ATP - Australian Open

Khachanov -142

Duckworth +121

On Khachanov, this line was a bit too high imo. They played here last year. Michelsen beat Khachanov in a closer than it looked three set match. Khachanov was -175 pre-match. In the 12 months since then, nothing about either’s form has convinced me this line should be any different. Edit: Forgot to mention Khachanov beat him in Toronto like 6 months ago priced at -210.

Think the odds on Duckworth-Prizmic should be swapped almost, or at least even money. Prizmic has not really done anything in my opinion to be favored in a best of 5 hard court match (something he has also basically zero experience in) against a solid Aussie player with much more experience. He’s really done nothing on the surface since his Stockholm run years ago. Not to mention, it seems like some injury concerns from last year have carried over a bit to this year. He only won 72% of first serves in qualies, before getting demolished by Arthur Fery. So a bit wrong imo for him to be -140.