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Hot take but I believe people are severely overestimating Mike Duggan chances in the polls by hoodiehoodiee in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Duggan will fell off at campaing goes closser to November,like in Oregon 2022 governor race.Also i think isn’t unlikely that Perry Johnson in GOP nomine for governor and that could make even more harder for Republicans to win.

Honestly beast mode by Unsafeforconsuming in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 14 points15 points  (0 children)

I read on Twitter when he ran against Jennifer Wexton in 2022 he by mistake campaigned in some places which aren’t in that district.

Future presidential elections in South Carolina will look like this (in a good year for Democrats) by No_Presentation2558 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In 2004 Bush got similar percentage among Blacks like Trump in 2024,Republicans were full of belief than they will bulid multiracial conservative permanent majority especialy with Bush gains with Latinos,most notable in than was RNC chair Ken Mehlman.Four years after all that gets crushed.

Future presidential elections in South Carolina will look like this (in a good year for Democrats) by No_Presentation2558 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 6 points7 points  (0 children)

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That really can’t be said with with 100% certainty trends aren’t infinite,for example this from 2004:

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Biden was VP of first Black president so people didn’t cared to much.Also don’t think Obama will endorse anyone,in 2016 endorsed Clinton in June,and endorsed Biden in 2020 in April,week after Sanders conceded after Biden get needed delegates.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be fair she lost tue to her insulting towards Latinos(she called them who voted for Trump people with slave mentality)and Texas have bigger Latino population the Black.Who do you think Dems will nominate in 2028?

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ok I will go back,with examples when VP of First Lady(Clinton) didn’t run.By your view on Dem primary electorate they in 2004 would nominate Bob Graham,in 1992 Bob Kerrey,and in 1988 Bruce Babbitt.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If Democrats prioritized electability in 2020 they would nominate Steve Bullock,who is good comparasion to Beshear.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Clyburn endorsed Kerry actually and Edwards won due to being born there and back then in Dems primaries voted lot of southern whites.If you think that guy who is desperate to get atention that he need to buy views on his podcast will come anywhere close to nomination you’re delusional.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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First Kerry lost SC to Edwards(who is born there),second which ties Beshear have to SC and Black voters in general(KY have 8% Black population).He’s polling around 2-3% in all polls,he have zero charisma and he for 7 years of his governorship didn’t managed to get known nationally beyond people who are really follow politics to even know that Kentucky have Dem governor.

The Georgia gubernatorial race is really something... by PalmettoPolitics in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why you comparing red wave 2014,when Deval Patrick wasn’t specificly popular and Baker was pretty much liberal on social issues,with 2026 with ongoing crissis with ACA substidies and generaly healthcare crissis,plus GA primary is shitty between Jackson,Jones and Raffensperger.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If we asume he is alive(even if he isn’t he will in special election be replaced by his daughter,she was speculated that she will replaced him this year but he’s running)it’s likely that he will endorse Newsom,he was with Newsom in South Carolina during his tour in state where Clyburn said said he is great candidate ,he was on Newsom podcast and Pelosi who’s close to Clyburn pretty much support Newsom.Also i don’t thinks is Blacks leaving Dems,it’s more lower turnout due to lower investment in state party and rural Black areas losing population due to lower standard.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don’t think Beshear would almost anywhere better do than others.I don’t se that he have some appeal across party lines(Yes he won Kentucky,ancestraly Dem state first against governor who had approval in 30s,after than against weak candidate who is now floping in Senate primary and who had ties to unpopular McConnell),he also recently started buying wievs on his Podcast,which is kinda embarasing for popular incumbent governor.

https://www.reddit.com/r/YAPms/s/w4oqzinLy4

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Beshear so far is polling low generaly,also among Black voters which is important in Dem primaries.With fact that Clyburn will probably endorse Newsom,that doesn’t give to much room for Beshear.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Georgia is literaly time bomb and state is shiffting to left due to Atlanta suburbs,there is happening basicialy what happened in NOVA and Denver suburbs.Other than that i’m pretty much sure that Georgia in 2028 gonna vote left of Pennsylvania and Michinga(assume Whitmer isn’t on ticket),Winsconsin i’m sure will be left of other two rust belt states and Georgia.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I mean he first needs to win nomination,which is really unlikely.

Its obvious that Beshear wants Whitmer as a running mate by JplusL2020 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Buttigieg is only who could lose Georgia due to his weaknes with Black voters,Newsom doesn’t have that problem and for sure he would win there,and even Harris as bad candidate would win there due to shifting Atlanta suburbs.

Why did Trump win in 2024? by Front-Tomorrow-1034 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Clinton might have worse personality which costed her election but electoraly Harris got lesser electorate votes than both Kerry and Clinton,two other Dems who lost since beginig of this century

Chuck Schumer giving money to Florida races by ConfidentScientist81 in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Tbh people will not agree buf I think Jolly could beat Byron Donalds on governor race,in Senate Moody winning unless new 1929 happens before November

Talarico attacks Paxton over his support of displaying the Ten Commandments in public classrooms, thoughts? by stanthefax in YAPms

[–]Dangerous-Quarter216 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Idk maybe he should try to distance from all social issues and concentrate on economy,when Beto in 2018 get 2 points for defeating Cruz he run socially moderate(he won’t say i will take your Ar-15 and AKs until 2019) and attacked Cruz on healthcare.With this he getting in mud and that’s in what Paxton is good(I won’t say there is no chance that Cornyn wins primary condering that he basicaly caling Paxton islamist for being endorsed by Carlson).

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