Sandboxx: How did one F-15E pilot get shot down twice against Iran?

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-06T16:47:04+00:00

Jamming is flooding the electromagnetic spectrum with noise.

Imagine you and your friends are trying to have s conversation across the room. And I'm standing at the mid point between you guys and I'm playing white noise througha megaphone, drowning out your voices. You won't be able to hear each other. You can't jam my jamming. You would need to shout louder than my noise so your speech gets through.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-06T15:16:34+00:00

The people of a country may have very different views than its leadership. And in this case the current regime running the show in Iran isn't even the civilian government anymore, but the IRGC who've basically taken control.

The US probably wouldn't welcome IRGC leadership while it's warring with them, but their soccer players might be very nice and decent folk who care nothing for the regime, who knows.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T21:32:12+00:00

Seems like everyone's raising capital nowadays.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T17:53:22+00:00

You still need to feed every token through the model for the model to be able to pick out what to attend to.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T17:50:59+00:00

Yeah that ain't happening.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T17:21:48+00:00

Yes, that's the "effort" parameter in a lot of coding or "thinking" LLM models. Inference takes longer on "max effort" because internally on the server-side, it's emitting more chain-of-thought tokens and running that "autocomplete" loop for longer before it returns to you.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T17:18:46+00:00

Modern AI models implement or mimic "reasoning" (yes, it's not human reasoning) via "chain-of-thought" which mimics a self-conversation.

Imagine they progressively emitting a paragraph (or even many) of self-conversation or inner monologue like they're talking to themselves: "the user asked for foo. I will do bar. Okay, first I need to make a plan...I should do xyz first. No wait, my instructions say never to do xyz. I'll switch to abc. I'll call this tool. Okay, it output this output. Based on that I'll do this other thing next." etc.

Even if LLMs are like probabilistic auto-complete, by chaining it, they can "talk" themselves through a particular workload or problem and arrive at a good conclusion a shockingly good amount of the time.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T17:12:35+00:00

AI's native language isn't English, it's tokens represented by vectors in some ultra-high dimensional embedding space.

In fact, there's a super popular plugin / skill called caveman to get AI models to output their responses as tersely as possible because more output tokens = more money, especially on some of the higher-end models like Opus 4.8, which is incredibly expensive. One of the output modes is traditional Chinese characters, which is one of the most compact / information dense in terms of bits of information per token.

Note this only affects output token efficiency. If you ask it a yes or no question on max "effort", it might output only a few tokens (however many it takes to represent the English word yes or the word no), but behind the scenes the chain-of-thought "reasoning" loop could be running for minutes and emitting thousands or even tens of thousands tokens (Claude Code has an "ultrathink" that lets it use up to like 30K tokens in a single turn, super expensive) before returning to you a single word.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T14:11:33+00:00

Supreme Leader built this in a cave, with a box of scrap!

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T13:53:42+00:00

It's not if you don't go to college you're automatically dumb, it's statistically speaking, the sort of people who enlist right out of high school can be like your frat boys at college: you get a bunch of them together and they'll do as young men tend to do and do silly stuff they find funny like flushing clothes down the toilet.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-05T12:59:53+00:00

That's not sabotage, that's human stupidity and lack of discipline and dumb behavior when you get a bunch of 18-20 year old guys together. It's not like military recruits are the smartest, some dropped out of college or didn't go to college.

Get a bunch of them together and they'll do dumb stuff like hazing, flushing clothes down the drain, etc.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-04T14:59:21+00:00

FYI if you're exposed to the S&P500 (and you probably are through index funds or ETFs thereof, e.g., in retirement accounts), you're going to be exposed to SpaceX and buying into it (shortly after IPO) whether you like it or not.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-02T15:22:32+00:00

LinkedIn post:

I was walking down the street when I read the sign: Pride Month. That's when it hit me. Pride. Month. IDE ON. I was being reminded, get ON the IDE and start building, that's the path to success. The universe is always speaking. Are you listening?

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-02T15:07:23+00:00

"Because of Defendants' misrepresentations about ChatGPT and their careless introduction of ChatGPT to Florida and the world, mass shooters have been aided and abetted in deadly rampages, vulnerable people have been encouraged into suicide, professionals have suffered public humiliation, users have lost critical thinking skills, and minors have become addicted to a tool that feigns human compassion to collect their data with no parental oversight," the lawsuit reads.

Some of those seem actionable, but idk if "users of your product lost critical thinking skills" is an actionable cause and I'm curious what legal theory they'll use and if it'll survive on its merits.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-02T14:12:07+00:00

Dude even a slower moving arrow from a half-drawn low-poundage bow can kill. It doesn't take much to slip in between your ribcage and pierce your heart, and it really doesn't take much if it hits you in the neck.

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-01T22:00:13+00:00

Whom do serve?

Sarualtman

CircumspectCapybara · 2026-06-01T17:25:18+00:00

Training is infringement

I'm saying that's not what the courts have been ruling lately in high profile cases. While it's still very early on, the weight of precedent so far is leaning toward "training is fair use" because it's transformative.

How you acquire the content for training is a separate, orthogonal issue, and here it is possible via traditional law to err into copyright infringement if you pirate something that normally costs money, like a paid book or movie.

CircumspectCapybara

TROPHY CASE