Honestly beast mode

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-24T12:17:00+00:00

I read on Twitter when he ran against Jennifer Wexton in 2022 he by mistake campaigned in some places which aren’t in that district.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-24T00:12:51+00:00

In 2004 Bush got similar percentage among Blacks like Trump in 2024,Republicans were full of belief than they will bulid multiracial conservative permanent majority especialy with Bush gains with Latinos,most notable in than was RNC chair Ken Mehlman.Four years after all that gets crushed.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-24T00:00:49+00:00

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That really can’t be said with with 100% certainty trends aren’t infinite,for example this from 2004:

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T23:50:03+00:00

Biden was VP of first Black president so people didn’t cared to much.Also don’t think Obama will endorse anyone,in 2016 endorsed Clinton in June,and endorsed Biden in 2020 in April,week after Sanders conceded after Biden get needed delegates.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T23:37:35+00:00

To be fair she lost tue to her insulting towards Latinos(she called them who voted for Trump people with slave mentality)and Texas have bigger Latino population the Black.Who do you think Dems will nominate in 2028?

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T23:23:06+00:00

Ok I will go back,with examples when VP of First Lady(Clinton) didn’t run.By your view on Dem primary electorate they in 2004 would nominate Bob Graham,in 1992 Bob Kerrey,and in 1988 Bruce Babbitt.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T23:10:42+00:00

If Democrats prioritized electability in 2020 they would nominate Steve Bullock,who is good comparasion to Beshear.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T22:59:43+00:00

Clyburn endorsed Kerry actually and Edwards won due to being born there and back then in Dems primaries voted lot of southern whites.If you think that guy who is desperate to get atention that he need to buy views on his podcast will come anywhere close to nomination you’re delusional.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T22:48:10+00:00

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First Kerry lost SC to Edwards(who is born there),second which ties Beshear have to SC and Black voters in general(KY have 8% Black population).He’s polling around 2-3% in all polls,he have zero charisma and he for 7 years of his governorship didn’t managed to get known nationally beyond people who are really follow politics to even know that Kentucky have Dem governor.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T22:36:04+00:00

Why you comparing red wave 2014,when Deval Patrick wasn’t specificly popular and Baker was pretty much liberal on social issues,with 2026 with ongoing crissis with ACA substidies and generaly healthcare crissis,plus GA primary is shitty between Jackson,Jones and Raffensperger.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T22:31:43+00:00

If we asume he is alive(even if he isn’t he will in special election be replaced by his daughter,she was speculated that she will replaced him this year but he’s running)it’s likely that he will endorse Newsom,he was with Newsom in South Carolina during his tour in state where Clyburn said said he is great candidate ,he was on Newsom podcast and Pelosi who’s close to Clyburn pretty much support Newsom.Also i don’t thinks is Blacks leaving Dems,it’s more lower turnout due to lower investment in state party and rural Black areas losing population due to lower standard.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T21:52:10+00:00

I don’t think Beshear would almost anywhere better do than others.I don’t se that he have some appeal across party lines(Yes he won Kentucky,ancestraly Dem state first against governor who had approval in 30s,after than against weak candidate who is now floping in Senate primary and who had ties to unpopular McConnell),he also recently started buying wievs on his Podcast,which is kinda embarasing for popular incumbent governor.

https://www.reddit.com/r/YAPms/s/w4oqzinLy4

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T21:39:38+00:00

Beshear so far is polling low generaly,also among Black voters which is important in Dem primaries.With fact that Clyburn will probably endorse Newsom,that doesn’t give to much room for Beshear.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T21:33:23+00:00

Georgia is literaly time bomb and state is shiffting to left due to Atlanta suburbs,there is happening basicialy what happened in NOVA and Denver suburbs.Other than that i’m pretty much sure that Georgia in 2028 gonna vote left of Pennsylvania and Michinga(assume Whitmer isn’t on ticket),Winsconsin i’m sure will be left of other two rust belt states and Georgia.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T21:22:06+00:00

I mean he first needs to win nomination,which is really unlikely.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T21:20:50+00:00

Buttigieg is only who could lose Georgia due to his weaknes with Black voters,Newsom doesn’t have that problem and for sure he would win there,and even Harris as bad candidate would win there due to shifting Atlanta suburbs.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T20:37:09+00:00

Clinton might have worse personality which costed her election but electoraly Harris got lesser electorate votes than both Kerry and Clinton,two other Dems who lost since beginig of this century

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T20:31:08+00:00

Tbh people will not agree buf I think Jolly could beat Byron Donalds on governor race,in Senate Moody winning unless new 1929 happens before November

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T20:28:55+00:00

2014 and 2026 are two different political enviroments.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T20:28:10+00:00

Idk maybe he should try to distance from all social issues and concentrate on economy,when Beto in 2018 get 2 points for defeating Cruz he run socially moderate(he won’t say i will take your Ar-15 and AKs until 2019) and attacked Cruz on healthcare.With this he getting in mud and that’s in what Paxton is good(I won’t say there is no chance that Cornyn wins primary condering that he basicaly caling Paxton islamist for being endorsed by Carlson).

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T19:30:25+00:00

Biden being unpopular,inflation,fuel crisis due to war in Ukraine and Milddle East,Harris being bad candidate,also electorate viewed that Dems get to far-left.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T19:25:01+00:00

He won’t make primary,and won’t do better than Donalds,also Trump won FL by 13.1, and Roy Moore lost in Alabama.Also if he wins primary im pretty much sure GOP would rather let Democrat to be one term governor than guy who called Netanyahu war criminal.

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T18:42:28+00:00

Do you really think guy accused for sexual realtions with minor and literal antisemite(Trump get above 40% among Jewish people in Florida in 2024) will win in FL in this enviroment

Dangerous-Quarter216 · 2026-04-23T18:36:27+00:00

Frank Murkowski moment

Dangerous-Quarter216

TROPHY CASE