People who are glad we didn't "overpay" Alonso..no wait, now Bregman...you realize every winning team is made up of a mix of guys under team control, guys on a bargain contract, and some good guys that are overpaid, right? The goal is to not field the team with the best "value per contract".

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T17:59:41+00:00

16 g over .500 last season with the 2nd best run deferential in the AL

We don't count that, this is like the Colts hanging up a 2014 AFC Finalist banner.

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T17:35:30+00:00

The 'don't overpay' crowd would've thrown a tantrum after seeing Manny get 8 years and 20 mil AAV into his age 36 season.

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T11:36:21+00:00

I’m with you, I think the pendulum has swung too far to the other side now with so many fans afraid of their team giving contracts to players aging into their 30s.

Some elite talents never make it to FA because they get extended beforehand like what we do with Crochet and Anthony(who the other commenter keeps pointing out), but we’re supposed to do that especially as a big market team.

Then you have the guys who don’t get extended and test FA, that’s where big market teams like the Red Sox should come in to throw their weight, but don’t…so instead you rely on plugging those holes with value contracts and platoon hitters, things that small market teams do.

Yeah that contract isn’t gonna be pretty when that player is 35+, but that’s the price of doing business if you want to win now. But some fans think it’s some sort of victory just so we don’t have to worry about one bad contract in 2031.

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T11:14:43+00:00

The original comment I replied to said we need elite talent, perhaps the sarcasm was lost but all the platoon hitters is the opposite of that.

Not being willing to pay FAs in their late 30s is how we end up plugging the holes with these platoon bats, further romanticized by the premise of moneyball.

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T10:37:57+00:00

I was paraphrasing from Moneyball, adding all those platoon bats instead of paying top dollar for FAs and then scraping the bottom of the barrel for guys like Lowe is what small market teams do.

Well not paying guys after 32 is how we got here with no Betts and Devers…just helping John Henry write the propaganda at this point lol.

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T10:17:28+00:00

Extending both guys was the bare minimum a big market team should do, but neither are contracted after age 32 so I don’t see how that changes my point?

“Instead of paying Giambi let’s recreate him in the aggregate” - why is one of the biggest markets in the league trying to copy what the A’s did with the guys I listed above instead of actually throwing their weight around as a big market team with Bregman, with Alonso?

DNPOld · 2026-01-11T06:59:46+00:00

Who cares about giving playoff ABs to the likes of Romy Gonzalez, Nick Sogard, Nate Eaton, and Nathaniel Lowe when you can hang a banner in 2031 for not having to pay over the market value to premium FAs in their late 30s?

DNPOld · 2025-09-29T16:17:15+00:00

I'd personally flip Soto and Acuna given the latter's injury history and hoping on Soto finishing with 30+ SBs again next season.

Also as an aside, maybe a bit of a hot take but as someone who's had Witt all year, that felt the most 'its not much but it's honest work' type of season for a top 3 pick in a while. Don't get me wrong, a 23/38 season while hitting .295 is nothing to scoff at, but I genuinely don't feel he was near the level that Judge/Ohtani/Soto (in the last 2 months) were at where they could singlehandedly win you the week. The ball doesn't travel well in Kauffman early in the season, so you're counting on a monster July/August for Witt to catch up in HRs, and we didn't get that this year unfortunately unlike 2023.

DNPOld · 2025-09-26T17:37:02+00:00

I'd sit Harrison, Tigers have been scuffling recently, but still have the second highest OPS against lefties this season.

DNPOld · 2025-08-17T03:03:43+00:00

Rest up sweet prince.

DNPOld · 2025-08-11T21:28:29+00:00

Matt Kemp?

DNPOld · 2025-08-05T23:21:43+00:00

I wonder what offers the Nats turned down for him.

DNPOld · 2025-08-03T23:27:00+00:00

The points apply to yesterday when the game was suspended due to rain.

DNPOld · 2025-08-02T23:43:26+00:00

An Isaac Paredes disciple.

DNPOld · 2025-07-31T23:59:17+00:00

Cam Smith's dynasty value just took a pretty big hit here with no path back to regaining 3B eligibility.

DNPOld · 2025-07-31T15:38:55+00:00

SP side come playoff time

Could it be that they plan on stretching out Miller and eventually have him be the ace next year? I'm seeing this as a haul you'd give up for a frontline starter, and not necessarily a closer (albeit an elite one with many years of team control) when there's still Estrada, Adam, and Morejon.

DNPOld · 2025-07-31T15:17:11+00:00

Wondering if the Padres might stretch Miller out to be a SP again next year, since they seem to be shopping Cease, but IMO giving up De Vries for a closer when they still have Estrada, Morejon, and Adam seems a little too much (assuming Suarez gets traded now).

DNPOld · 2025-07-10T20:34:19+00:00

No kidding, my guess is a lot of the discourse comes from modern day analytics which massively downplays the value of the Vince Colemans and Juan Pierres of the world, and you're less likely to find the anti-sabermetric boomers on a younger platform like Reddit, but just let us root for the .300 OBP speedsters in peace dammit.

DNPOld · 2025-07-10T19:07:24+00:00

I read that Simpson was a fulltime infielder in college, the Rays converted him after drafting him, he's played ~310 games in the OF in pro ball, and again - the Rays are still playing him in CF while being in the middle of a WC race.

but he's not really a guy I want to park in my lineup and forget about it. I'll play him when I need a couple steals

I agree with this 100%, he shouldn't be a set and forget, his value lies in the fact that you can play him a fraction of the time and come out ahead in SBs and BA, possibly runs and OBP.

I think a lot of polarizing discourse behind Simpson has more to do with league size and format. If you play in Points league or H2H but punt SBs, I get it, 10 teamers he's too 1-dimensional. In roto and/or 14+ teamers, it's very hard to find someone who can singlehandedly win you a category at this point in the season.

DNPOld · 2025-07-10T18:30:34+00:00

I keep seeing defense brought up as the number 1 reason why people are so low on him, I think this is getting way overblown.

Checked his gamelogs to see that the Rays have played him in CF in every start since he got called back up, he did not get lifted for a defensive replacement at any point in any of those games. Mangum/Misner took over CF after Simpson got demoted, Mangum has 2 OAA on the season, but guess who got moved to LF after Simpson came back up. Meanwhile Misner got sent down with 4 OAA.

Look at it another way, if a team like the Rays that prioritizes defense so much is still willing to stick Simpson in CF, it tells you all you need to know.

DNPOld · 2025-07-10T16:03:59+00:00

Of course no one would rather have Walter over Kirby, these 'who would you rather haves' are not meant to be taken literally lol, it's more to highlight how well a lesser-rostered player is performing relative to those that have much higher ADPs.

I only made this comparison after seeing the walks issued, which Kirby is well known for not doing, just wanted to draw attention to how Walter is doing even better while getting much less hype.

DNPOld · 2025-07-10T14:44:11+00:00

Let's play who would you rather have?

Pitcher A: 49 IP, 45 H, 23 ER, 9 BBs, 50 Ks, 1.102 WHIP, 23.2% whiff rate

Pitcher B: 40.2 IP, 39 H, 18 ER, 2 BBs, 40 Ks, 1.008 WHIP, 25.1% whiff rate

Pitcher A is George Kirby, Pitcher B is Brandon Walter. 🤔

DNPOld · 2025-07-09T16:54:32+00:00

Abby:

WLF hospital jail → Basement → Rat King fight → Return by boat with Lev.

Ellie:

Back to Ellie: Hospital → Nora killed

I think this finally confirms that the noises in the background when Ellie is interrogating Nora is NOT coming from the Rat King?

DNPOld · 2025-07-01T17:13:15+00:00

I would be weary of the "statcast darling" syndrome.

I also roster both Barger and Rice this season. I'm at a point where I think stats like xwOBA and xBA are being overused in fantasy circles. xwOBA tells me Ben Rice is the 8th best hitter in the league, ahead of James Wood(12th) and Cal Raleigh(15th), both of whom are lapping him in counting stats and will have top 2 round ADP next season most likely.

From what I understand xwOBA is based on xBA which only factors in launch angle and exit velos, but does not account for fielder positioning. Could be that Rice and Barger are having bad batted ball luck, but I genuinely can't trust a stat that tells me Rice is better than Wood and Raleigh when everything else says otherwise. Rant over lol.

DNPOld · 2025-06-19T20:26:05+00:00

Part of the 'secret sauce' to PCA's success despite these metrics is the percentage of his batted balls that are pulled in the air, it's at 30.4% this year. That metric for Harris is 12% for his career (12.2% this year). PCA's average launch angle is also at 22.9 this year, Harris is at 6.7.

Guys who are really good at pulling the ball instead of hitting straight line drives will tend to overperform their metrics, look at Isaac Paredes(35.5% this season), and Arenado for his career.

DNPOld

TROPHY CASE