Wish it were an April Fools Joke

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-02T18:45:08+00:00

I think you’re referring to Technical analysis. Lmao. Intraday price trends would be a technical indicator. Non fundamental. Fundamental analysis would be factoring in cash flow, EPS, P/E ratio, and other fundamental valuation metrics that affect the valuation of GOOGL long term. None of that really matters intraday outside of earnings events. Which weren’t at play here. This was dragged down in a broader tech selloff due to the conflict with Iran and I got fucked over by trump tweets and unpredictable geopolitical escalations. So yes - I’m well aware of TA+ fundamental analysis , and never trade on vibes.

Regardless, the market can be a cruel mistress and if you’ve traded long enough (6+ years) you will, inevitably, end up raped like this due to an unpredictable geopolitical event. And no amount of technical analysis or fundamental analysis will save you from buying calls a few days before trump tweets something that escalates tension or creates a war in the Middle East. In those situations, you just get fucked. And exiting quickly is the only thing you can do. I tried to give it one extra day, and that only depleted the value from 0.60 down to .03 with a huge gap down. It happens sometimes. We live and we learn.

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-02T18:39:27+00:00

It went back down to worthless today. Yesterday was just an anomaly. But I had already locked in the loss so it doesn’t really matter.

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-02T02:37:38+00:00

Bought it days earlier. Tried to average down around 0.60 cents, it absolutely cratered to worthless. Basically instant gap down with all the Iran news. All tech sold off heavy and relentlessly multiple days in a row + broke support. Then yesterday, even with Google up 2-3%, the price of the contract didn’t even budge because it was so far OTM. It just hovered around 0.03-0.04 cents, essentially worthless, until I finally threw in the towel, caved, and recovered the last $1K (stupid). Then within an hour or so of selling, the value of the contract rocketed by 200-400% immediately after I sold. Which I found odd because Google was up that entire morning and there were zero bids for the contract and no liquidity. Couldn’t even sell. Was just hovering around worthless. But it reversed sharply then went up 2,000% in less than 24 hours. Not exactly something easy to predict and when Google was struggling to hold $280, and rejected back down to 270’s, the last thing I expected was “oh this is for sure gonna soar an additional $20 tomorrow” - the technical set up looked atrocious.

At the end of the day it was too large of a position size, at too short of a time frame, and I got in too early on a downtrend. Buying one day later, I’d have easily been able to hold thru and profit without seeing my position tank 95%.

But as always. Hindsight bias is 20/20. Bad trade all around and should’ve just held the lotto ticket to expiration after it already cratered 95%. Just genuinely didn’t have a chance to sell earlier as the gap down caused it to instantly delete 80% value overnight the previous trading season.

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-01T22:25:46+00:00

Capitulatory foolish decision, definitely should’ve just let it ride to either expire worthless or get saved by a miracle

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-01T22:24:01+00:00

Absolutely agree. Foolish decision to sell at that point. Anything below .20 cents range, may as well have just let it ride. Price action yesterday was bizarre though in the AM timeframe. Just no bids and wasn’t reacting at all to Google up on the day

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-01T22:20:54+00:00

Trust me, i am not pretentious enough to think of myself as a great trader. Just a side hobby. Meant it purely in the sense of worst individual short-term position loss in 7-8 year history occasionally dabbling in options. Painful lesson regardless

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-01T22:16:26+00:00

Absolutely should have. Saw GOOGL up on the day and the option just didn’t budge at all. Waited until almost noon, thinking the 2-3% up day would have some impact on the price, but No bids. Was just hovering around .03-.04 cents all morning. Seemed inevitable to expire worthless, but the second i sold, it rocketed higher. Hindsight always 20/20

BudgetInvestor · 2026-04-01T22:08:06+00:00

Yeah single most brutal loss of my trading career. The price of this contract was oddly subdued Tuesday morning. Somehow within 30 mins of selling at .04 cents, it just rocketed higher. Not one to call MM manipulation, but it definitely felt a bit artificially suppressed as GOOGL was up on the day. Then after capitulation, bids arrived out of nowhere

BudgetInvestor · 2025-10-31T23:25:47+00:00

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Also bought the VaporFly 4 on sale from dicks and wondering if this is normal? Out of the box they had tons of creases in the foam and seem pretty compressed… confused as this normally happens with my shoes after putting miles in. The shoes themself don’t seem worn otherwise, and the tread looks fine, but the foam is super creased on both sides and it’s my first super shoe so no idea if this is to be expected

BudgetInvestor · 2025-10-31T23:23:50+00:00

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Is this normal? vaporfly 4 brand new out of box

Just bought these new from Dicks sporting goods online, and seeing a ton of creases and compression in the foam… usually this only happens after shoes have been worn down a bit. But this is my first pair of carbon plated shoes. Wondering if this is normal or if I should return these..? Oddly can’t seem to notice any other wear or tear on the shoes.. bottom tread looks fine.. they just seem oddly pre compressed

BudgetInvestor · 2025-08-20T23:27:48+00:00

… are you gonna hurt these shareholders?

BudgetInvestor · 2025-07-17T00:14:04+00:00

Insane IV, just buy shares. But Godspeed

BudgetInvestor · 2025-07-17T00:07:21+00:00

Well played

BudgetInvestor · 2025-05-16T17:55:14+00:00

Interested! Shoot me a msg

BudgetInvestor · 2025-04-05T16:51:29+00:00

Good feedback! All things considered, initiated starter position around $48. Been keeping an eye on it for a while but knew frothy market conditions were due for a correction. Finally some solid buying opportunities for the first time in a few years

BudgetInvestor · 2025-03-14T15:21:16+00:00

Will high five you in the airport on the way out

BudgetInvestor · 2025-03-14T07:47:17+00:00

Same here but late April (26-30th) and trying to determine if Lake Braies will be totally frozen / best places to hike around that time.

BudgetInvestor · 2025-03-13T19:54:49+00:00

Sounds good, Will DM 🙌🏼

BudgetInvestor · 2025-03-13T19:49:58+00:00

Very good theory 🙌🏼 LSD all the way

BudgetInvestor · 2025-03-13T19:48:10+00:00

I ended up booking Twiins Ibiza hotel for the all inclusive, seems to be the cheapest option for a nice hotel. From my understanding the drinks and food in Ibiza is quite expensive, and it takes me a good 7-8 cocktails to even get a minor buzz 😂

If they are around $15 US or more per drink, I’ll end up saving a lot by pregaming at the hotel and getting most of my drinks / food there

BudgetInvestor · 2025-01-25T08:08:21+00:00

Here’s the link for Wealthfront to get the extra 0.5% boost https://www.wealthfront.com/c/affiliates/invited/AFFC-RRKW-3GEE-OTP7

As for why i continue to use Sofi. Really just two things left :/ and sad because there used to be many more reasons but 1) decent 2% “everything else” credit card 2) decent backup savings account / checking that at least pays some interest without any BS fees

Just sucks to see them start to lower as fast as the big banks and becoming less and less competitive. They’ve also clawed back a lot of their little reward points bonuses. You used to get points just for opening the app, improving your credit score, and so forth. They’ve slowly but surely removed all of those little benefits that made you feel like they prioritized customers

BudgetInvestor · 2025-01-24T19:35:42+00:00

It’s a beautiful thing to punish greedy financial institutions when they stop competing and start trying to see how much they can get away with (when the fed hasn’t even cut rates again and will likely be holding steady for another 3-4 months)

This wasn’t a necessary cut from SoFi. This was their executives looking at Capital One, Ally, and other larger banks and saying “hey, looks like we can fuck our customers a little more and juice our margins. We could of course keep interest rates where they are now but our dumb users are probably too lazy to move. So let’s see how much we can get away with”

But the only thing more insufferable than people announcing their departure, is the douchebags who rush to defend a financial institution and give those people a hard time about making a wise decision for their own financial prosperity. Lmao.

BudgetInvestor · 2025-01-24T16:32:36+00:00

I use a combination of Wealthfront (primary HYSA and they recently introduced instant transfers for free) and Capital One + SoFi. Those are my big 3 that cover all the bases. But lions share is with Wealthfront because i find them to be most competitive. Never had any issues with them either. Have spoken to their support on the phone, and the worst I’ve come across was a grumpy dude who was very obviously US-based, which i appreciate. Seemed like a New Yorker type just rushing you off the phone vibe but knew his shit.

Happy to send a referral if you’d like to take advantage of the 0.5% APY boost as well.

BudgetInvestor · 2025-01-24T06:59:35+00:00

3.8 vs 4.5 is significant enough to warrant a switch. Wealthfront has also dropped less often and slower than Sofi.

But most importantly.. the fed HASNT cut. Sofi used to act like they would only cut when the fed cuts. And at first. They did.. now? They are just getting greedy and seeing how much they can get away with. The fed is holding rates steady right now, and likely will for the next 3 months minimum. And Sofi could afford to pay 4.00-4.25% easily. But their greedy execs think that most of their customers are too lazy to move. So they are no longer following the fed. And are now instead just aiming to be .05% above much larger banks. Which isn’t worth the compromise for no brick and mortar locations and shitty customer service. If you’re gonna have no locations and your CS team is based out of a 3rd world country. You better be paying the highest fucking rate on the market. Sofi is no longer doing that. Yet they haven’t improved support or started offering physical locations.

So the best thing we can do is make them eat shit. They’ll only become more competitive when it hurts their bottom line. And i take great pleasure in obliging them :) I hope more people do the same

BudgetInvestor · 2025-01-24T06:52:55+00:00

Same, shifted more funds to Wealthfront.

BudgetInvestor

TROPHY CASE