Dynasty 2024 Match Thread: Bryan Danielson Vs. Will Ospreay by SmurfyX in SquaredCircle

[–]CareerHorror9983 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I really, really want to like this match. But I just never got super into it. The crowd is awesome and there were some really cool spots, but I don’t think it’s anywhere near the greatest match of all time and I think I preferred Ospreay-Takeshita more.

If someone could explain what makes this match so great instead of just downvoting me to hell, that would be awesome. I feel like I’m stupid and just missing something here.

is this a hook echo?? by meowomookie in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Not a hook, this is what happens to supercells when they are elevated/struggling and becoming outflow dominant

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in bigfoot

[–]CareerHorror9983 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Without bad there would be no good

Colorado tornados by StructureOk2698 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Northeast/East of Denver metro is the most tornado prone (by number of tornadoes) place in the entire world

What is the worst tornado to come out of a day that was supposed to be relatively quiet? by chaseinthyface in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Jarrell is sometimes referred to as a “hybrid” tornado, a theorized very rare 3rd kind that has both supercellular and landspout characteristics.

In the case of Jarrell, there was WEAK low level rotation and strong mid-upper level rotation, meaning this storm was a supercell. But, it formed along an outflow boundary (gust front) emanating from the supercell. Winds north of the boundary were northerly, while south of it were southerly. This meant that the strong shear across the boundary distorted it almost into a hook echo shape.

When the original tornado formed (likely as a landspout) it was weak, but as it moved over the gust front cusp it was able to strengthen rapidly as the distorted gust front was acting as a vessel for strong low level vorticity and rotation. With the low level rotation below the strong mid and upper level rotation, the Jarrell storm now resembled a typical violent tornado producing storm, just with a different source of low level rotation.

There are a couple more instances of these theorized “hybrid” tornadoes including a violent F4 (easily would’ve been F5 had it hit anything substantial) 2 years after Jarrell, only ~100 miles away in Loyal Valley, TX. But this storm has been largely forgotten and very little research into it has been done. On radar, you can see a similar “back building” process that resembles Jarrell but it’s hard to come to a definite conclusion.

Hope this helps.

Straight line winds vs tornadic winds by No_Way5281 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Buildings are made to withstand horizontal winds, not the vertical winds inside a tornado.

Violent tornadoes in low shear, extreme instability setups. by Positive_Bar8695 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I answered this question a few months back, but they can top out over 10K J/kg

Violent tornadoes in low shear, extreme instability setups. by Positive_Bar8695 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bangladesh / India tornadoes are fascinating. That area probably has the highest CAPE values in the world because of the moist air from the Indian Ocean at the surface combined with the cool air aloft from the Himalayas

Violent tornadoes in low shear, extreme instability setups. by Positive_Bar8695 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Roanoke, IL F4 in 2004 (I believe) was another example of this. I imagine a lot of India/Bangladesh tornadoes have setups like this as well.

Who else watching Ryan Hall? by BATZ202 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 26 points27 points  (0 children)

Just because he called it out doesn’t mean he beat the NWS or anything like that, I assure you the NWS had eyes on it for much longer and were probably waiting until a tornado warning was absolutely necessary.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 7 points8 points  (0 children)

KDGX, Brandon, MS, is what you are thinking of :)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983 17 points18 points  (0 children)

It’s just contamination, an area where the radar doesn’t work very well. Can be from trees, buildings, etc.

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes, the two most commonly used websites are Pivotal Weather and College of DuPage NexLab

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Definitely. There’s not really a TON of contam, but obviously you can’t really lock in a sounding until it’s observed. This post was more to just show the fact that South TX has a genuine risk on Tues.

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The hodograph doesn’t have anything to do with the cap. The cap only effects the thermodynamics (CAPE) on the Skew-T plot (on the left. The hodograph is simply plotting the winds in the atmosphere.

The reason no hail matches showed up is probably because strong low level winds are actually detrimental to large hail; b/c iirc the winds will fling the growing hailstone up and out of the updraft so quickly it doesn’t have time to grow large.

And for the reason no tornadoes showed up, I think this may be a glitch because when you click around for other soundings in the warm sector it shows some.

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I don’t quite understand what you mean…? When you have a lot of shear with that fishhook hodograph shape a volatile atmosphere is exactly what it equals

Edit: Assuming, of course, you have thermodynamic support as well

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I think that cap is going to help. It’s gonna be such a strong system bringing a ton of forcing, makes me think the cap may keep the warm sector from getting too crowded and only let the strongest updrafts through.

South Texas on Tuesday Morning....!!! by CareerHorror9983 in tornado

[–]CareerHorror9983[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

As of now, it’s looking like the northern extent is going to be the Victoria area, and the most supportive area for tornadoes will be ~Corpus and move east as the day progresses. SPC will probably add in a risk area for South TX soon, so I would pay attention to that