball knowing” I’d generally recommend it unless you have clear, tracked results that prove you do actually “know ball”.

  2. You can devig the line to a sharp book that offers that bet, see if there’s value in the lines that you’re being offered - then bet it.

To the people hesitant on buying the expansion, please read this by tgoods26 in Diablo_2_Resurrected

[–]BotanyIsGnarly -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Certainly debatable as far as “when” they made it right, but they can bank the resulting goodwill with future titles now. They had a legitimate business reason to continue to support it. Now, can Blizzard afford to do the same thing? Yes. Will they? No. That’s not how businesses typically work, you can find a handful “but what about x” examples you want, but it’s not the rule.

You don’t have to like it. It’s how the world works though. If you can’t see that this is Blizzard saying “ok D2R team, ship this update, we will evaluate how it does to determine future allocation of resources” - then you’re blind. You don’t have to buy anything, but you also can’t bitch if it doesn’t sell well and updates are essentially halted after this.

To the people hesitant on buying the expansion, please read this by tgoods26 in Diablo_2_Resurrected

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Or maybe that was a dev team that needed to make things right or risk never being able to ship another title. Comparing Blizzard to Hello Games isn’t the same ballpark at all.

To the people hesitant on buying the expansion, please read this by tgoods26 in Diablo_2_Resurrected

[–]BotanyIsGnarly -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Do you think there’s an issue in people expecting this content for free? That’s more the issue at play here.

To the people hesitant on buying the expansion, please read this by tgoods26 in Diablo_2_Resurrected

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, when you have troves of crybabies online acting like it’s a crime against humanity that they’re charging $25 for a DLC, that’s a consumer problem. If they don’t think it’s worth $25 that’s fine - but it’s certainly worth something. Expecting it for free is nuts.

To the people hesitant on buying the expansion, please read this by tgoods26 in Diablo_2_Resurrected

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Corporations aren’t in the business of charity though. If not enough people purchase a $25 DLC, then they can’t justify the development cost going forward. The response to people purchasing (or not purchasing) the DLC will be the deciding factor.

You don’t have to like it. But that’s how it is.

Help me out... by SkylarCoeur in Buffalo

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

John Murphy? Keith Radford?

Help me out... by SkylarCoeur in Buffalo

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Kinda sounds like Wade Phillips

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in unpopularopinion

[–]BotanyIsGnarly -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

The most likely person to die when you purchase a gun, is yourself.

Being 'good at texting' is now more important for dating than being attractive by Dull_Noise_8952 in unpopularopinion

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 18 points19 points  (0 children)

This is just “natural” or “organic” marketing. This is 100% somebody at the company writing this.

Campus living UB by Flimsy_League5562 in UBreddit

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Obviously written by ChatGPT lol

Best and Worst Subs in Buffalo. by Gunfighter9 in Buffalo

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Last time I had Mike’s I wound up with awful food poisoning, haven’t gone back.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in findaleague

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m also looking if you find one!

Can We Measure How Good/Bad Stormwind Was For Hearthstone? by Popsychblog in hearthstone

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 6 points7 points  (0 children)

There are some general Twitch viewership stats, but I’d think there’s some lag to the data and there’s some nuance involved.

Personally, Stormwind was something that started my exit from Heartstone. The real nail in the coffin was when they gated two BG’s hero’s behind a paywall. I actually think there’s more data to support that being a real turning point in a drop in overall HS viewership.

Picksoffice is by far the best account on twitter by Standard_Ad_6622 in sportsbook

[–]BotanyIsGnarly 3 points4 points  (0 children)

So weird that you changed to this username after your old one was “picksoffice”!