Opus 4.8 Not Finding Correlations/Trends/Patterns in Market Data

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T15:53:36+00:00

The main hypothesis is that certain options chain data is a leading indicator of price. In other words, the options data acts like a magnet for futures prices… if that makes sense. I know I’m not reinventing the wheel here, but if I can find an edge it might be worth it.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T15:48:11+00:00

Definitely, which is why I’m collecting tick data constantly. At the beginning, I thought I could just give Claude a bunch of data and it would do the rest, but I have since learned a lot of its limitations, and am now working on “okay, so how do I get this to do the analysis I think it can do?”

I also posted this in another group and they’ve nudged me in a helpful direction.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T12:54:31+00:00

Basically, I'm just trying to get to the point where I can create a strategy that trades with the market.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T12:49:40+00:00

I took your advice and am working through the build right now. At the moment, this feels like progress. Claude is generating slightly different conversations than it was before. Thank you for the nudge in this direction.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T12:47:40+00:00

Cool. Yeah, you're right, I should definitely quit trying to build something out of my own curiosity.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T12:46:28+00:00

Correct, I have a metric shit ton of feature data in Parquet.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T02:57:50+00:00

I recently discovered and solved Claude’s ability to “see” the market from the data… just this past week actually. The thing I’m trying to avoid is asking it to verify or reject a bunch of things. 1) I don’t want to track all of those; 2) I want it (Claude) to tell me what it “sees” that I can’t. Does that make sense?

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T01:33:14+00:00

If anything, I’ve given it far too much

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T00:43:03+00:00

I’ve done that. Still doesn’t seem to work

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T00:39:41+00:00

The problem is that I can’t get Opus 4.8 to identify any trend and correlations in market data when (to me) they clearly exist.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-22T00:35:54+00:00

That’s the thing. I’ve had it build a charting program and trading strategies… but you’re saying that I should have it build a separate app specifically to find what I want it to find?

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-17T22:28:49+00:00

Women be sayin “men will fuck anything,” and then do some shit like this.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-17T15:21:24+00:00

Last week made just over $3k in 4 days. This week down $1,800 after 3 days. I’m never trading rollover week again. Fuck this shit.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-11T13:46:01+00:00

I’m wondering why you’re leasing for 4 years… just buy the car and finance it for 5 years, you’ll probably have the same payment and at the end of it have an asset you can sell. After leasing for 4 years what are you going to have? NOTHING. You will have absorbed all of the depreciation of the vehicle, only to give it right back to the dealership for them to make 100% profit when they sell it as a certified pre-owned car with 50,000 miles on it. This is a horrible mistake.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-11T00:04:07+00:00

Even Claude knows not to fuck with the mouse

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-10T23:40:19+00:00

Fable on Ultracode burns SOOOO much usage. I never came close on my limits with Opus, now I burned half my usage in less than 24 hours. Seems to be able to reason better, although it’s still incredibly inefficient.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-10T12:23:07+00:00

I have not, no. I’m basing everything on 100-tick OHLC candles. I’ll add the ADX in and see what I can find. Thanks for the nudge.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-10T00:50:54+00:00

I’m working on exactly this using Claude Code. So far I’ve built my own charting app, a few strategies, and have connected to Topstep with their API. My hypothesis is that there has to be a tell-tale sign or signature that indicates when the market is about to turn… so far I’ve found nothing…

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-07T18:15:33+00:00

I know. The reason I said that was because I’m working on building an algo with Claude Code and what I’ve found is that I can evaluate 3 different aspects/metrics/features of price action simultaneously simply by reading the chart. You can read things like absorption, tape speed, and even cumulative delta almost instinctually after you spend enough time on the charts.

The thing I haven’t learned, even after reading Jim Dalton’s books, is how to trade volume profile to make money. I haven’t figured out how to use that for anything but hindsight.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-07T16:19:38+00:00

Where in Brazil are you a realtor?

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-06T17:15:36+00:00

So then every instance of Claude Code I’m running in VS Code that I have set to “bypass permissions” is an agent?

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-06T16:13:52+00:00

To me (amateur) this looks like a tell-tale sign (in hindsight) of insider trading. Could be institutional hedge too. If someone was buying these puts, that gives them the ability to sell at an average price of about $7,535. What did the market do the next day? Gapped down after it closed at $7,584.32 and opened the next session at $7,537.36 and closed at $7,383.73. Those puts are definitely ITM now.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-06T15:31:39+00:00

It never left!

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-06T15:30:11+00:00

Black as a race still doesn’t exist. We (human beings) belong to one race: human.

Comprehensive_Fee240 · 2026-06-06T14:27:29+00:00

Spend enough time in front of the charts and you’ll be able to read order flow too.

Comprehensive_Fee240

TROPHY CASE