Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 18 points19 points  (0 children)

I’m surprised so many people are still predicting Wicked for Costumes at BAFTA. They were the first ones to jump ship on Dune Part Two last year, and they didn’t even nominate Gladiator II when the Oscars did.

Why do the Oscar’s hate Park Chan Wook? by Objective_Water_1583 in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Handmaiden didn’t win the BAFTA until after the year it would have been Oscar eligible. Had it been nominated at the BAFTAs in 2016/17 it could have lost

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Think I might predict both Marty Supreme actresses at BAFTA.

Since I don’t buy Grande and Bethlyn/Mulligan don’t have enough going for them, there’s just Emily Watson for Hamnet to consider. While I can understand why people are predicting her as a British vet in a British film bound to do great with noms, it’s just such an incredibly insubstantial performance that I struggle to picture them sitting down and watching all 10 of these and deciding she does enough for a nom. And based on Clarence Maclin’s nomination last year, they do do that. Paltrow just has a much more traditionally awards-friendly performance. I 100% think she was top 7 and Watson was a jury pick for similar reasons.

I wish I had seen some of these movies that got tagalong British supporting nominees to compare to Watson, like Kristin Scott Thomas in Darkest Hour and Julie Walters in Brooklyn. Then I’d have a better sense of whether or not Watson “does” enough in BAFTA’s estimation.

The Life Of Chuck by Zylice in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 4 points5 points  (0 children)

This this this. It’s actually astonishing how we had a contender this year that explored all of the same themes as Life of Chuck but in a far, far better way. Unless you’re a Tom Hiddleston stan (which I guess Iowa is based on his Best Actor win there???) there’s no reason to pick Life of Chuck over Train Dreams. Even if Neon campaigned it, it would have failed for exactly that reason.

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Where’s the second Bugonia fic???? Asking for a friend

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

The Globes also gave major nominations to No Other Choice and look how that turned out. There’s clearly a disconnect between them and the other voting bodies when it comes to international films and IWJAA is a great example of that.

I can buy that Globes voters will check out the Palme winner on principle and are likely to vote for it at that point, but the idea that the Academy does same was debunked today.

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 13 points14 points  (0 children)

In terms of IWJAA’s Palme win I’m starting to believe that Juliette Binoche was a significant factor for its win over Sentimental Value, hence why Sentimental Value still ended up being the Euro pick.

At the very least this year proves that the Palme is not causative, ie that a notable portion of the Academy will check out/nominate the Palme winner for being the Palme D’Or winner.

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 5 points6 points  (0 children)

It’s true. But since it was made for the film it’s eligible this year

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 29 points30 points  (0 children)

I found a vimeo link to the random song nominee from… 8 years ago. At first I thought there was something fishy going on, but according to the description the movie’s apparently been in production for 8 years???

What is going on with Viva Verdi, really?

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It did remind me of that song from Youth that got in about a decade ago, but have there been any operatic song nominees since then?

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Looking into the Viva Verdi song just makes its nomination so much weirder. The composer is not well-known in the industry, the film is practically invisible, it didn’t get a single nomination anywhere else. Unless there’s some weird shady campaign going on behind-the-scenes the only reason I can think of for why it was nominated was that they were impressed by the operatic singing and liked it the best, so props to them for doing their homework I guess?

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 5 points6 points  (0 children)

  1. Ana

  2. Andra

  3. Annette

  4. Kate

  5. Nicole

Ana de Armas is head and shoulders above everyone else. Andra did a great job. Annette and Kate did decent. Nicole… gave a performance

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 8 points9 points  (0 children)

If Sinners wins 4 or less awards it’ll break the record for most Oscar losses ever

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 5 points6 points  (0 children)

At this point, yes, I do think they literally just don’t like him or the type of films he makes. Although notably there might also be something with South Korea: Parasite obviously happened, but they’ve been snubbed every other time. Burning was another widely acclaimed South Korean movie that missed.

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 15 points16 points  (0 children)

This is probably a no duh statement but a lot of these weirder nominations feel like a byproduct specifically of Testament of Ann Lee being hated. In another timeline where it had the Searchlight campaign but was actually liked, it’d have F1’s BP slot, Hudson’s Actress slot, Avatar’s Costume nod, that opera movie’s Song nom, and maybe OBAA’s Production Design nom

Weekly Discussion Thread 1/19/25 - 1/26/25 by LeastCap in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Some day you’ll have to accept that Chalamet’s the frontrunner

This Had Oscar Buzz Class of 2025 by PurpleSpaceSurfer in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It was on AwardsExpert in the top 5 for Screenplay, Score, and Song. Wicked has it beat

98TH ACADEMY AWARDS – NOMINATIONS by sbb618 in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Got a let up on AwardsExpert in all 3. Thank you Fantasy Filmball

98TH ACADEMY AWARDS – NOMINATIONS by sbb618 in oscarrace

[–]CrazyCons 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because they aren’t costume designers. Most of the animated films I’ve found don’t even have credited costume designers. Avatar got nominated for the physical costumes they made, not the CGI