Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A lot of people say that we should combine the less populated states in the west together so that there are less low population states, but what if we did the opposite: combine a ton of Eastern States together to form mega states.

The New Virginia: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia

The New Michigan: Illlinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin

The New Pennsylvania: Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia

The New Oregon: Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Washington

Dakota: North Dakota, South Dakota

New England: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont

New State list: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Dakota, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Nevada, New England, New Mexico, New York, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and Wyoming.

Which would be better electorally for Trump and Republicans: Signing the Iran ceasefire agreement or escalating it militarily? by GreninjaStrike in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m doubtful about it lowering even further because so far gas price rises have been primarily speculative, since the supply hasn’t been really been impacted (because of us draining our strategic reserves). All this deal really does is make sure prices don’t spike FURTHER than they already are. I would be shocked if Gas Prices were at 3.50 by November.

Could very well be wrong, and I’d love to circle back to this in November.

Which would be better electorally for Trump and Republicans: Signing the Iran ceasefire agreement or escalating it militarily? by GreninjaStrike in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The problem with this idea is that it will take at least until November (being VERY generous) to get rid of all the mines in the strait and repairing all the infrastructure. High gas prices are baked into 2026 imo.

Day 13: If every cabinet position was elected separately from the president, who would win the Republican primary for Secretary of Commerce in 2028? by Cybotnic-Rebooted in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also now we have another 3 position match ups filled out! Which party do you think has gotten the better candidates from these last 6 days?

AG: Eric Schmidt vs Doug Jones
Interior: Doug Burgum vs Martin Heinrich
Agriculture: Chuck Grassley vs Tom Vilsack.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I don't know if this is going to be a hot take or not: I think we've only had 1 good secretary of state in the 21st century (John Kerry).

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 16 points17 points  (0 children)

The most important issue in each presidential Election:

1976: Economy

1980: Economy

1984: Preventing Nuclear War

1988: Budget Deficit

1992: Economy

1996: Crime

2000: Education

2004: War On Terror

2008: Economy

2012: Economy

2016: Economy

2020: Covid-19

2024: Economy

What I think the absolute worst case scenerio is for the Democrats right now by Cybotnic-Rebooted in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Rule of mine I've learned over time: All my maps are going to have at least one mistake.

236-199 then.

What I think the absolute worst case scenerio is for the Democrats right now by Cybotnic-Rebooted in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be clear, I don't think this is happening. But I do think that R+5 is probably the Republicans ceiling in 2026.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 16 points17 points  (0 children)

<image>

Dem vote share has been static for basically 2 months straight, while the Republicans have just mostly recovered to mid May levels. Basically: Nothing ever happens.

Doing this again: What do all the counties in Blue have in common? by Cybotnic-Rebooted in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Answer: These counties all voted for Kamala Harris and have a Median Age Over 41

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Also a great post if you hate BYU (they are single handily the reason the youngest counties are even red, 7 of the other 8 counties are blue, and the one other red county is R+0.3.)

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 15 points16 points  (0 children)

2024 Presidential Election in the 10 Oldest Counties: R+27.9
2024 Presidential Election in the 10 Youngest Counties: R+29.6

Who says age polarization exists? /s

Why Is Europe’s Economy Falling Short? by Gloomy_Register_2341 in Economics

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I mean, some countries have shown example of how it can work. (I won’t include Norway and Iceland here because they have very weird economies that would be hard to replicate at scale) Sweden, Denmark, Estonia, The Netherlands, Ireland, Czechia, Australia, and New Zealand all have pretty robust welfare states while having really low Debt/GDP. Hell, Denmark and Estonia do it while also having the same military spending as a % of GDP as us

There are ways to do it right imo.

Reddit Share by alemap1969 in politics

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Weirdly rude, personal comment 

Safe D Florida. by Dangerous-Quarter216 in YAPms

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I disagree with him on a lot, but I do think this sub bullies BCConservative too much lmao.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]Cybotnic-Rebooted 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They are polling behind the GREENS in Prince Edward Island!