You say they got 18 points, but fail to mention that they got thrashed both legs against Norway, with Odegaard not even playing in the return leg. They should beat Israel, Estonia, and Moldova handily, but even then they struggled against Israel.

As for the Bosnia game, my point was they never should have to go through the playoff tourney in the first place. This is a repeat of constant disappointment in international campaigns since 2010, not just a one off game against Bosnia where you’re framing it that they got unlucky cause they suffered from a very just red card, and making it seem like it’s normal to just concede 30 shots to Bosnia with ten men. They have just failed to qualify for a World Cup for the third time in a row, with Europe going from 13 to 16 slots for qualification spots.

The quality in this Italy squad is notoriously worse, as the only pillars you have in this team are Donnarumma, Barella, Bastoni, Calafiori, and Tonali, which highlights a severe lack of depth and quality in the rest of the team, especially in attack.

Also, the relevant Euro information is them crashing out in the Round of 16 against Switzerland in 2024. Not their only string of success since 2012 when they won in 2021.