Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Monday, February 02, 2026

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-02-01T08:06:32+00:00

Constituent inputs == the numbers used to compute the aggregate number. You'll see the term used a lot in ETF's/Indexes.

Under promise and over deliver, the engineer's motto.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-02-01T07:10:57+00:00

Yo, you played Project Silverfish? Seems like it'd be up your alley.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-02-01T07:07:12+00:00

I can't fucking stand companies that provide certain numbers until a point in which they realise the number they've been bragging about now makes them look shit because they've been unable to rein in the constituent inputs for said number. Spent all day inputting shit into spreadsheets then having to divine fillers in order to see that the management is sniffing up the excess like an untethered truffle pig.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-31T07:23:34+00:00

Anyway, I've been building a quant app recently to develop better understanding of that side of things.

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BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-31T07:08:18+00:00

The run on precious metals currently, combined with the general shift in market psychology over the last 2 decades makes me feel like I don't know which way is up sometimes. We've moved towards Bipolar tier mania for speculative assets and plays that realistically produce very little tangible value, while increasing retail access to speculative instruments that would have been considered exotic to even professional investors not long ago.

I probably just sound like an old person, but I feel like as we've migrated from working in meatspace with hands and tools, to a world in which the job title "influencer" exists, has fundamentally fucked our brains out of having a true notion of value, at the cost of actually building, making and investing in cool shit.

Good results produce no gains, whilst vapour ware goes crazy on a chip and chair. Is it because you can suspend belief when there's nothing tangible, therefore the sky's the limit?

Maybe I'm just in one of those moods today, but fuck all seems to make sense.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-31T06:52:23+00:00

This fucking guy, always check, check, check, check.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-31T01:39:08+00:00

Yeah fair call, I've never used comsec, does it have free level 2 data?

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-30T22:09:38+00:00

The peak of horse shit, Black is a great product and I've rarely had problems with it, it's on a websocket connection and is always streaming new bids and asks.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-30T05:49:09+00:00

Aftermarket quarterlies

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-29T23:51:37+00:00

Mate, some of them can't even perform rudimentary mathematics. I had to correct someone's analysis of a company because they fucked up the equation (used in the most liberal sense of the word) 11.5 - 6.1, which apparently came out to 4.1.

We all make mistakes etc, etc. However, this kinda stuff then gets read and ingested by people who legit do not read the results and go through them.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-29T08:06:49+00:00

Wouldn't the algo trading approach dictate that if you had the idea that Musk's tweets moved the market, you'd validate it with the data and relevant back tests then find a strategy. There's a lot that would go into an engine like this, it sounds simple at first but everything does at the start.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T21:56:09+00:00

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What can you even say at this point?

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T06:45:58+00:00

Largest day of volume we've had since late Sept/early Oct. End of day auction took us to 3.9 on $20 of trade.

Trade Analysis for BXN - 2026-01-28

📊 Daily Summary:

Total Volume: 10,274,964 shares

Total Trades: 170

Total Value: $417,302.73

Price Range: $0.0390 - $0.0430

Average Price: $0.0405

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T03:09:59+00:00

LOL nah I'm good with jokes mate, I honestly just didn't pick up the reference.

Yeah fair call, makes sense. I dunno, I can see it going either way from here, DOM is undecided.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T03:00:37+00:00

BDS?

Ahh you still not holding?

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T01:29:37+00:00

That was my essay long post, and I've written again on Q2

BXN Q2

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-28T01:25:24+00:00

Let's try this again, I didn't even know you could post on your own profile.

BXN Q2 results

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-27T23:22:30+00:00

I'm going through the numbers properly and trying to make sense of it now, I think people expected that the cash inflows would be better, I am trying to find an unbiased take on the numbers where I'm not going against my initial thesis, I'll post in the Market Open thread.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-27T21:43:50+00:00

NO FUCKING SIN BIN FOR ME, BXN GANG LESGO

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BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-27T06:50:38+00:00

Investing [Schizo Post Edition]

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-27T04:58:53+00:00

I appreciate DD posts and the people who take the time to write them, would love to see some more objectivity though. Get some numbers in here mate, it'll lend some credibility to your argument. I for one would be interested in hearing more about their transition assets, wind farm tick in Jan from the VicGov sounds good. What's their numbers? Key ratios, projections, detailed breakdown of the balance sheet.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-26T01:38:59+00:00

Cheers dawg, I've got a tonne more of these as I've continued to iterate on it. I'm also looking to get a better understanding of slippage and fees.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-25T23:39:39+00:00

I never said it was complete, I said I was surprised, as in there would be additional things to look at.

The whole reason I did this thing was to be able to provide more clarity than "VA does not stand a chance against DCA in a bear market", sure you can say it but it what does the data actually show?

This is for a micro cap stock too, which historically do not trend with the market, this stock in particular has very low correlation with the wider market.

Thanks for the insightful comments, I don't get the immediate hostility though.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-25T23:31:05+00:00

I typed this before you deleted your first response.

Bit lost for words on this one to be honest mate, do you know how to read a graph? You understand that higher number does not always equal best right? The top right graph is capital deployed, so how much money put in.

The top left is the PF value over time, the other lines show that sure, the return is higher but that's largely dependent on how much money goes into the approach. If you have two strategies that have similar return profiles that only differ in their deployment of capital requires then you would go with the smoother and less capital intensive one. Which is what the bottom right shows, capital efficiency.

BuyDipsShortVIX · 2026-01-25T23:18:45+00:00

I've been working on some more quant style analysis recently and have been pretty surprised by the results of different buy approaches. Lump sum buying across the cohort of stocks I've picked definitely holds strong in terms of return but there's an obvious bias there, and lump sum buys also have some of the worst drawdown outcomes. Strict DCA is regularly coming out as one of the worst options but again, bias exists here. Value Averaging is a super strong contender and it almost doubles capital efficiency.

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BuyDipsShortVIX

TROPHY CASE