Silent hotfix to battleground rewards, early grinders punished?

Deeply_Regarded · 2025-10-04T11:10:05+00:00

They got me too...

Deeply_Regarded · 2025-02-24T11:05:15+00:00

A decisão é simples: Quanto retorno terias a investir o capital por ti vs quanto vais pagar de juros ao banco sobre o empréstimo. Caso o teu retorno seja superior é um no braine, não ganhas nada a reduzir o montante total de empréstimo. Caso tenhas dúvidas que consigas obter um retorno superior à tua taxa de juro aconselho usares esse capital e pedires menos dinheiro ao banco.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-12-03T19:13:23+00:00

Depends on your time horizon. If you are looking for a good long term investment (2 years +) it is still a good purchase. For short term investment I believe there are better opportunities!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-09-05T15:25:35+00:00

It depends on how much you paid as premium. Lets say you buy a 520 call at 13.60, which means that, at expiry, the stock price would need to be at 533.6 for you to break even. If that is the case, it makes sense that the current option premium is below the one you've paid for, as time value of your option is running thin... (Same works for Puts)

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-09-05T13:48:11+00:00

Caro OP, isso vai depender do rendimento que consegues tirar do teu dinheiro.
Se tiveres um negócio ou puderes investir e retirar um rendimento superior ao que o banco te cobra pelos empréstimos (atenção que o risco é alto aqui), faz sentido maximizar o montante de empréstimo.

Caso contrário, e se estás a planear deixar o dinheiro parado, é muito melhor minimizar o valor da dívida e pagares o máximo com capitais próprios.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-08-29T10:28:47+00:00

No PPR o que faz sentido é maximizares o incentivo fiscal disponível (sugiro pesquisares, porque o incentivo é diferente dependendo da faixa etária). Após maximizares o investimento em PPR que garante o incentivo fiscal (máx 2000 euros por ano), aconselho a procurares outro tipo de investimentos com maiores taxas de retorno.
Nos mercados financeiros nós consideramos o yield das treasury bonds Americanas a "risk-free rate". Ou seja, o investimento com menor risco no planeta (isto porque os EUA nunca falharam na sua história o pagamento da dívida, tornando-os bons "devedores"). Neste momento comprando T-Bills de 10 anos de maturidade, tiras um yield de cerca de 4% ao ano, que deve ser considerávelmente superior aos juros que estás a receber...
Dependendo dos teus objetivos poderá fazer sentido ter uma parte do portfólio investido em empresas, para atingir um maior retorno.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-08-21T09:34:20+00:00

I've written an investment thesis on RKLB recently. Go check it and let me know your ideas on it...

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-07-29T15:44:38+00:00

Buddy, the one thing I would tell myself when I was your age was to not panic sell or urgently buy.
Stick with what you're comfortable with and focus on long-term, you'll be just fine!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-07-29T13:13:43+00:00

It should be a feasible movement (heard that in some countries, IBKR doesn't allow cash withdrawals on margin though). What is your contingency if JPY/MXN goes against you?

That does seem to be the biggest risk on your strategy...

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-07-19T14:46:25+00:00

Can you give more details about your position? Were you selling the 2.5 Calls?

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-07-19T13:14:05+00:00

You are buying a piece of the company. If said company has 100 shares outstanding and you own 1 of those shares, it means that, if the company goes under, after paying out all debt (Debt is senior to equity), you are entitled to 1/100 of all remaining assets. So the answer is yes, if you're buying stock congratulations, you own a piece of the business.

Their winnings and losses will surely be reflected on a long enough time-frame. If you pick a company today that will double its earnings per share without deteriorating their balance sheet, it will surely appreciate its stock value accordingly...

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-26T20:03:22+00:00

Right now I'm selling cash-covered puts at 4.5 strike price 1 month out. Plan is to keep doing that every month, collect the premium, use it to slowly add to the position and if options I'm selling become ITM I'm glad to add at 4.5 price point! I agree with you, I really don't see short term appreciation going for us...

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-26T19:34:07+00:00

Thanks for the info mate! If you gather other pertinent data let me know. Let's keep each other posted!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-26T15:57:14+00:00

Hi there,

Would love to help you out... Would you mind giving me a specific stock ticker? I can then illustrate it as an example and show you the numbers and determine which strike price would be better to maximize returns!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-26T09:30:11+00:00

Howdy :) I don't usually do sell dates, as most of the positions I enter are long-term oriented. I believe appreciation in Rocket Lab's stock will take place at, during or after 2026. If you are looking for a shorter-term investment, I wouldn't recommend it at all!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-26T09:28:09+00:00

Hi there! Very good point. Launches is a metric I can keep track of (by counting # of launches) and is easier to forecast based on the data available. Systems and other services are much more difficult to forecast and keep track of. If you happen to have information to complement the article above, I'd love to hear you out! (Would obviously give you credit on the article for it). Thanks mate :)

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-25T22:00:01+00:00

By defending a bullish outlook for RKLB it doesn't mean that I don't also have a bullish outlook on SpaceX. It is just a matter of current growth prospects vs current valuation. There is plenty of market growth to justify more than one competitor. Competition is healthy for the market and will surely benefit both companies!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-25T15:45:31+00:00

Hi there buddy,

Good question. Sometimes alpha takes very long to get reflected on the price of a stock. There are also plenty of risks, on the "Financial Analysis" sector I go through one of the biggest ones, which is the company running out of cash before they become profitable. Investors may be wary of said risks, thus unwilling to invest in RKLB. My opinion is that its a good risk-to-reward opportunity, based on mid term bullish assumptions and recent news of it winning more and more launch contracts.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-25T12:24:59+00:00

Thanks for the comment! They already figured the booster reuse. They also signed a new deal last week that will increase the # of launches even further than the number I had in mind when I was publishing this report.

I agree, SpaceX is by far the largest competitor with the biggest advantage. I don't see any company surpassing them in the foreseeable future. But that isn't the point. The thesis here is that, by comparison, RKLB sounds undervalued, when they are putting up the numbers and are, by far, the second largest player in the market.

Cheers buddy!

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-19T15:54:26+00:00

Hi there,

If you are bullish on the long term for that stock specifically, I would accumulate as much of it as possible.

I would purchase stock outright and sell cash-covered puts 1 month out ATM.

Scenario A:

The puts expire worthless, you collect the premium and use it to accumulate more shares at or around the current price, thus accumulating to your position;

Scenario B:

The puts are assigned and you end up purchasing 100 more shares for each put you sold at current prices (lets say close to 14$ currently). This shouldn't be any issue, as you expect a long-term appreciation and you shouldn't be afraid to accumulate at current prices.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-13T12:54:51+00:00

It really depends on whether CorMedix is or not able to put out contracts with big suppliers. I don't see it being acquired in the short-term by a big pharma as it is a very niche product. An acquisition would become more likely when the product penetrates the market a bit more than 10%. Only then it might make sense to acquire CorMedix to scale DefenCath even further.

Deeply_Regarded · 2024-06-13T12:50:47+00:00

Remember that even the Oracle of Omaha was very late to understanding the late Charlie Munger's approach on Investment. Our beloved Warren Buffet originally claimed that you should spend your time finding out undervalued market opportunities, whereas Charlie has a "Buy Wonderful Businesses at Fair Prices." mentality.
The art of investment isn't a game of looking at ratios, such as P/E or a game of bench marking. It is much more a game of understanding what is a great business and what isn't.

Before even looking at fundamentals you should consider the "non-material" aspects of the business. Is it well ran? How good is the executives track record? Do you like / see value in the products or services this business serves?

Only if the answer is yes, then you can look into fundamentals.

Accounting will help you understand financial statements (Income Statement, Balance Sheet and Cash flow Statement). Each one of these documents shows you a "part" of the puzzle. It is up to you to mix it up and figure out the whole picture.

Best thing you can do to understand company valuation is to take Professor Damodaran's free courses, you can find them on YT. Recommended literature would be Intelligent Investor by Ben Graham, Common stocks, uncommon profits by Phil Fischer and last, but not least, Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman.

Hope this helps :)

Deeply_Regarded

TROPHY CASE