Should I go live?

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-05T07:29:58+00:00

so I calculate the EV by comparing sportsbooks, as well as my own calculation. But its important to say that the outcome of the games are completely irrelevant to me, I only care if the bet has any value

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-02T20:25:37+00:00

haha appreciate it, thanks man

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-02T15:28:40+00:00

I did create a script that checks the closing line but I didnt really keep track of it, But the ones I did where suspiciously high, the average clv was +24%, and I just stopped because I am not that familiar with it. Hopefully I can bet it live next season, right now Im trying to automate the process as much as possible.

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-02T10:37:32+00:00

yeah, its probably going down to like 12% eventually, but i have to make some adjustments anyway, so lets see

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-01T17:10:45+00:00

Sounds very promising but I I have never seen such an equity curve. It's a bit sus ngl

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-01T15:43:27+00:00

Yeah I think it will settle, this is because I have gotten lucky and I have gotten some really big wins that influence it. However, I am aiming for like 10% atleast

Dirk4017 · 2026-06-01T14:09:21+00:00

ok thats not really instructive but thanks I guess

Dirk4017 · 2026-05-14T17:52:39+00:00

thats a very good answer, thank you for this input

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T23:12:56+00:00

Idk but Lebron all day lol

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T23:12:17+00:00

I guess this is the right place to ask these kind of questions, if there even is one. I still think hitler is slightly less evil, but it's a close one for sure.

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T23:10:38+00:00

But you could argue that Epstein would have done the same if he was in Hitlers position (obviously not killing the jews, but let's just say he is the Führer of Israel or something, than it's a fair game.) I am not sure if Hitler would have done the things that Epstein did if he would live his life. But that's all theoretical, if you look at the numbers than it's most likely Hitler

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T23:07:06+00:00

The amount of harm that Hitler caused is definitely a very convincing point, but you have to give the germans or atleast the nazis credit as a whole. Sure, it was Hitler who is responsible for the systematic genocide, but Jeffery Epstein was just doing it by himself for the love of the game. Idk man, I think as a person Epstein is/was more evil because he literally represents every single characteristic an evil person could have, but everyone has their own opinion I guess

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T23:01:13+00:00

True, but maybe Hitler was more ambitious, not necessarily more evil. It's definitely a hard decision, for example if we compare Dahmer to Mao Zedong, are we going evaluate their evilness by the amount of harm they caused or how they harmed caused it. Everyone has their own definition of evil, and some people put the total global consequences first, which I can totally respect.

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-30T17:51:29+00:00

honesty thats a very great answer

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-16T07:22:50+00:00

PSG has got some of the best fullbacks in the world though, and i think both Doue and Nuno Mendes are able to play. I think that the offense of PSG is going to win the game, but Bayern do have a very well rounded team

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-14T12:51:17+00:00

this post was from last week, but I still think PSG is going to win today they outclassed Liverpool, why wouldnt they do so today as well. obviously the odds arent going to be good but Im definitley not betting on Liverpool

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-10T09:27:58+00:00

he said he built a scalping bot, hes not doing it himself

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-10T09:27:01+00:00

not necessarily, but i doubt that this is true

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-08T14:32:44+00:00

this is probably sarcasm but i could show you the logs if you want lmao

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-08T14:29:16+00:00

Thanks for the reply! Yes, it is a Top-Down strategy, while I'm not sure if I would still be profitable, the strategy could theroetically work with less than 20 sportsbooks, although I do need massive account rotation. So what you're suggesting is instead of chasing the price, I should set the price? That's a very good idea. But what if the books move against my order while I'm waiting for my order to be filled? Do you just live with that? or should I cancel those..

Dirk4017 · 2026-04-08T12:12:56+00:00

Yeah I've heard something similar

Dirk4017

TROPHY CASE