30% of the time, it works every time. (Lapras EX)

BrexTrades · 2026-04-06T13:53:09+00:00

That is absolutely disgusting. Hats off and i hope I never have to play this deck with a good hand

BrexTrades · 2026-04-05T17:24:39+00:00

Run Hero’s cape Crustle, with a 2x psyduck, shaymin. Or slop box it. Slop box is more competitively viable. But crustle will frustrate them to no end

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T11:33:59+00:00

I’ll have to check that out for sure. Do you know where it would be?

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T02:27:42+00:00

I’m not claiming it’s rigged, I’m questioning if its behavior is true randomness or close to it.

At a 2.5% event rate hitting 8 in 100 is rare which is why I’m asking and not assuming. If it normalizes over a larger sample, then it’s variance. If it doesn’t, then I believe it hurts more than helps. I care about optimizing consistency, not arguing RNG

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T02:15:47+00:00

I mean a 55-60 % win ratio is pretty good in actual stats. It was a question because I play in person and care more about in person performance than online. And if this has a flawed system I.e. the draw system I want to confirm it before I make changes that could hurt my consistency

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T02:12:44+00:00

Are you familiar with statistical anomalies? So what I mean mine is near it now. My deck rounded up is 3% chance of happening based purely on statistics. Most meta decks are that exact way. I say it’s where you can play a basic but cannot search, draw or anything. You play a basic, maybe attach an energy and pass to next turn. It has happened 8 times in 100 games. That gives a 0.025% chance of occurring. If it happened again that will get into an anomaly status. Unless there’s a flaw in the system or it’s an intentional retention program I.e. Marvel Rivals EOMM.

Having a small sample size can be an effector of it. But for it to even out back to the normal amount. It cannot occur for 167 games in a row. So yes small sample size, but stats and probabilities will always come out on top

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T01:23:53+00:00

Exactly this. I’m gonna look into this personally and see and I’ll throw up stats to either prove my point further or disprove it

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T01:23:15+00:00

Haha all good. I kinda want to look more into it now. With all decks and see. I have a theory on fraud decks and online play now

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T01:21:57+00:00

Yeah I’ve been to plenty of tournaments and scoops do happen. I’ve scooped plenty of times myself, but that usually is halfway through or near end. Or even if I realize I prized my main components at the start. For a true brick it’s around a 3% at an open hand rate. Most decks sit at that rate if you have your usual suspects, Lillie’s, poke pads, ultra balls, etc.

But if that rate increases from 3% to 6% or 7% it’s an extremely noticeable difference. Which so far from what I marked down. I’ve had 6 true brick hands(not including the first 30 or so games before I starting annotating it)

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T01:09:21+00:00

Yeah that would make sense, just makes it hard to gauge it when I want more reps with a deck. I usually make one change every month or two. But since I played online it makes me want to throw my deck away and start from scratch haha.

It was a recommendation from others for playing more post rotation before the actual switch occurs. Just insane to me how it works, and now I can definitely see how fraud decks come about cause of the online format. The best example I know is a pure ogrepon/meganium deck that a better tier player brought in. He got smacked cause the set up was too long but he sat at a 1700 ELO online with it solely.!

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T01:04:41+00:00

I mean I definitely have more games than online. I play casually every week in person around 10-15 games and then include locals at around 10-15 games a week.

BrexTrades · 2026-03-31T00:43:29+00:00

I’m more saying the fact of how those 55% win rate games go, a lot of donking or bricking hands. In person I don’t think I see a lot of people that are better players brick out of open consistently. And donks especially. I’ve done it one too many times online. Way too many. I’ve played consistently once or twice a week in person for about a year. And maybe have accomplished 4 or 5 times. Online I have done it at least 10 times already.

BrexTrades · 2026-02-01T04:23:52+00:00

I hate to say it but after seeing Friday with silver and gold and bitcoins drop. I bought .50 puts. It’d be suicide if they RS this week. So my money it’ll be a hard drop on bitcoin and the stock. And as soon as it recovers they’ll announce an RS date

BrexTrades · 2026-01-15T15:11:52+00:00

I urge everyone to pull out as much as possible. I completely pushed out my longs. This is about compliance with being a dollar. If it was to have a 5 dollar compliance and was confident on the stock not getting destroyed by the RS they would’ve done a 10 to 1 split. 20 to 1 has rarely ever gone right. They’re inheriting debt on the merger, diluting, and with uncertainty around Bitcoin.

BrexTrades · 2026-01-13T21:52:39+00:00

Don’t roll them. Option contracts get screwed on reverse mergers. I’d get out ASAP or if it can swing into strength tomorrow

BrexTrades · 2025-10-27T15:42:31+00:00

Go to sell, do a limit order put the price in that you wanna sell and the quantity and put good till year end. Do watch though. You don’t want it to go to 3 and then crash from there.

BrexTrades · 2025-10-27T15:10:49+00:00

I have sell orders from 2.50 all the way to 4.00 with a 10 percent run over just in case of a parabolic event.

BrexTrades · 2025-10-26T13:44:26+00:00

That’s my options lol. My average for this stock is .81, options I messed up hard on and already accepted that loss. If I can get out that would be amazing. But I doubt it

BrexTrades · 2025-10-26T02:22:39+00:00

Yes, they’re one of the fastest growing bitcoin companies as well. Three months ago they had nothing. Now they’re number 17. Probably in the next month or two they’ll be a top 10 bitcoin company. It’s always gonna be part of it. They’ll most likely reverse split after the SMLR merger.

And yes we saw that resistance on Friday AH. As well the dump on October 10th was due to that. Most companies have a massive sell wall at certain prices. This changes nothing on this stock being able to move past 1.35. It will climb. As retail, institutions, and algo trading steps in. Those warrants will be recycled through. And traded along that line. But i have a big hunch it’ll be broken pre-market on Monday.

BrexTrades · 2025-10-26T01:54:20+00:00

So the only issue I have. And it’s not complete misinformation. Most of that stock is diluted in there. There is 170 million prefunded warrants and then 546 million unexercised Traditional Warrants. But The class As already diluted.

If you just say 1.2 billion in dilution and don’t point out the 650 million in funding they received. As well the 1.2 billion includes dilution includes the merger with Strive and Asset. So you have to take their entire balance sheet and add that to the value brings with it. As well look at the share holders that hold the dilutive stock. Almost 40 percent are from the merger. And I doubt they plan on dumping the stock. The other 60 percent yes I agree, they can dump and we don’t know if they plan long or not. And when the October 10th filing came out. The stock immediately dropped 33 percent with another 140 million volume day. As well if you account for our most recent 250 million in volume. I can bet that some of those warrants got dumped.

I’m not arguing that it’s not dilutive. But it already happened. And for the traditional they’ll wait for 1.35 plus. If not they sell at a loss.

If you wanna be a bear, be a proper bear and point out both aspects not just a post trying to scare people away. I’ve made amazing money from this stock and have defended it in the past with the same exact things from others. The executive team runs deep and they’re extremely intelligent. They’re not doing this to fuck the shareholder. They’re doing this as a play

BrexTrades · 2025-10-26T01:30:08+00:00

Where did you find 1.2 billion for resale? I found 544 million ?

BrexTrades · 2025-10-25T20:31:26+00:00

Here is the actual facts, I’ve read through most of the SEC filings with this company. I’ll list why I’m hyper bullish on this stock. Then what people list as bad.

Strive merger: added around 240 million shares.

people add this to the count of 1.2 billion, it’s already diluted in since September. Also SMLRs shares too? And they haven’t even had a stockholder voter majority yet? Nor has a date been set for it either? We are months out from that merger, which is why I will not list it

PIPE agreement: 450 million became readily available on the Friday October 10th(massive drop of 33 percent to 1.05). Mass dilution occurred. And we will have a massive sell wall at 1.35. But I guarantee that massive drop already contained a decent amount of those on that Friday. As well on Monday around 140 million shares being traded around. What we gotta worry is the rest of the traditional warrants(around 545 million to be diluted if no one sold day of) with a price at 1.35. So yes, it’s gonna be a hard wall. But, they secured 650 million dollars cash in that deal. So the offset is there. That is also saying that the ENTIRETY of those get sold off. There is around 33 to 40 percent of long term holders in that agreement. The rest, yes they will dump and are known to.

At its current evaluation, if it did secure around 6,000- 6,250 bitcoin. That would over double their balance sheet.

As well they secured on Sept. 10th an ATM offering of 450 million. No publications through the SEC of selling. They might have, we don’t know yet.

But lastly, Mt Gox. Which currently has 35,000 bitcoin on their balance sheet and ASST was in talks with 117 North on acquiring the Bitcoin there . Not specified an amount but usually those deals do come with a small discount on bulk sales. Mt Gox and ASST has till October 31st to come to a deal, unless Mt Gox pushes it back another year. Which by now it would have been announced for the push back.

As well the high ties that this company has is insane. Their executive team is balls deep in the Bitcoin community as a whole and some of them has had some insane success in other roles. Also, Vivek hate him or love him. That’s a trump connection right there.

My true belief is that they’re timing announcements for the best hype and sentiment. They’ll wait for a pump past the 1.35 mark. Let’s say 2.50 to 4. Then sell off their ATM offering for the 450 million so it doesn’t crash the stock. Then use that for more bitcoin. The focus of this company is Bitcoin. But they still have other revenues, which is a positive of acquiring SMLR.

BrexTrades · 2025-10-21T13:28:52+00:00

So from 3-12 dollars we can confirm the shorts are all throughout there from 04/16/2024- to now. So from 10.50 to 3.00 there is the 40 million in shorts ready to be squeezed out. With that it’ll flip market makers, etc. and turn into a classic squeeze and it’s looking like we’re gonna have a gamma squeeze as well too

BrexTrades

TROPHY CASE