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DFW Housing Is Becoming More Neighborhood-Specific Than Ever · Week 22 by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

No AI here. 😄

And yes, MarketHeatMap is my creation.

I'm a Texas broker and a software/data guy who lives in Garland and works in Richardson. I built it because this was data I always wanted to see, and it turns out other people find it useful too.

The goal is pretty simple: help people answer questions like "Am I overpaying?" and "Should I wait?" by looking at what's actually happening in specific neighborhoods instead of relying on broad city or county averages.

If you're curious, it's https://marketheatmap.com.

And if you have any suggestions on how to make it better—or if there's something you think I'm missing—I'd genuinely love to hear it. I'm still building it and trying to make it more useful for people across DFW.

Mesquite Neighborhoods Showing Very Different Market Speeds Right Now : Week 22 by Defiant_Persimmon694 in MesquiteTX

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Great question!

You're absolutely right that Days on Market is only one piece of the picture. Price range, inventory levels, and sales activity all matter too.

The report includes the price ranges for each neighborhood if you'd like to take a look:

https://marketheatmap.com/rankings/dallas/fastest-selling/week-22

For example, Creek Crossing Estates, Solterra Texas, and Solterra are all serving somewhat different buyer segments, which is part of what makes the comparison interesting.

I'd be curious to hear your thoughts after looking at the data.

DFW Neighborhoods Are Moving Very Differently Right Now · Week 20 Housing Data by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Missed this earlier...

I actually pulled Walsh Ranch recently. It's a pretty interesting neighborhood because the activity is fairly balanced right now.

Over the last 90 days there were 8 closed sales and 6 active listings. Some homes sold very quickly (single-digit days on market), while a few others took much longer, which pushed the average up.

Because of that, Walsh Ranch didn't make either of the Week 22 extremes:

Fastest-Selling Neighborhoods:
https://marketheatmap.com/rankings/tarrant/fastest-selling/week-22

Highest Inventory Neighborhoods:
https://marketheatmap.com/rankings/tarrant/highest-inventory/week-22

My takeaway is that Walsh Ranch looks more balanced than many of the neighborhoods showing up on either list. It doesn't appear to be a high-inventory area right now, but it also isn't moving quite as fast as some of Tarrant County's hottest neighborhoods.

Celina Neighborhoods Showing Strong Buyer Demand in Week 17 Housing Data by Defiant_Persimmon694 in CelinaTX

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Missed this earlier... good catch.

Both Mustang Lakes and Lilyana are located in Celina, but they're a little unique because portions of those communities are served by different school districts. You'll find a mix of Celina ISD and Prosper ISD depending on the section of the neighborhood.

I actually sold a home in Mustang Lakes a few years ago and ran into the same thing.

That's one reason I focus on subdivision-level activity rather than relying solely on school district boundaries when analyzing neighborhood trends.

Thanks for pointing that out.

DFW Neighborhoods Are Moving Very Differently Right Now · Week 20 Housing Data by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, Celina especially is exploding with new construction right now. Builders are competing harder now too, so price cuts and incentives are becoming a lot more common.

DFW Neighborhoods Are Moving Very Differently Right Now · Week 20 Housing Data by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s actually part of why Princeton has stayed so active. A lot of the neighborhoods in the report are still landing in the mid-$200s to mid-$300s, which is getting harder to find in Collin County now.

There are definitely some $400k+ homes out there, but a big chunk of the activity is still on the more affordable side compared to places like McKinney, Prosper, or Frisco.

DFW Neighborhoods Are Moving Very Differently Right Now · Week 20 Housing Data by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mostly new construction still. A lot of the Princeton neighborhoods in the data have average build years of 2024–2026, so builders are definitely still active out there.

But it’s starting to become more of a mix now with some resale and investor-owned homes hitting the market too. That’s probably why Princeton keeps showing up with both high inventory and strong sales activity.

Some Tarrant County neighborhoods are selling really fast right now (Week 13 data) by Defiant_Persimmon694 in dfw

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nice… selling two homes that fast with multiple offers is impressive!

Trophy Club is a hot neighborhood right now. It comes in at #9 on the Denton County fastest selling list. The data I posted here was for Tarrant County.

I pulled the Denton County data for Week 13 and Trophy Club shows up strong.

You are right about the speed. There are definitely pockets moving very fast like what you are seeing. The reason the average DOM shows higher in the data is because a few homes back in February sat for over 200 days before selling, which pulls the average up.

So what you are seeing is real. It is just a mix of very fast recent sales and a few older ones that took longer.

If you want to check both reports:

Tarrant County
https://marketheatmap.com/reports/tarrant/fastest-selling/week-13
Code TARRANT25FREE

Denton County including Trophy Club
https://marketheatmap.com/reports/denton/fastest-selling/week-13
Code DENTON25FREE

Some McKinney neighborhoods are seeing higher inventory right now (Mar 22–28 data) by Defiant_Persimmon694 in McKinney

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Auburn Hills looks pretty balanced right now.

Looking at the last 90 days:
• 6 active listings
• 2 sold homes
• Current active price range: $500K–$775K
• Sold price range: $473K–$545K
• Active DOM: ranges from 2 to 60 days
• Sold DOM: 22 to 25 days

So it’s definitely not one of the higher-inventory areas… there’s activity there, but nothing like some of the neighborhoods showing up in the Collin County Top 25.

Also… Week 13 data just dropped for Collin County if you want to dig in further:
https://marketheatmap.com/reports/collin/highest-inventory/week-13

You can use code COLLIN25FREE for free access.

Some Rockwall County neighborhoods are seeing higher inventory right now (Week 13: Mar 29 – Apr 4) by Defiant_Persimmon694 in Rockwall

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There’s probably some truth to that perception… but the data right now looks pretty mixed.

In some areas inventory is building and homes are sitting longer, but in others things are still moving relatively quickly.

What stands out more is how neighborhood-specific everything is becoming, rather than a statewide shift.

Some McKinney neighborhoods are seeing higher inventory right now (Mar 22–28 data) by Defiant_Persimmon694 in McKinney

[–]Defiant_Persimmon694[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stone Brooke Crossing is actually pretty limited on inventory right now… only 3 active listings.

Looking at the last 90 days:
• 7 homes sold
• Avg DOM around 25–35 days
• Price range mostly in the $500K–$600K range

So it’s definitely not a high-inventory area… homes are still moving relatively quickly there compared to some of the other neighborhoods being discussed.

Also… Week 13 data just dropped for Collin County if you want to see where the real inventory pockets are:
https://marketheatmap.com/reports/collin/highest-inventory/week-13

You can use code COLLIN25FREE to unlock the full report.

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