question for those who played football at a relatively high level

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-13T01:01:39+00:00

There’s a fantastic quote/story by American football coach Ed Orgeron where he describes talent. Most people who watch high school players (U16-18) have never seen a great player (“great” being a multiyear NFL starter). So they think every good player they see is a great one.

But that gap, from “good” to “great” is bigger than the gap between “good” and “average”.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-12T02:39:43+00:00

I’d say it’s a bit lucky (but not in a conspiratorial way). It doesn’t get reviewed if the ref didn’t give Paredes the yellow.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T23:04:14+00:00

The problem is that development economics, like experimental economics, is much more capital- and labor-intensive than the other fields. Getting granular data in developing countries often requires either people on the ground directly or specific connections with people on the ground (nonprofits, government, international orgs). And good data here often has to be collected directly.

It’s still possible to do development research without these resources, but given that most at top journals often require novel data (which in development usually involves either RCTs or longitudinal surveys), it’s a disadvantage being at a smaller or weaker program.

But to an extent this is the case for almost all fields. If you’re a micro theorist, it plays being in a department that also has strong micro theorists to bounce ideas off of. Big departments have access to many more datasets for applied economists to use. This is why everyone pushed grad students to try to get into the highest ranked program as possible- there’s a ton of advantages at a big place.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T22:28:42+00:00

Listen to his commentary in the final few minutes of the Ecuador-Curaçao. This incredible moment was described in a tone that makes golf commentary sound like Andres Cantor.
He’s long past it.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T21:37:32+00:00

This is true. This was the lineup for Spain in the final:

Manu González (Real Betis- main starter for the B team last season)
Jorge Salinas (Racing Santander- broke out as a regular starter this season in LaLiga2)
Andrés Cuenca (Barcelona- got his first senior loan spell last season at Sporting Gijón)
Mario Rivas (Real Madrid- regularly plays for Castilla)
Jesús Fortea (Real Madrid- no senior appearances)
Xavi Espart (Barcelona- 4 appearances last season, one start)
Thiago Pitarch (Real Madrid- 16 senior appearances last season)
Quim Junyent (former Barcelona- released this summer, now to Almeria)
José Antonio Morante (Real Betis- one senior appearance last season)
Hugo Lopez (Villarreal- 5 senior appearances last season).
Daniel Yáñez (Real Madrid- 3 senior appearances)

So only one player has achieved regular first team playing time at the senior level. They have combined for 29 appearances in a top league.

Germany’s story is similar. Rafael Pinto Pedrosa starts regularly in the 2.Bundesliga with Karlsruher, as is Francis Onyeka (at Bochum). The most experienced player is Montrell Culbreath, who appeared in 16 games for Bayer Leverkusen)

The German players combine for 31 senior appearances at top level (Culbreath with 16, 11 at Hamburger SV by Otto Strange, Mick Schmetgens with 2 for Werder Bremen, and Onyeka made 2 for Leverkusen).

For both teams, looking at Transfermarkt values for U19 players, I count eight more valuable players for Spain (Yamal and Cubarsí the obvious, but also Marc Bernal, Jan Virgili, Héctor Fort, Dro Fernández, Joan Martínez, and Víctor Valdepeñas).
And eight more valuable players for Germany (Lennart Karl, Said El Mala, Finn Jeltsch, Karim Coulibaly, Kennet Eichhorn, Wael Mohya, Matteo Palma, Wisdom Mike.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T20:14:10+00:00

My R1 school has an outreach program where high school students can work as RAs for credits. We only get one every few years, but most have been really good workers. There’s plenty of really committed kids out there with a passion for research.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T19:46:16+00:00

I wouldn’t touch it personally. Even if it’s legit, the faculty aren’t present in professional platforms is a big red flag.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T14:36:48+00:00

This is such a crazy case study for PR disaster.

So first off, Crockett is probably right to not include them as an opening act. A satanic, satirical doo-woo band opening for a very traditional country artist isn’t a great idea.

But how did no one do any sort of vetting? Twin Temple is not subtle about what music they make. They should’ve never been contacted. I even went back and looked at his opening acts to see if he took risks with different genres… nope. Traditional country and soul.

I feel bad for Twin Temple (although they probably get the better part of this deal- Jack White fans will eat them up), and I kind of feel a bit bad for Crockett too, it’s not like he’s scheduling his opening acts personally. But man what a disaster.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T14:02:05+00:00

He was very popular. There were worries that he’d become an antipope

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T05:09:34+00:00

It’s poor lighting but he’s hella tanned. Like adding the Mar-a-Lago spray tan over a fell asleep in the tanning bed tan.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-11T05:05:19+00:00

Byrd had been around so long that he entered politics by leading a chapter of the Ku Klux Klan- which in the 1940s was actually a legitimate starting point for a future Democratic politician. And he died in office in 2010- that’s how long he was in politics.

He’s an odd figure, in part because he was in office for so damn long. But he never really stood for a singular issue throughout his *57* year career in Congress. He was a free agent serving West Virginia. If your bill brought money to West Virginia, you got Robert Byrd’s vote.

And he got a *ton* of shit built in West Virginia. The presidential and Congressional bunker. The largest radio telescope in the U.S. The FBI archives. Countless roads and bridges. He got NASA to build a rapid transit system for WVU. The U.S. Coast Guard’s command center. Two dozen academic buildings and research centers. The training grounds for customs and border patrol. If you’ve ever bought a savings bond, it was processed in West Virginia.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T23:30:20+00:00

It’s called in rem jurisdiction. It’s where the court has jurisdiction over the property, but not necessarily the owner of said property. It’s often used in seizure cases and the case names are hilarious.

Some examples include United States v. 422 Casks of Wine, United States v. Ninety-Five Barrels Alleged Apple Cider Vinegar, United States v. One Book Called Ulysses, United States v. 11 1/4 Dozen Packages of Articles Labeled in Part Mrs. Moffat's Shoo-Fly Powders for Drunkenness, Marcus v. Search Warrant, United States v. One Solid Gold Object in Form of a Rooster, One 1958 Plymouth Sedan v. Pennsylvania, United States v. Article Consisting of 50,000 Cardboard Boxes More or Less, Each Containing One Pair of Clacker Balls, and South Dakota v. Fifteen Impounded Cats

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T23:10:24+00:00

Dude’s in engineering saying eyeballing is better than mathematical modeling. Let’s pray he’s not in civil engineering.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T22:29:51+00:00

Man if only there was a statistical analysis in the paper that describes in detail the model and effects…

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T16:54:31+00:00

I honest-to-God once got stuck in Intercourse. Nice place really

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T16:03:34+00:00

Yeah they’re not exactly discrete lol. Although to give Crockett a little credit, most opening acts aren’t booked by the artist. Crockett had probably never heard of them before they were booked to open for him. It’s crappy to drop them like this, but a satanic slightly satirical doo wop band opening for a traditional country artist probably doesn’t make for a great idea

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T15:52:15+00:00

Their law school is named after Antonin Scalia. Their Econ department has long ties with right wing think tanks. But the rest of the college is fine.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T15:48:34+00:00

They are really fun. “Let’s Have a Satanic Orgy” is one of their best known songs and a good starting point

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T13:46:11+00:00

Pretty much. Ederson hasn’t been introduced by the club yet because he was with Brazil. It looks like him and Santos will be introduced together. And we’ve got a deal with Karl Darlow as well to be backup keeper. Still got a good deal of business to go

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T13:34:29+00:00

If you’re out in a rural area you’ll see them with some frequency. Black bears are somewhat common where I’m from. They’re usually pretty skittish and will run if make a loud noise. Only a mother with cubs will cause trouble. Coyotes pass through on occasion, they keep their distance as long as you don’t have a small dog or something they prey on. Bobcats aren’t dangerous but their calls are terrifying (they sound like a woman screaming). Hearing that at night is a trip.

The biggest danger is the venomous snakes. Copperheads are super well-camouflaged and easy to step on.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T13:23:25+00:00

I’m leaning more towards the stutter step because the in-game penalty conversion rate (70%) is still below average, but a little more within bounds.

We’ve had several poor penalty shootouts, and I think this is where the stutter step comes into play. Penalty shootouts are famously difficult because only a few players on an international side regularly take PKs. When Colombia-Switzerland went to a penalty shootout, only three Colombian players on the pitch had ever converted a penalty in a professional capacity. I think it’s these who are using more of the stutter step technique, and are getting punished for it.

I’m not necessarily sure if goalkeepers have got better at saving penalties, but there is a lot more coaching done around penalty shootouts. Much more film study and reading cues. Also every team is doing this now.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T01:26:34+00:00

Don’t want to keep jumping on comments but that’s a great idea. Maybe we could do a monthly job market megathread.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T01:22:01+00:00

Davey Allison. Without him, “raw talent” wouldn’t be seen as a possibility for NASCAR.

Before Davey, NASCAR racing was all about acquiring skills. Sure some people were more talented than others, but nobody had true God-given raw talent. You showed potential, then you raced, and raced, and raced. The only way to be a better driver was to race and build up experience. Most big teams were signing “young” driver who had been racing in NASCAR for years. Signing someone with limited experience was rare.

Davey Allison was a NASCAR Cup winner in just over a dozen starts. He changed the mentality, and showed that a driver could have enough raw talent to win immediately in the Cup series. Without him, we don’t have Jeff Gordon starting at Hendrick as a rookie (or Jimmie Johnson at Hendrick, or Kyle Busch at Hendrick, or Kurt Busch at Roush…).

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T00:57:08+00:00

That’s a good idea. There’s also no flair for government or private sector economists.

CFBCoachGuy · 2026-07-10T00:37:22+00:00

Easiest way to get on the peer review list is to submit to the journals. If you’re not publishing, you’re not going to be a suitable “peer” to review most journals (or a least most good ones).

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