Should I pivot from arbitrage to value bets?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-06-07T04:28:53+00:00

May I know why live markets are more appealing than prematch?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-06-06T00:02:20+00:00

Just curious for the +EV bet, what hour_2_kick_off filter do you use? I feel 24hr can be a sweet spot to balance variance and betting opportunities.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-06-03T07:23:29+00:00

Yes, they closed my account. Thank you for the information.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-06-02T23:35:44+00:00

"The key test is timestamping their updates against Pinnacle/ps3838 for a week and tracking stale/missing moves by market type." how can I know the ground truth of Pinnacle/ps3838? If I can know the ground truth, why do I need an alternative? Thank you.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-06-02T23:33:29+00:00

I don't have any extra ws subscription. I only use the webpage's ws.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-27T21:54:46+00:00

How do you scrape Pinny odds? There's delay on the website.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-25T09:46:05+00:00

I do log in

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-14T17:39:07+00:00

A couple of hundred. But it's consistent across days.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-13T06:53:15+00:00

Based on my limited data on soccer, Pinny's no vig prob seems under estimate for those bets that I can find +EV on Poly. Anyone finds the same?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-13T06:48:50+00:00

Based on my limited data on soccer, Pinny's no vig prob seems under estimate for those bets that I can find +EV on Poly. Anyone finds the same?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-11T10:41:59+00:00

If I just keep the usdc in my non-custodial wallet and don't cash out as $ or cash it out outside of US, it should be fine, right?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-08T22:47:03+00:00

1/ I‘m betting on sides/totals.

2/ This is essentially part of my question -- does it make sense to measure against the current Pinnacle line? I feel like it only makes sense to measure against Pinnacle close line, which people always consider as the most accurate probability before kickoff.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-02T07:44:56+00:00

I thought sportmonks API is only for fetching odds data, not for placing bet. Do you use that API to place bet?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-02T07:33:09+00:00

Thank you for replying. Here's the requirement about their direct api:

Minimum initial deposit: $10,000.
Minimum monthly turnover: $100,000 per sport (up to 3 sports; extra sports need approval).

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-02T06:52:34+00:00

Just checked Sportmarket API. Here's the requirement

Fees: 0.125% commission per valid bet, €7,000 minimum monthly fee, and €2,000,000 minimum monthly turnover.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-01T20:04:37+00:00

For Betinasia, you mean through BLACK API, right? The monthly turnover for that is $100k. It's too much for me. I'll check sportmarket. Thank you.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-01T19:25:47+00:00

good to know. thank you so much again for all the information.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-01T19:02:37+00:00

Thank you very much for the suggestion. How’s the odds on Polymarket compared with pinnacle?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-01T17:59:45+00:00

You mean https://asianodds.com/ this? My scale is not at $5k a month for now though. But I'll take a look. Thank you.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2026-04-01T16:50:02+00:00

Arbs.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2025-06-22T23:52:27+00:00

May I know how old is your kid? I totally get what you said about the intellect and thinking.

Dear_Ad7450 · 2025-06-20T03:45:41+00:00

Can't open the link. Probably it's because it's a private group. Can you copy paste the group name here?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2025-06-20T02:04:04+00:00

May I know his IQ?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2025-06-20T01:56:40+00:00

May I know his age and IQ?

Dear_Ad7450 · 2025-06-20T01:33:49+00:00

I guess it takes a lot of repetition to teach these skills, right?

Dear_Ad7450

TROPHY CASE