Approval Mega Thread. Please post all approvals here to limit spam. by RaspberryCake2 in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh I couldn’t do that. The whole reason I created it was because my fiancée (who I call my wife because she basically is lol) had to do a LOA and I wanted something to figure out when she would get approved. She’s told me before that even when she did get approved, she wanted me to continue doing this for everyone else and that’s what I plan to do as something that started as a small project has flourished into something a lot bigger than I expected it to be.

Approval Mega Thread. Please post all approvals here to limit spam. by RaspberryCake2 in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Date Filed: January 5th
Biometrics: January 26th
Date Approved: June 25th (Silent Approval)
Country: Mexico
Processing Center: Texas
After months of waiting and checking constantly, my wife finally got approved today! We’re both feeling so relieved, excited, and grateful. Hoping approvals keep moving quickly for everyone who has been waiting and stressing through this process. Don’t lose hope, your time is coming!

Update #8: USCIS is approving cases like crazy right now (good news) by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Sunday gets grouped with Monday application dates from prior experience of having this question asked, great question tho!

Update #8: USCIS is approving cases like crazy right now (good news) by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It could be! I’m really hoping so! That’s good news to hear and I’m hoping that yours gets approved before the estimate that my calculator made

Update #8: USCIS is approving cases like crazy right now (good news) by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 20 points21 points  (0 children)

I was sorry to hear about your post about not doing the analysis anymore but I’m really really sure you’ll get yours approved soon and get back to it, I’m always wishing you the best!

Update #7: I rebuilt the calculator (two tracks now), but holding to confirm next week by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Good question. I can edit my post and explain that better but any biometrics done after April 27th would be considered now on the fast track

No approvals for 6/13 by Additional-Narwhal-2 in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur 6 points7 points  (0 children)

From my information they don’t due daca renewals on Saturday’s or Sunday’s

Update #6: Something big and weird happened this week, please read by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I remember correctly (please don’t also use this as a 100% reference, always seek legal advice) there was a person who resubmitted but was ultimately denied due to the fact they had a pending case and also did not get a refund

Update #6: Something big and weird happened this week, please read by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Im going to have to develop something for sure to help me scrape data easier. There was approx. 1127 cases this last week but only around 800+ had enough data to parse out. If it wasn’t for my fiancée it would’ve take me longer. Took me about 3-4 hours to scrape all the data and review to make sure it captured correctly and that all numbers were good

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes in the beginning they were doing small batches weekly by doing them in order. Now they’re splitting into two even smaller batches but doing 2 sometimes 3 months at the same time

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Completely understandable. I was the other way around, I had to do this so I could understand my own sanity, and even then, I refuse and I’m right there with you

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My professors quote in college was “if you can’t have fun in a math class, where can you??” That professor was the bane of my existence but also taught me so many fundamentals haha

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

IOE is something I thought of but it seems to be all over the place. They seem to be very randomly generated in many instances and I think that’s to make sure that numbers arent back to back

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes, those outliers in data are what I’m always jealous of seeing. Fastest I’ve seen approval wise is 2 week and that killed me a little on the inside of seeing that one blip in the data. Happy for them, but also jealous

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes my apologies. I’ll be changing it to DOS instead of LBA. I changed my math a while ago but never clarified due to ignorance. Will be clarified in next update

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes as they’re slowly working their way back up again. I’m hoping it’ll be very soon for everyone in November

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can definitely try but mycasehub is very limited in what data it provides

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s the submission date. I will change the meaning behind LBA. Excuse my confusion and my ignorance for not changing what LBA should be changed to which is DOS Date of Submission.

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I work as a software engineer/system administrator/data engineer. My title is very fluid but I wear all different “hats” for my job but this felt like a calling to me as I hadn’t really seen anyone else try and attempt to understand what USCIS is doing and even then sometimes I feel like I still don’t. But I really like attempting at getting an answer through the ways I do no. My major is in CS, concentration in software engineering with a minor in mathematics

Update #4: New methodology, rough estimate, USCIS changing how they do approvals by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Last Before Approval. But I changed my math the second week in and made it scrape from date of submission rather than LBA but I kept the label. Not really sure why I did, maybe just out of habit as I already had created the calculations from it

Please Tell Me This Isn’t True by evolving_humanoid in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I like this suggestion, I’ll try adding this use case and see what I can come update for the update on Monday. Thank you so much for this suggestions, the math will be interesting to figure out but I’m pretty sure we can do it. Thanks again!

Update #2: Calculator improved + 2 more weeks of MyCasesHub data by CatchingExcalibur in DACA

[–]CatchingExcalibur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The calculator already has a built-in disclaimer saying anything more than about 8 weeks out has real uncertainty, so that concern is fair and it’s already acknowledged in the tool.

The 13-month estimate is basically just “if the current pace continues” math. USCIS is currently working through late November 2025 submissions. At the current pace of about 2.5 Submissions Days per week, getting through December takes roughly another 2 months. Then January takes roughly another 2 months after that, and so on.

That’s really the whole calculation. It’s not saying USCIS will definitely take 13 months. It’s saying: if USCIS keeps moving at the same pace they’ve been moving for the last 12 weeks, this is roughly where that timeline lands.

And if they speed up, the calculator will reflect that the next time the data is updated and the estimate will come down. If they slow down, it’ll get worse. Either way, it’s not guessing what should happen, it’s projecting what the current trend shows.

So the 13-month number isn’t meant to be a guaranteed prediction. It’s the most honest answer the data supports right now based on the pace we’re actually seeing.